Approval of Tony Abbott

Aug 15, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

29 Mar 5 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug
Total approve 37% 33% 37% 43% 39% 42% 38% 38% 36% 42% 38% 39% 37%
Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 37% 39% 37% 46% 47% 48% 44% 48% 49% 50%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 12% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6% 8%
Approve 32% 25% 29% 31% 30% 35% 30% 31% 29% 34% 32% 33% 29%
Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 21% 21% 22% 24% 24% 25% 25% 25% 24% 25%
Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 16% 18% 15% 22% 23% 23% 19% 23% 25% 25%
Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16% 17% 14% 15% 11% 13%

37% (down 2%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 50% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -10 to -13 over the last 4 weeks. This is Tony Abbott’s worst approval rating this year.

72% of Coalition voters approve and 20% disapprove.

By gender – men 40% approve/49% disapprove, women 33% approve/51% disapprove.

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Government Handling of the Economy

Aug 15, 2011

Q. How do you think the Australia Government has handled our economy over the last few years?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total well 54% 82% 34% 81%
Total poorly 39% 13% 62% 12%
Very well 9% 22% 2% 16%
Quite well 45% 60% 32% 65%
Quite poorly 26% 11% 39% 8%
Very poorly 13% 2% 23% 4%
Don’t know 7% 6% 4% 7%

54% think the Australian Government has handled the economy very well or quite well over the last few years and 39% very poorly or quite poorly. 82% of Labor voters, 81% of Greens voters and 34% of Liberal/National voters think the Government has handled the economy well. 62% of Liberal/National voters think the Government has handled the economy poorly.

60% of those aged under 35 think the Government has handled the economy well, compared to 51% of those aged 35-54 and 51% of those aged 55+

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Stimulus Spending

Aug 15, 2011

Q. If there is another Global Financial Crisis, do you think the Australian Government should undertake the same sort of stimulus spending they did in response to the 2009 GFC?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Yes 36% 48% 26% 56%
No 39% 24% 56% 23%
Don’t know 25% 28% 18% 21%

In the event of another GFC, 36% support stimulus spending and 39% oppose. About half of Labor and Greens voters support stimulus spending but over half of Liberal/National voters oppose.

Lower income earners are more likely to support stimulus spending – those earning under $1,000pw split 43% support/32% oppose while those earning over $1,000pw split 34% support/42% oppose.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 8, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 2,023

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 47% 45% 46% 47%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 50% 48% 49% 50%
Labor 38.0 30% 32% 31% 30%
Greens 11.8 11% 11% 11% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 9% 9% 9% 10%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 57% 55% 56% 57%
Labor 50.1% 43% 45% 44% 43%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 1, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,899

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 46% 46% 45% 46%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 49% 49% 48% 49%
Labor 38.0 32% 31% 32% 31%
Greens 11.8 11% 11% 11% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 9% 9% 9% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 56% 56% 55% 56%
Labor 50.1% 44% 44% 45% 44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Support for Carbon Pricing Scheme

Aug 1, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s proposal to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 14 March 28 March 18 April 23 May 30 May 14 June 11 July 18 July Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 34% 39% 41% 38% 38% 35% 39% 39% 77% 12% 82%
Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 49% 44% 48% 49% 53% 49% 51% 14% 83% 11%
Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 13% 11% 15% 15% 33% 2% 42%
Support 26% 26% 22% 26% 27% 24% 25% 24% 24% 24% 44% 10% 40%
Oppose 19% 17% 19% 15% 15% 19% 19% 19% 16% 19% 9% 26% 6%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 34% 29% 29% 30% 34% 33% 32% 5% 57% 5%
Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 12% 15% 15% 13% 12% 12% 10% 9% 5% 7%

Opinions of the Government’s carbon pricing scheme have changed little the last time this was surveyed two weeks ago. 39% support (no change) and 51% oppose (down 2%).

82% of Greens voters and 77% of Labor voters support the scheme and 83% of Liberal/National voters oppose.

Those aged under 35 are more likely to support the scheme (46% support/39% oppose) and those aged over 55 oppose (36% support/57% oppose).

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Tony Abbott’s belief in Climate Change

Aug 1, 2011

Q. What do you think Tony Abbott actually believes about climate change?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Does not believe in climate change 19% 28% 14% 34%
Does believe in climate change 27% 13% 46% 8%
Doesn’t care whether climate change is real or not 31% 48% 17% 42%
Don’t know 22% 11% 22% 16%

31% of respondents think that Tony Abbott doesn’t care whether climate change is real or not, 27% think he believes in climate change and 19% think he doesn’t.

46% of Liberal/National voters think he believes in climate change compared to only 13% of Labor voters and 8% of Greens voters. 34% of Greens voters think he does not believe in climate change and 48% of Labor voters think he doesn’t care whether climate change is real or not.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 25, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1926

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 45% 47% 46% 45%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 48% 50% 49% 48%
Labor 38.0 32% 30% 31% 32%
Greens 11.8 11% 11% 11% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 9% 9% 9% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 57% 56% 55%
Labor 50.1% 45% 43% 44% 45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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