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  • Jun, 2014

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,817 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 27/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    11/6/14

    Last week

    17/6/14

    This week

    24/6/14

    Liberal

     

    37%

    35%

    36%

    37%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    40%

    37%

    39%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    40%

    41%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    6%

    5%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 27/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    11/6/14

    Last week

    17/6/14

    This week

    24/6/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    46%

    46%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    54%

    54%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Jun, 2014

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,828 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 20/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    3/6/14

    Last week

    11/6/14

    This week

    17/6/14

    Liberal

     

    38%

    35%

    35%

    36%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    40%

    38%

    37%

    39%

    Labor

    33.4%

    40%

    39%

    40%

    41%

    Greens

    8.6%

    8%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    6%

    6%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    7%

    8%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 20/5/14

    2 weeks ago

    3/6/14

    Last week

    11/6/14

    This week

    17/6/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    53%

    54%

    54%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

  • Jul, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,854 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    25/6/12

    2 weeks ago

    9/7/12

    Last week

    16/7/12

    This week

    23/7/12

    Liberal

    46%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    National

    3%

    4%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    31%

    31%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

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