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  • Sep, 2013

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. The Federal Election will be held next weekend on 7 September  – to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    The table below shows weekly figures through the election campaign.

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    5/8/13

    13/8/13

    19/8/13

    26/8/13

    2/9/13

    5/9/13

     

     

    Liberal National

    43.6%

    43%

    44%

    43%

    43%

    44%

    43%

    Labor

    38.0%

    37%

    41%

    39%

    36%

    35%

    35%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    7%

    9%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    11%

    9%

    8%

    10%

    11%

    12%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    5/8/13

    13/8/13

    19/8/13

    26/8/13

    2/9/13

    5/9/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    51%

    50%

    50%

    51%

    53%

    52%

    Labor

    50.1%

    49%

    50%

    50%

    49%

    47%

    48%

    Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Sep, 2013

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,856 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    5/8/13

    2 weeks ago

    19/8/13

    Last week

    26/8/13

    This week

    2/9/13

    Liberal

     

    40%

    41%

    40%

    41%

    National

    3%

    3%

    2%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    43%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    Labor

    38.0%

    38%

    40%

    38%

    35%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    8%

    11%

    11%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    10%

    8%

    9%

    10%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    5/8/13

    2 weeks ago

    19/8/13

    Last week

    26/8/13

    This week

    2/9/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    51%

    50%

    50%

    52%

    Labor

    50.1%

    49%

    50%

    50%

    48%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Aug, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,795 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    29/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    13/8/13

    Last week

    19/8/13

    This week

    26/8/13

    Liberal

     

    41%

    40%

    41%

    40%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    43%

    Labor

    38.0%

    39%

    39%

    40%

    38%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    11%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    10%

    8%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    29/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    13/8/13

    Last week

    19/8/13

    This week

    26/8/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    51%

    51%

    50%

    50%

    Labor

    50.1%

    49%

    49%

    50%

    50%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Aug, 2013

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,902 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    22/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    5/8/13

    Last week

    13/8/13

    This week

    19/8/13

    Liberal

     

    42%

    40%

    40%

    41%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    45%

    43%

    43%

    44%

    Labor

    38.0%

    39%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    Greens

    11.8%

    7%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    10%

    10%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    22/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    5/8/13

    Last week

    13/8/13

    This week

    19/8/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    51%

    51%

    51%

    50%

    Labor

    50.1%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    50%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Aug, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,899 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    15/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    29/7/13

    Last week

    5/8/13

    This week

    13/8/13

    Liberal

     

    42%

    41%

    40%

    40%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    46%

    44%

    43%

    43%

    Labor

    38.0%

    39%

    39%

    38%

    39%

    Greens

    11.8%

    7%

    9%

    9%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

    10%

    10%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    15/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    29/7/13

    Last week

    5/8/13

    This week

    13/8/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    52%

    51%

    51%

    51%

    Labor

    50.1%

    48%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Aug, 2013

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,903 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    8/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    23/7/13

    Last week

    29/7/13

    This week

    5/8/13

    Liberal

     

    42%

    42%

    41%

    40%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    46%

    45%

    44%

    43%

    Labor

    38.0%

    38%

    39%

    39%

    38%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    7%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    9%

    8%

    10%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    8/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    23/7/13

    Last week

    29/7/13

    This week

    5/8/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    52%

    51%

    51%

    51%

    Labor

    50.1%

    48%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Jul, 2013

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,912 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    1/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    15/7/13

    Last week

    23/7/13

    This week

    29/7/13

    Liberal

     

    43%

    42%

    42%

    41%

    National

    3%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    44%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    7%

    7%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    8%

    9%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    1/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    15/7/13

    Last week

    23/7/13

    This week

    29/7/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    53%

    52%

    51%

    51%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    48%

    49%

    49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Jul, 2013

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,980 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    24/6/13

    2 weeks ago

    8/7/13

    Last week

    15/7/13

    This week

    23/7/13

    Liberal

     

    44%

    42%

    42%

    42%

    National

    3%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    38%

    39%

    39%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    7%

    7%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    11%

    7%

    8%

    9%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    24/6/13

    2 weeks ago

    8/7/13

    Last week

    15/7/13

    This week

    23/7/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    55%

    52%

    52%

    51%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    48%

    48%

    49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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