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  • Jan, 2013

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,895 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago

    14/1/13

    Last week

    21/01/13

    This week

    29/01/13

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    4%

    4%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    35%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Jan, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,861 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    Last week ago

    14/1/13

    This week

    21/01/13

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    National

    4%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Jan, 2013

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,878 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    17/12/12

    This week

    14/01/13

    Liberal

    45%

    44%

    National

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Dec, 2012

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,888 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    12/11/12

    2 weeks ago

    26/11/12

    Last week

    3/12/12

    This week

    10/12/12

    Liberal

    42%

    44%

    44%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    45%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    37%

    36%

    37%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

    7%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    52%

    53%

    53%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Nov, 2012

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,925 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    22/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    7/11/12

    Last week

    12/11/12

    This week

    19/11/12

    Liberal

    44%

    43%

    42%

    43%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    46%

    45%

    46%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    37%

    37%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    53%

    52%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Nov, 2012

    , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,905 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    15/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    29/10/12

    Last week

    7/11/12

    This week

    12/11/12

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    43%

    42%

    National

    3%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    48%

    46%

    45%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    37%

    37%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    7%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    54%

    53%

    52%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    46%

    47%

    48%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Nov, 2012

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,863 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    8/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    22/10/12

    Last week

    29/10/12

    This week

    7/11/12

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    44%

    43%

    National

    3%

    3%

    4%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    46%

    Labor

    38.0%

    37%

    36%

    36%

    37%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    7%

    7%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    53%

    54%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,792 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    1/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    15/10/12

    Last week

    22/10/12

    This week

    29/10/12

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

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