2PP, federal politics, first preference vote, political leaning, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,842 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 25/3/14 |
2 weeks ago 8/4/14 |
Last week 15/4/14 |
This week 22/4/14 |
| Liberal |
|
41% |
40% |
40% |
39% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
44% |
42% |
42% |
41% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
37% |
38% |
37% |
37% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
11% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
4% |
3% |
4% |
5% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
6% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 25/3/14 |
2 weeks ago 8/4/14 |
Last week 15/4/14 |
This week 22/4/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
51% |
49% |
50% |
49% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
49% |
51% |
50% |
51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
2PP, federal politics, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,867 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 4/3/14 |
2 weeks ago 18/3/14 |
Last week 25/3/14 |
This week 1/4/14 |
| Liberal |
|
41% |
40% |
41% |
40% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
42% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
38% |
36% |
37% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
3% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 4/3/14 |
2 weeks ago 18/3/14 |
Last week 25/3/14 |
This week 1/4/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
51% |
51% |
51% |
49% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
15 July 2013, 150713, candidates, election 2013, federal politics, print material, tv ads by political parties
Q. Thinking about Federal politics and the election, which of the following have you personally done in the last week?
|
|
Total
|
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
| Seen any TV advertising by political parties |
43% |
46% |
44% |
38% |
|
| Received printed material from candidates. |
27% |
26% |
27% |
35% |
|
| Read about Federal politics in a newspaper |
41% |
43% |
43% |
39% |
|
| Watched Federal politicians on TV |
56% |
63% |
54% |
57% |
|
| Listened to Federal politicians on the radio |
22% |
21% |
22% |
32% |
|
| Listened to commentators talking about Federal politics on the radio |
30% |
32% |
29% |
34% |
|
| Watched commentators talking about Federal politics on the TV |
48% |
54% |
47% |
47% |
|
| Read anything about Federal politics on the internet |
39% |
47% |
33% |
49% |
|
| Discussed Federal politics and the election with friends or family |
50% |
56% |
46% |
60% |
TV was the most common way for respondents to engage with politics over the past week. 56% said they had watched Federal politicians on TV and 48% had watched commentators talking about Federal politics on TV.
Labor voters were more likely to watch politicians (63%) or commentators (54%) on TV and also more likely to use the internet to read about politics (47%).
There were some substantial differences by age group – 30% of respondents aged under 35 read about politics in a newspaper compared to 57% of those aged 55+ and 42% of aged under 35 watched politicians on TV compared to 71% of aged 55+.
08 July 2013, 080713, 2PP, federal politics, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,778 respondent
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
Last week 1/7/13 |
This week 8/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
43% |
42% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
Last week 1/7/13 |
This week 8/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
54% |
55% |
53% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
45% |
47% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
29 October 2012, 291012, 2PP, Abbott, ALP, Election, federal politics, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,792 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 1/10/12 |
2 weeks ago 15/10/12 |
Last week 22/10/12 |
This week 29/10/12 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
36% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
23 July 2012, 230712, 2PP, federal politics, first preference vote, two party preferred, voting intentions
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,854 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 25/6/12 |
2 weeks ago 9/7/12 |
Last week 16/7/12 |
This week 23/7/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
4% |
3% |
4% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
31% |
31% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
57% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.
18 June 2012, 180612, 2PP, ALP, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberals, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,842 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 21/5/12 |
2 weeks ago 4/6/12 |
Last week 12/6/12 |
This week 18/6/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
50% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
7% |
9% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.
28 May 2012, 280512, Election, federal politics, Labor, liberal.greens, poll, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,884 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 30/4/12 |
2 weeks ago 14/5/12 |
Last week 21/5/12 |
This week 28/5/12 |
| Liberal |
46% |
47% |
46% |
47% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
50% |
50% |
49% |
50% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
31% |
30% |
33% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
7 |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
57% |
57% |
56% |
57% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
43% |
43% |
44% |
43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.