Queensland – voting intention

Nov 5, 2010

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,138

First preference/leaning to  Total Election

Mar 09

Change
Liberal National 50% 41.6% +8.4%
Labor 29% 42.2% -13.2%
Greens 9% 8.4% +0.6%
Other/Independent 12% 7.8% +4.2%

 

2PP Total Election

Mar 07

Change
Total Lib/Nat 59% 49.1% +9.9%
Labor 41% 50.9% -9.9%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 6-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. Comments »

Regulation is the new black

Nov 2, 2010

First Published on The Drum 02/11/2010

Joe Hockey is swanning around the airwaves like the coolest kid at school, convinced he’s discovered a new fad that’s sure to catch on. It’s called regulation and it rocks.

Of course many old hands may wonder whether all Joe has done is stumble upon a bit of retro, like some early Midnight Oil recordings, but right now Joe is stoked, he’s got a new tattoo and everyone is checking him out. Even the Greens want to play with him.

Still, if the old post-election cliche that the ‘people always get it right’ has any sort of credibility, Joe’s biggest risk is he’ll soon be overtaken by a bunch of converts who want to take the trend way more seriously than a wide-boy with a beat-box can.

As the latest Essential Report shows, there are votes to be won in regulating the bastard banks, especially in a week when Westpac is tipped to tip the Big Four’s profits over the $20 billion mark.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 1, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,844

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 36% 42% 42% 41% 41%
National 3% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 44% 44% 44% 44%
Labor 40% 42% 40% 41% 41%
Greens 11% 8% 9% 8% 8%
Other/Independent 10% 7% 7% 7% 7%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

 

This week
Total Lib/Nat 47% 49% 50% 50% 50%
Labor 53% 51% 50% 50% 50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. Comments »

Liberal Party Leadership

Nov 1, 2010

Q. Which of the following do you think would be the best person to lead the Liberal Party at the next election?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Tony Abbott 23% 5% 50% 5%
Malcolm Turnbull 22% 27% 19% 39%
Joe Hockey 14% 15% 15% 12%
Julie Bishop 6% 9% 5% 7%
Andrew Robb 1% 1% 1%
Someone else 15% 22% 3% 18%
Don’t know 19% 21% 7% 19%

23% think Tony Abbott would be the best person to lead the Liberal Party at the next election, 22% prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 14% Joe Hockey.

Among Coalition voters, 50% prefer Tony Abbott, 19% Malcolm Turnbull and 15% Joe Hockey.

Tony Abbott is preferred over Malcolm Turnbull by those aged under 45 22% to 19% but the over 45’s prefer Malcolm Turnbull over Tony Abbott 27% to 25%.

A similar question (although not exactly the same) asked in September showed Tony Abbott with a 26% to 20% lead over Malcolm Turnbull overall and 53% to 15% among Coalition voters. Joe Hockey’s support was 15% in total and 17% among Liberal voters. Comments »

Regulation of Banks – Level of Regulation

Nov 1, 2010

Q. Thinking about banking in Australia, do you think there needs to be more or less regulation of banks or is the present level of regulation about right?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Needs to be more regulation 64% 68% 67% 57%
Needs to be less regulation 4% 2% 5% 4%
Present regulation about right 20% 20% 20% 35%
Don’t know 12% 10% 8% 4%

64% believe there needs to be more regulation of Australian banks and 20% think the present level of regulation is about right. Only 4% think there needs to be less regulation. Labor and Coalition voters show similar support for more regulation while Greens voters are more likely to approve of the present level regulation.  72% of those aged 45-64 want more regulation. Comments »

Regulation of Banks – Specific Rules

Nov 1, 2010

Q. Would you support or oppose the following regulations for Australia’s banks?

  Total support Total oppose Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know
Stopping banks from sending jobs off-shore 83% 7% 46% 37% 5% 2% 9%
Only permitting banks to change interest rates in line with Reserve Bank rates 82% 11% 53% 29% 8% 3% 7%
Capping bank CEO’s salaries 84% 9% 60% 24% 7% 2% 6%
Ensuring bank fees are not higher than the actual cost of the service 91% 4% 67% 24% 3% 1% 4%
A requirement to let customers know if their personal data is being sent to other countries for processing 93% 2% 71% 22% 2% * 6%
Tougher rules about giving loans and credit 74% 15% 32% 42% 13% 2% 12%

More than 90% support regulations requiring banks to let customers know if their personal data is being sent to other countries for processing and ensuring bank fees are not higher than the actual cost of the service. Over 80% support stopping banks from sending jobs off-shore, only permitting banks to change interest rates in line with Reserve Bank rates and capping bank CEO’s salaries.

There were no substantial differences by voting intention – all regulations were strongly supported by all voter groups.

  Total support Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Stopping banks from sending jobs off-shore 83% 85% 85% 83%
Only permitting banks to change interest rates in line with Reserve Bank rates 82% 87% 82% 73%
Capping bank CEO’s salaries 84% 88% 83% 86%
Ensuring bank fees are not higher than the actual cost of the service 91% 93% 93% 90%
A requirement to let customers know if their personal data is being sent to other countries for processing 93% 94% 93% 94%
Tougher rules about giving loans and credit 74% 71% 80% 77%

Comments »

Support for Government-owned Bank

Nov 1, 2010

Support for Government-owned Bank

 Q. Would you support or oppose the establishment of a Government-owned bank to compete with the private banks?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 62% 68% 60% 72%
Total oppose 17% 14% 21% 16%
Strongly support 28% 32% 27% 33%
Support 34% 36% 33% 39%
Oppose 11% 9% 13% 13%
Strongly oppose 6% 5% 8% 3%
Don’t know 22% 19% 19% 13%

 62% support and 17% oppose the establishment of a Government-owned bank to compete with the private banks.

Strongest support is shown by men (68%), Greens voters (72%) and full-time workers (68%). Comments »

Media Ownership – James Packer

Nov 1, 2010

Q. James Packer recently bought a major shareholding in Channel 10. Should James Packer be allowed to become a major shareholder in Channel 10 while he is also a major shareholder in Foxtel?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Should be allowed 28% 27% 36% 18%
Should not be allowed 24% 27% 21% 29%
Don’t care 38% 36% 36% 46%
Don’t know 10% 10% 7% 7%

 Nearly half either don’t care or don’t know whether James Packer should be allowed to become a majority shareholder in Channel 10. Of those with an opinion, views are split 28% should be allowed and 24% should not. 36% of those on low incomes (under $600pw) think he should not be allowed. Comments »

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