08 July 2013, 080713, 2PP, federal politics, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,778 respondent
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
Last week 1/7/13 |
This week 8/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
43% |
42% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
Last week 1/7/13 |
This week 8/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
54% |
55% |
53% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
45% |
47% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
08 July 2013, 080713, attributes of Kevin Rudd, leader attributes
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd?
|
Julia Gillard 23 Jun 13 |
|
Kevin Rudd 8 Jul 13 |
Change |
|
| Intelligent |
69% |
77% |
+8 |
|
| Hard-working |
71% |
70% |
-1 |
|
| A capable leader |
44% |
58% |
+14 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
42% |
57% |
+15 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
41% |
53% |
+12 |
|
| Arrogant |
48% |
49% |
+1 |
|
| Erratic |
47% |
45% |
-2 |
|
| Superficial |
49% |
44% |
-5 |
|
| Aggressive |
45% |
43% |
-2 |
|
| Visionary |
32% |
43% |
+11 |
|
| Trustworthy |
30% |
42% |
+12 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
30% |
41% |
+11 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
57% |
39% |
-18 |
|
| Intolerant |
39% |
37% |
-2 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
46% |
34% |
-12 |
Kevin Rudd’s key attributes were intelligent (77%), hard-working (70%), a capable leader (58%), understands the problems facing Australia (57%) and good in a crisis (53%).
He was rated substantially higher than Julia Gillard in terms of understanding the problems facing Australia (+15%), a capable leader (+14%), good in a crisis (+12%) and trustworthy (+12%) and substantially lower on being out of touch with ordinary people (-18%).
08 July 2013, 080713, Tony Abbott attributes
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?
|
5 Jul 10 |
27 Jun 11 |
2 Apr 12 |
14 jan 13 |
2 Apr 13 |
23 Jun 13 |
|
8 Jul 13 |
Change |
|
| Hard-working |
76% |
75% |
68% |
70% |
70% |
68% |
65% |
-3 |
|
| Intelligent |
70% |
61% |
56% |
64% |
63% |
62% |
60% |
-2 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
56% |
54% |
54% |
56% |
53% |
55% |
55% |
– |
|
| Arrogant |
59% |
60% |
61% |
61% |
56% |
59% |
54% |
-5 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
57% |
57% |
54% |
54% |
52% |
52% |
50% |
-2 |
|
| Aggressive |
– |
– |
– |
55% |
49% |
51% |
50% |
-1 |
|
| Superficial |
49% |
49% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
47% |
-2 |
||
| Intolerant |
– |
– |
– |
49% |
48% |
48% |
46% |
-2 |
|
| Erratic |
– |
– |
– |
51% |
45% |
47% |
45% |
-2 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
50% |
48% |
49% |
47% |
49% |
44% |
45% |
+1 |
|
| A capable leader |
47% |
45% |
41% |
43% |
47% |
44% |
42% |
-2 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
40% |
40% |
36% |
39% |
44% |
38% |
38% |
– |
|
| Trustworthy |
33% |
32% |
32% |
33% |
36% |
31% |
32% |
+1 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
33% |
32% |
30% |
29% |
36% |
29% |
30% |
+1 |
|
| Visionary |
32% |
27% |
26% |
28% |
37% |
30% |
26% |
-4 |
Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard-working (65%), intelligent (60%), narrow-minded (55%), arrogant (54%), out of touch with ordinary people (50%) and aggressive (50%).
Since last month the largest shifts have been for arrogant (-5%) and visionary (-4%).
080713, kevin rudd, Labor party united
Q. Do you think that following the election of Kevin Rudd as leader, the Labor Party will be more united, less united or will it make no difference?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total more united |
49% |
75% |
33% |
56% |
|
| Total less united |
14% |
5% |
21% |
10% |
|
| Much more united |
17% |
33% |
9% |
10% |
|
| A little more united |
32% |
42% |
24% |
46% |
|
| A little less united |
7% |
4% |
10% |
4% |
|
| Much less united |
7% |
1% |
11% |
6% |
|
| Make no difference |
27% |
11% |
40% |
28% |
|
| Don’t know |
10% |
7% |
6% |
6% |
49% think that the Labor Party will be more united under Kevin Rudd’s leadership and 14% think it will be less united. 27% think it will make no difference.
57% of men think it will be more united compared to 41% of women.
08 July 2013, 080713, asylum seekers, Carbon Tax, Gonski, Labor Party policies, Mining tax, NBN, ndis
Q. Under Kevin Rudd’s leadership, do you think the Labor Party should dump, change or keep their policies on the following issues?
|
Dump |
Keep |
Change |
Don’t know |
|
| Handling of asylum seekers |
21% |
10% |
51% |
17% |
| Building the NBN |
14% |
50% |
15% |
15% |
| The mining tax |
29% |
30% |
24% |
18% |
| The carbon tax |
39% |
25% |
23% |
13% |
| The Gonski education reforms |
15% |
44% |
16% |
25% |
| The NDIS |
7% |
59% |
9% |
25% |
Respondents were most likely to think the Labor Party under Kevin Rudd should keep the NDIS (59%), building the NBN (50%) and the Gonski reforms (44%).
51% think it should change the policies around handling asylum seekers and 39% think it should dump the carbon tax. Opinions were divided over the mining tax – 30% keep, 29% dump and 24% change.
Labor voters were most in favour of keeping the NBN (78%), the mining tax (47%), the carbon tax (39%), the Gonski reforms (67%) and the NDIS (74%) but favoured changing the policy on asylum seekers (56%).
08 July 2013, 080713, early election, election date 2013, September 14
Q. Do you think the Federal election should be held on September 14th as currently scheduled, earlier or later?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| On September 14th |
39% |
44% |
38% |
49% |
|
| Earlier |
27% |
15% |
41% |
9% |
|
| Later |
16% |
24% |
10% |
14% |
|
| Don’t know |
19% |
16% |
12% |
29% |
39% favoured keeping the election date as scheduled, 27% want it earlier and 16% prefer it later. The current date was most favoured by Greens voters (49%) and Labor voters (44%). Liberal/National voters were divided – 41% want it earlier and 38% prefer the scheduled date.