Election, EMC, Labor, Liberal, NSW, Voting intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| First preference/leaning to
(sample) |
Jan/Feb 2011
(1,247) |
Sept/Oct 10
(1,953) |
Election
Mar 07 |
Change |
| Liberal/National | 51% | 50% | 37.0% | +14.0% |
| Labor | 27% | 29% | 39.0% | -12.0% |
| Greens | 12% | 11% | 9.0% | +3.0% |
| Other/Independent | 11% | 10% | 15.0% | -4.0% |
| 2PP | Jan/Feb 2011 | Sept/Oct 10 | Election
Mar 07 |
Change |
| Liberal/National | 59% | 58% | 47.7% | +11.3% |
| Labor | 41% | 42% | 52.3% | -11.3% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 4-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election.
2PP, demographic, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberal, National, NSW, voting
| First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ |
| Sample | 1248 | 625 | 623 | 799 | 449 | 404 | 491 | 353 |
| Labor | 27% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 30% | 31% | 29% | 20% |
| Liberal/National | 51% | 49% | 53% | 54% | 46% | 46% | 48% | 59% |
| Greens | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 8% |
| Independent/Other | 11% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 11% | 13% |
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Labor | 41% | 42% | 40% | 39% | 44% | 46% | 43% | 32% |
| Liberal/National | 59% | 58% | 60% | 61% | 56% | 54% | 57% | 68% |
2PP, Election, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,906
| First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 43% | 42% | 43% | 41% | |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 46% | 45% | 46% | 44% |
| Labor | 38.0 | 38% | 37% | 38% | 40% |
| Greens | 11.8 | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% |
| Other/Independent | 6.6 | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| 2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 50% |
| Labor | 50.1% | 48% | 49% | 49% | 50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Approval of Tony Abbott, Coalition, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Liberal, Opposition leader, Polling, polls, tony abbott
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?
| 18 Jan | 29 Mar | 5 Jul | 16 Aug | 20 Sep | 18 Oct | 22 Nov | 20 Dec | 17 Jan 2011 | 14 Feb 2011 | |
| Total approve | 37% | 33% | 37% | 41% | 43% | 39% | 40% | 39% | 42% | 38% |
| Total disapprove | 37% | 50% | 47% | 44% | 37% | 45% | 40% | 39% | 37% | 46% |
| Strongly approve | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 8% |
| Approve | 32% | 25% | 29% | 32% | 31% | 31% | 34% | 30% | 35% | 30% |
| Disapprove | 20% | 28% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 24% |
| Strongly disapprove | 17% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 22% |
| Don’t know | 26% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 16% |
38% (down 4%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 46% (up 9%) disapprove – a net change from last month of -13%
73% of Coalition voters approve and 15% disapprove.
By gender – men 43% approve/46% disapprove, women 34% approve/46% disapprove.
Better Prime Minister, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Julia Gillard, Labor, Liberal, PM, Polling, polls, Prime Minister, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| 5 Jul 2010 | 16 Aug | 20 Sep | 18 Oct | 22 Nov | 20 Dec | 17 Jan 2011 | 14 Feb 2011 | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 53% | 46% | 47% | 49% | 45% | 45% | 47% | 48% | 89% | 7% | 81% | 47% | |
| Tony Abbott | 26% | 35% | 35% | 33% | 34% | 34% | 32% | 31% | 4% | 73% | 6% | 30% | |
| Don’t know | 21% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 8% | 20% | 16% | 23% |
48% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 31% prefer Tony Abbott – a net increase for Julia Gillard of 2% on last month’s figures (from +15% to +17%).
Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 45%/36% and women 52%/26%.
climate change, cyclone, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, flooding, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Natural Disasters, Polling, polls, recent floods
Q. Does the extreme nature of the recent floods and cyclone make it more or less important for Australia to take action to address climate change or does it make no difference?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total more important | 49% | 60% | 35% | 83% |
| Total no difference/less important | 47% | 38% | 63% | 14% |
| Much more important | 27% | 35% | 16% | 59% |
| A little more important | 22% | 25% | 19% | 24% |
| Makes no difference | 44% | 37% | 57% | 12% |
| A little less important | 1% | * | 1% | 2% |
| Much less important | 3% | * | 6% | – |
| Don’t know | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
49% believe that the extreme nature of the recent floods and cyclone make it more important for Australia to take action to address climate change and 47% think it makes no difference or is less important.
Opinions tend to be related to voting intention – 60% of Labor voters and 83% of Greens voters believe it is more important, while 63% of Liberal/National voters think it makes no difference or is less important. 55% of respondents aged under 35 think it is more important compared to 39% of those aged 65+
Disaster Relief Fund, disaster response, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, government, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls
Q. Do you think the Government should set up a permanent disaster relief fund or do you think it is better for the Government to respond to disasters as they occur?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Set up permanent disaster fund | 63% | 64% | 65% | 67% |
| Respond as disasters occur | 29% | 29% | 31% | 28% |
| Don’t know | 7% | 7% | 4% | 4% |
63% believe the Government should set up a permanent disaster relief fund and 29% think it is better for the Government to respond to disasters as they occur.
Opinions are similar across voting intention groups. Older respondents are more likely to support a permanent disaster fund (74% of aged 55+ support). 68% of Queenslanders also support a permanent fund.
communications, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, National Broadband Network, NBN, opinion
Q. From what you’ve heard, do you favour or oppose the planned national broadband network (NBN)?
| 27 Sep 2010 | 14 Feb 2011 | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total favour | 56% | 48% | 65% | 30% | 71% |
| Total oppose | 18% | 31% | 12% | 55% | 13% |
| Strongly favour | 27% | 19% | 30% | 8% | 38% |
| Favour | 29% | 29% | 35% | 22% | 33% |
| Oppose | 12% | 16% | 8% | 26% | 8% |
| Strongly oppose | 6% | 15% | 4% | 29% | 5% |
| Don’t know | 26% | 22% | 22% | 15% | 15% |
48% favour the planned national broadband network and 31% oppose. This represents a significant drop in support for the NBN since this question was asked in September last year.
By age, under 35’s favour the NBN by 46%/23% but those aged 55+ are split 42%/42%.