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  • Oct, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,888 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    24/9/12

    2 weeks ago

    8/10/12

    Last week

    15/10/12

    This week

    22/10/12

    Liberal

    45%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    35%

    37%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    7%

    8%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,924 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    17/9/12

    2 weeks ago

    1/10/12

    Last week

    8/10/12

    This week

    15/10/12

    Liberal

    45%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    36%

    37%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    7%

    7%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election
    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size =  2,100 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    10/09/2012

    2 weeks ago 24/09/2012

    Last week 01/10/2012

    This week

    Liberal

    44%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    35%

    36%

    37%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    7%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 10/09/2012

    2 weeks ago 24/09/2012

    Last week

    01/10/2012

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    55%

    53%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    45%

    47%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 2,089 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 3/09/2012

     

    2 weeks ago 17/09/2012

    Last week 24/09/2012

    This week

    Liberal

    44%

    45%

    45%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    34%

    35%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 3/09/2012

    2 weeks ago 17/09/2012

    Last week

    24/09/2012

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    55%

    55%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    45%

    45%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Sep, 2012

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 2,003 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

     

    2 weeks ago

    3/9/12

    Last week

    10/9/2012

    This week

    Liberal

    46%

    44%

    44%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    48%

    47%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    32%

    34%

    34%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

     

    2 weeks ago

    3/9/12

    Last week

    10/9/2012

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    55%

    55%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    45%

    45%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Sep, 2012

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 2,077 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    13/8/12

    2 weeks ago

    27/8/12

    Last week

    3/9/12

    This week

    10 Sept 2012

    Liberal

    46%

    46%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    32%

    32%

    34%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

     

    2 weeks ago

     

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    55%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    45%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Aug, 2012

    , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,803 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    30/7/12

    2 weeks ago

    13/8/12

    Last week

    20/8/12

    This week

    27/8/12

    Liberal

    45%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    32%

    32%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Aug, 2012

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,868 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    16/7/12

    2 weeks ago

    30/7/12

    Last week

    6/8/12

    This week

    13/8/12

    Liberal

    46%

    45%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    33%

    33%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    55%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

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