Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,899
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Liberal | 46% | 46% | 45% | 46% | |
National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 49% | 49% | 48% | 49% |
Labor | 38.0 | 32% | 31% | 32% | 31% |
Greens | 11.8 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Other/Independent | 6.6 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 56% | 56% | 55% | 56% |
Labor | 50.1% | 44% | 44% | 45% | 44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1926
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Liberal | 45% | 47% | 46% | 45% | |
National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 48% | 50% | 49% | 48% |
Labor | 38.0 | 32% | 30% | 31% | 32% |
Greens | 11.8 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Other/Independent | 6.6 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 55% | 57% | 56% | 55% |
Labor | 50.1% | 45% | 43% | 44% | 45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,899
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Liberal | 45% | 46% | 47% | 46% | |
National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 47% | 49% | 50% | 49% |
Labor | 38.0 | 32% | 32% | 30% | 31% |
Greens | 11.8 | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Other/Independent | 6.6 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 55% | 56% | 57% | 56% |
Labor | 50.1% | 45% | 44% | 43% | 44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,899
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Liberal | 44% | 45% | 46% | 47% | |
National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 46% | 48% | 49% | 50% |
Labor | 38.0 | 34% | 32% | 32% | 30% |
Greens | 11.8 | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Other/Independent | 6.6 | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 54% | 55% | 56% | 57% |
Labor | 50.1% | 46% | 45% | 44% | 43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,883
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Liberal | 44% | 45% | 45% | 46% | |
National | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 46% | 47% | 48% | 49% |
Labor | 38.0 | 34% | 32% | 32% | 32% |
Greens | 11.8 | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% |
Other/Independent | 6.6 | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 53% | 55% | 55% | 56% |
Labor | 50.1% | 47% | 45% | 45% | 44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,874
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Liberal | 44% | 44% | 45% | 45% | |
National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 47% | 46% | 47% | 48% |
Labor | 38.0 | 34% | 34% | 32% | 32% |
Greens | 11.8 | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
Other/Independent | 6.6 | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% |
Labor | 50.1% | 46% | 46% | 45% | 45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,921
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Liberal | 43% | 44% | 44% | 44% | |
National | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 46% | 47% | 46% | 46% |
Labor | 38.0 | 36% | 34% | 34% | 34% |
Greens | 11.8 | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
Other/Independent | 6.6 | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 52% | 54% | 53% | 54% |
Labor | 50.1% | 48% | 46% | 47% | 46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,929
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Liberal | 44% | 44% | 44% | 44% | |
National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 47% | 46% | 47% | 46% |
Labor | 38.0 | 35% | 34% | 34% | 34% |
Greens | 11.8 | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
Other/Independent | 6.6 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 54% | 53% | 54% | 53% |
Labor | 50.1% | 46% | 47% | 46% | 47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

COVID-19 RESEARCH
Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.
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Two Party Preferred:
In this week's report:
- Performance of Scott Morrison
- Performance of Anthony Albanese
- Preferred Prime Minister
- Top Federal Government priorities for 2021
- Uptake of a Covid-19 vaccine
- Perceptions of change in the standard of living for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples
- Changing views towards Australia Day
- Support towards a separate national day
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