Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 15, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,907

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 41% 42% 41% 42% 42%
National 2% 2% 3% 4% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43% 44% 44% 46% 45%
Labor 38% 40% 41% 39% 39%
Greens 10% 9% 8% 8% 10%
Other/Independent 9% 7% 7% 7% 7%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

This week
Total Lib/Nat 50% 50% 50% 51% 51%
Labor 50% 50% 50% 49% 49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal Politics – Voting Intention

Nov 30, 2009

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

*1979 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 31%
National 4%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 42% -3%
Labor 47% 58% +3%
Greens 8%
Family First 3%
Other/Independent 7%

NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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Federal Politics – 2PP Voting Intention – 4 Week Trend

Nov 30, 2009

NB.  The data in the above graph is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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