Essential Report

NSW State Voting Intention

Feb 18, 2011

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

First preference/leaning to

(sample)

Jan/Feb 2011

(1,247)

Sept/Oct 10

(1,953)

Election

Mar 07

Change
Liberal/National 51% 50% 37.0% +14.0%
Labor 27% 29% 39.0% -12.0%
Greens 12% 11% 9.0% +3.0%
Other/Independent 11% 10% 15.0% -4.0%
2PP Jan/Feb 2011 Sept/Oct 10 Election

Mar 07

Change
Liberal/National 59% 58% 47.7% +11.3%
Labor 41% 42% 52.3% -11.3%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 4-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election.

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