Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,896
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 38% | 42% | 42% | 41% | 42% |
| National | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 40% | 46% | 45% | 44% | 45% |
| Labor | 37% | 39% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Greens | 12% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Other/Independent | 10% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 48% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 51% |
| Labor | 52% | 49% | 49% | 49% | 49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,858
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 39% | 41% | 42% | 42% | 41% |
| National | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 41% | 44% | 45% | 45% | 44% |
| Labor | 39% | 41% | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| Greens | 9% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% |
| Other/Independent | 10% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 49% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 51% |
| Labor | 51% | 50% | 49% | 49% | 49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,869
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 39% | 41% | 42% | 42% | 42% |
| National | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 41% | 44% | 46% | 45% | 45% |
| Labor | 40% | 41% | 39% | 39% | 38% |
| Greens | 10% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 10% |
| Other/Independent | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 48% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 51% |
| Labor | 52% | 50% | 49% | 49% | 49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,907
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 41% | 42% | 41% | 42% | 42% |
| National | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43% | 44% | 44% | 46% | 45% |
| Labor | 38% | 40% | 41% | 39% | 39% |
| Greens | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% |
| Other/Independent | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 50% | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% |
| Labor | 50% | 50% | 50% | 49% | 49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal Politics – Voting Intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1979 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 31% | ||
| National | 4% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 35% | 42% | -3% |
| Labor | 47% | 58% | +3% |
| Greens | 8% | ||
| Family First | 3% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.
Federal Politics – 2PP Voting Intention – 4 Week Trend
NB. The data in the above graph is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.
COVID-19 RESEARCH
Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.
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In this week's report:
- Federal government response to Covid-19
- State government response to Covid-19
- Views towards reopening international borders
- Views towards state border closures
- Comprehension and confidence in PM’s plan to ‘safely reopen’ Australia
- Uptake of a Covid-19 vaccine
- Necessity of mandatory vaccinations in specific situations
- Views towards easing restrictions for fully vaccinated people
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