23 July 2012, 230712, 2PP, federal politics, first preference vote, two party preferred, voting intentions
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,854 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 25/6/12 |
2 weeks ago 9/7/12 |
Last week 16/7/12 |
This week 23/7/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
4% |
3% |
4% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
31% |
31% |
33% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
57% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.
23 July 2012, 230712, concern about workchoices, Federal Election, industrial laws, Liberal Party, tony abbott
Q. If they won the next election, how likely do you think it would be that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices?
|
31 May 10 |
12 July 10 |
21 Nov 11 |
Total 23 Jul 12 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Work full time |
Work part time |
|
| Total likely |
58% |
56% |
51% |
53% |
78% |
40% |
55% |
53% |
53% |
| Total unlikely |
21% |
24% |
27% |
22% |
11% |
34% |
14% |
24% |
15% |
| Very likely |
28% |
26% |
22% |
26% |
52% |
9% |
38% |
27% |
23% |
| Quite likely |
30% |
30% |
29% |
27% |
26% |
31% |
17% |
26% |
30% |
| Not very likely |
18% |
18% |
19% |
16% |
6% |
26% |
13% |
18% |
11% |
| Not at all likely |
3% |
6% |
8% |
6% |
5% |
8% |
1% |
6% |
4% |
| Don’t know |
20% |
20% |
22% |
26% |
11% |
26% |
30% |
23% |
32% |
Respondents were a little more likely to think that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices than when a similar question was asked last year. 53% (up 2%) think it is likely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices if they won the next election and 22% (down 5%) think it is unlikely.
78% of Labor voters and 55% of Greens voters think it is likely, while Liberal/National voters are split 40% likely (up 7%) to 34% unlikely (down 10%).
23 July 2012, 230712, Federal Election, Liberals, WorkChoices
Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?
|
31 May 10 |
12 July 10 |
21 Nov 11 |
Total 23 Jul 12 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Work full time |
Work part time |
|
| Very concerned |
28% |
29% |
26% |
30% |
60% |
7% |
39% |
33% |
28% |
| Quite concerned |
17% |
19% |
15% |
16% |
16% |
14% |
17% |
16% |
21% |
| A little concerned |
20% |
16% |
20% |
15% |
11% |
18% |
20% |
14% |
17% |
| Not concerned |
24% |
25% |
27% |
26% |
7% |
48% |
5% |
28% |
19% |
| Don’t know |
11% |
11% |
11% |
14% |
6% |
12% |
20% |
11% |
15% |
Respondents were also more concerned about the re-introduction of WorkChoices than last year. 46% (up 5%) would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 41% (down 6%) were only a little or not concerned.
76% of Labor voters and 56% of Greens voters would be concerned. 66% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 21% concerned. 49% of full-time workers and part-time workers said they would be very/quite concerned.
51% of those aged 45-64 said they would be very/quite concerned.
23 July 2012, 230712, Australian workers, employment, liberal government, tony abbott
Q. Do you think Australian workers would be better off or worse off under a Liberal Government lead by Tony Abbott?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Work full time |
Work part time |
|
| Total better off |
32% |
8% |
65% |
8% |
35% |
27% |
| Total worse off |
37% |
75% |
4% |
65% |
34% |
40% |
| A lot better off |
15% |
3% |
33% |
– |
17% |
12% |
| A little better off |
17% |
5% |
32% |
8% |
18% |
15% |
| Make no difference |
19% |
12% |
22% |
15% |
21% |
20% |
| A little worse off |
9% |
12% |
3% |
17% |
10% |
11% |
| A lot worse off |
28% |
63% |
1% |
48% |
24% |
29% |
| Don’t know |
11% |
5% |
8% |
12% |
9% |
12% |
32% think that Australian workers would be better off under a Liberal Government lead by Tony Abbott and 37% think they would be worse off – and 19% think it would make no difference.
Full-time workers split 35% better off and 34% worse off while part-time workers were more likely to think workers would be worse off (40% worse off/27% better off).
43% of respondents aged 45-64 think workers would be worse off and 31% better off. 40% of those earning under $1,000 pw thought workers would be worse off and 33% better off.
23 July 2012, 230712, ASIO, government agencies, ISP, Social Media, surveillance
Q. The Government has recently proposed a number of amendments to the laws governing surveillance and intelligence-gathering. Do you support or oppose the following suggestions?
|
Total support |
Total oppose |
Strongly support |
Support |
Oppose |
Strongly oppose |
Don’t know |
|
| Extend the power of government agencies to intercept communications from major to lesser offences |
40% |
37% |
9% |
31% |
21% |
16% |
24% |
| Enable government agencies to intercept messages on social media sites like Twitter and Facebook |
40% |
46% |
10% |
30% |
26% |
20% |
14% |
| Require internet service providers to keep a record of every customers’ internet usage for 2 years |
28% |
57% |
7% |
21% |
26% |
31% |
14% |
| Making it an offence not to assist government agencies with decryption e.g. reveal your password |
26% |
60% |
8% |
18% |
28% |
32% |
15% |
| Allowing ASIO agents to plant or destroy material on computers if they have a warrant |
27% |
52% |
7% |
20% |
23% |
29% |
20% |
A majority of respondents were opposed to making it an offence not to assist government agencies with decryption e.g. reveal your password (60%), requiring internet service providers to keep a record of every customers’ internet usage for 2 years (57%) and allowing ASIO agents to plant or destroy material on computers if they have a warrant (52%).
They were more evenly divided over enabling government agencies to intercept messages on social media sites like Twitter and Facebook (40% support/46% oppose) and extending the power of government agencies to intercept communications from major to lesser offences (40% support/37% oppose).