19 November 2012, 191112, 2PP, ALP, Labor, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,925 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 22/10/12 |
2 weeks ago 7/11/12 |
Last week 12/11/12 |
This week 19/11/12 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
43% |
42% |
43% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
46% |
45% |
46% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
37% |
37% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
53% |
53% |
52% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
47% |
48% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
19 November 2012, 191112, asylum seekers, climate change, economy, Education, Election Issues, environment, fair taxation, health system, Housing affordability, Interest rates, IR system
Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?
|
First |
Second |
Third |
Total 19 Nov 12 |
Total 30 Jul 12 |
5 Dec 11 |
6 June 11 |
25 Jan 10 |
|
| Management of the economy |
47% |
11% |
9% |
66% |
64% |
62% |
61% |
63% |
| Ensuring a quality education for all children |
7% |
16% |
11% |
35% |
26% |
22% |
26% |
23% |
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
15% |
22% |
20% |
57% |
47% |
47% |
49% |
48% |
| Protecting the environment |
3% |
6% |
5% |
14% |
11% |
13% |
15% |
16% |
| A fair industrial relations system |
2% |
3% |
3% |
8% |
12% |
11% |
8% |
na |
| Political leadership |
6% |
5% |
4% |
15% |
25% |
18% |
17% |
23% |
| Addressing climate change |
2% |
2% |
5% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
15% |
16% |
| Controlling interest rates |
2% |
5% |
4% |
11% |
9% |
11% |
13% |
15% |
| Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
8% |
11% |
13% |
32% |
41% |
36% |
32% |
33% |
| Ensuring a quality water supply |
1% |
2% |
2% |
5% |
3% |
4% |
5% |
12% |
| Housing affordability |
3% |
6% |
5% |
14% |
13% |
13% |
16% |
14% |
| Ensuring a fair taxation system |
2% |
5% |
9% |
17% |
18% |
16% |
17% |
14% |
| Security and the war on terrorism |
* |
1% |
3% |
5% |
5% |
4% |
8% |
9% |
| Treatment of asylum seekers |
1% |
1% |
3% |
6% |
10% |
8% |
5% |
na |
| Managing population growth |
1% |
2% |
4% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
12% |
na |
*Not asked
66% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 57% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 35% ensuring a quality education for all children and 32% Australian jobs and protection of local industries.
Since July, there has been an increase in the importance of ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system (+10%) and ensuring a quality education for all children (+9%) and a decline in the importance of political leadership (-10%) and Australian jobs and protection of local industries (-9%).
19 November 2012, 191112, ALP, Election Issues, Greens, Liberal Party
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?
|
ALP |
Libs |
Greens |
Don’t know |
Difference |
Difference |
|
| Management of the economy |
31% |
45% |
2% |
22% |
-14 |
-18 |
| Ensuring a quality education for all children |
38% |
33% |
4% |
24% |
+5 |
-2 |
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
32% |
35% |
7% |
25% |
-3 |
-6 |
| Protecting the environment |
19% |
22% |
38% |
21% |
+16 |
+17 |
| A fair industrial relations system |
41% |
32% |
4% |
23% |
+9 |
+6 |
| Political leadership |
26% |
38% |
6% |
30% |
-12 |
-16 |
| Addressing climate change |
22% |
23% |
32% |
24% |
+9 |
+7 |
| Controlling interest rates |
28% |
39% |
3% |
30% |
-11 |
-18 |
| Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
34% |
36% |
4% |
27% |
-2 |
-6 |
| Ensuring a quality water supply |
21% |
28% |
23% |
27% |
-7 |
-12 |
| Housing affordability |
28% |
33% |
5% |
33% |
-5 |
-11 |
| Ensuring a fair taxation system |
30% |
39% |
4% |
27% |
-9 |
-10 |
| Security and the war on terrorism |
25% |
40% |
4% |
31% |
-15 |
-22 |
| Treatment of asylum seekers |
20% |
38% |
13% |
29% |
-18 |
-20 |
| Managing population growth |
22% |
37% |
6% |
35% |
-15 |
-19 |
Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.
Labor leads the Liberal Party on ensuring a quality education for all children and a fair industrial relations system. The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership, security and the war on terrorism, treatment of asylum seekers and managing population growth.
There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals on ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries. Since June, there has been a shift in Labor’s favour on most issues – especially, ensuring a quality education for all children, controlling interest rates, housing affordability and security and the war on terrorism.
19 November 2012, 191112, Australian exports, export live animals, live exports, sheep and cattle
Q. Thinking about the export of live animals for slaughter, which of the following statements is closest to your view?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Australia should not export live sheep and cattle to any country at all |
25% |
25% |
24% |
35% |
| Australia should only export live sheep and cattle to countries which guarantee they will be treated humanely |
54% |
53% |
55% |
58% |
| Australia should export live sheep and cattle to any country that wants them |
15% |
15% |
19% |
5% |
| Don’t know |
6% |
7% |
3% |
1% |
54% think that Australia should only export live sheep and cattle to countries which guarantee they will be treated humanely and 25% think Australia should not export live sheep and cattle to any country at all.
Those most opposed to exporting live sheep and cattle to any country at all were Greens voters (35%), women (29%) and respondents aged 45-64 (30%).
19 November 2012, 191112, equal rights, free from harm, harm and exploitation, treatment of animals
Q. Which of the following statements comes closest to your view about the treatment of animals?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Animals deserve the same rights as people to be free from harm and exploitation |
30% |
30% |
28% |
40% |
| Animals deserve some protection from harm and exploitation, but it is still appropriate to use them for the benefit of humans |
61% |
61% |
66% |
55% |
| Animals don’t need much protection from harm and exploitation since they are just animals |
4% |
4% |
3% |
2% |
| Don’t know |
5% |
5% |
3% |
3% |
61% think animals deserve some protection from harm and exploitation, but it is still appropriate to use them for the benefit of humans and 30% think animals deserve the same rights as people to be free from harm and exploitation. Only 4% think animals don’t need much protection from harm and exploitation since they are just animals.
Those most likely to think animals deserve the same rights as people to be free from harm and exploitation were Greens voters (40%) and women (38%).
19 November 2012, 191112, child sexual abuse, compensation for victims, royal commission
Q. What are the most important things that should come out of the Royal Commission? (select up to 3)
|
Total |
Vote ALP |
Vote Libs |
Vote Greens |
Cath- |
Ang- |
Other Protest- |
Other relig- |
No relig- |
|
| Preventing future child sexual abuse |
63% |
63% |
63% |
74% |
65% |
59% |
62% |
57% |
65% |
| Prosecution of offenders |
60% |
55% |
67% |
48% |
58% |
67% |
68% |
53% |
59% |
| Removing those in positions of authority who allowed the abuse to occur |
39% |
39% |
35% |
58% |
27% |
42% |
33% |
37% |
48% |
| Giving victims the opportunity to tell their story |
27% |
31% |
24% |
28% |
28% |
28% |
30% |
27% |
25% |
| Exposing previously unreported or unresolved allegations |
27% |
26% |
30% |
24% |
28% |
23% |
27% |
26% |
29% |
| Exposing institutional cover-ups |
24% |
23% |
23% |
32% |
22% |
23% |
27% |
18% |
26% |
| Compensation for victims |
16% |
18% |
12% |
15% |
19% |
19% |
13% |
18% |
13% |
| Restoring public confidence in institutions |
11% |
13% |
13% |
4% |
16% |
13% |
15% |
11% |
6% |
| Establishing a public record of fact regarding child sexual abuse in institutions |
9% |
10% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
7% |
10% |
9% |
| Don’t know |
4% |
3% |
4% |
1% |
5% |
2% |
3% |
7% |
4% |
| Prefer not to answer |
1% |
* |
* |
– |
1% |
– |
– |
1% |
1% |
Respondents think that the most important things that should come out of the Royal Commission are preventing future child abuse (63%) and prosecution of offenders (60%). 39% think that removing those in positions of authority who allowed the abuse to occur is also important.
These were clearly the top three issues for all groups except Catholics who placed somewhat less importance on removing those in positions of authority who allowed the abuse to occur (27%). Greens voters considered removing those in positions of authority who allowed the abuse to occur (58%) to be more important than prosecution of offenders (48%). Liberal/National voters thought the most important outcome should be prosecution of offenders (67%). Women were a little more likely to nominate preventing future child abuse (69%) and removing those in positions of authority who allowed the abuse to occur (43%).