07 November 2012, 071112, 2PP, ALP, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,863 respondents
First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 8/10/12 |
2 weeks ago 22/10/12 |
Last week 29/10/12 |
This week 7/11/12 |
Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
National |
|
3% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
48% |
46% |
Labor |
38.0% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
37% |
Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
53% |
53% |
54% |
53% |
Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
07 November 2012, 071112, Christine Milne, Greens party, Leader of the Greens
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Christine Milne is doing as leader of the Greens?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Total approve |
20% |
28% |
10% |
71% |
Total disapprove |
33% |
24% |
49% |
5% |
Strongly approve |
2% |
3% |
1% |
8% |
Approve |
18% |
25% |
9% |
63% |
Disapprove |
18% |
18% |
22% |
5% |
Strongly disapprove |
15% |
6% |
27% |
– |
Don’t know |
47% |
48% |
42% |
24% |
20% approve of the job Christine Milne is doing as leader of the Greens and 33% disapprove – nearly half could not give an opinion.
Among Greens voters 71% approve and 5% disapprove. 27% of respondents aged under 35 approve compared to 17% of those aged 55+.
07 November 2012, 071112, Federal Parliament, Performance of Greens
Q. Do you think the performance of the Greens in Federal Parliament has been good or poor?
16 Jul 12 |
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
Total good |
17% |
16% |
22% |
6% |
65% |
Total poor |
47% |
40% |
27% |
61% |
5% |
Very good |
3% |
3% |
3% |
* |
20% |
Good |
14% |
13% |
19% |
6% |
45% |
Neither good nor poor |
27% |
25% |
32% |
20% |
23% |
Poor |
19% |
18% |
17% |
24% |
5% |
Very poor |
28% |
22% |
10% |
37% |
– |
Don’t know |
10% |
19% |
20% |
12% |
6% |
16% think the performance of The Greens in Federal Parliament has been good or very good and 40% think it has been poor or very poor. This is a drop of 7% in the percentage thinking the Greens have been poor since July when this question was last asked. Those who don’t know have increased from 10% to 19%.
Labor voters tend to think The Greens’ performance has been poor/very poor (27%) or neither good nor poor (32%) – and only 22% think it has been good/very good. 61% of Liberal/National voters think it has been poor/very poor and 65% of Greens voters think it has been good/very good.
Among respondents aged under 35, 24% think The Greens’ performance has been good/very good and 24% think it has been poor/very poor.
07 November 2012, 071112, extreme, Greens Policies, representative of voters
Q. Do you think that The Greens’ policies are too extreme or do they represent the views of many voters?
16 Jul 12 |
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
Too extreme |
53% |
47% |
38% |
69% |
7% |
Represent the views of many voters |
26% |
25% |
33% |
12% |
81% |
Don’t know |
21% |
28% |
29% |
20% |
12% |
47% think The Greens’ policies are too extreme and 25% think they represent the views of many voters. Since this question was last asked in July, the percentage thinking they are extreme has dropped 6% while “don’t know” has increased from 21% to 28%.
Those most likely to think The Greens’ policies are too extreme were men (55%), aged 55+ (66%) and Liberal/National voters (69%).
30% of respondents aged under 35 think they represent the views of many voters and 33% think they are too extreme.
07 November 2012, 071112, Asian countries, Australian relationships, economic future
Q. The Government recently released a report about the Asian Century and the opportunities for Australia as part of the region. Do you agree or disagree that Australia’s economic future depends on our engagement and relationships with Asian countries?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Total agree |
65% |
73% |
66% |
74% |
Total disagree |
16% |
12% |
20% |
16% |
Strongly agree |
16% |
25% |
11% |
24% |
Agree |
49% |
48% |
55% |
50% |
Disagree |
10% |
9% |
12% |
11% |
Strongly disagree |
6% |
3% |
8% |
5% |
Don’t know |
18% |
15% |
14% |
10% |
65% agree that Australia’s economic future depends on our engagement and relationships with Asian countries and 16% disagree. At least two thirds of each voter group agreed.
There was similar agreement across all age groups. Highest disagreement was shown by those aged 55+ (22%) and Liberal/National voters (20%).
07 November 2012, 071112, Asian countries, business connections, diplomatic connections
Q. Do you agree or disagree that increasing our diplomatic and business connections with Asian countries should be a major priority for Australia?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Total agree |
62% |
72% |
60% |
67% |
Total disagree |
22% |
15% |
29% |
19% |
Strongly agree |
13% |
20% |
8% |
22% |
Agree |
49% |
52% |
52% |
45% |
Disagree |
16% |
12% |
21% |
12% |
Strongly disagree |
6% |
3% |
8% |
7% |
Don’t know |
16% |
14% |
11% |
14% |
62% agree that Australia’s increasing our diplomatic and business connections with Asian countries should be a major priority for Australia and 22% disagree.
There was similar agreement across all age groups. Highest disagreement was shown by those aged 55+ (27%) and Liberal/National voters (29%).
07 November 2012, 071112, Asian languages, Education, education in Australia
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of making it a priority for Australian students to learn Asian languages?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Total approve |
50% |
57% |
46% |
64% |
Total disapprove |
38% |
29% |
46% |
26% |
Strongly approve |
9% |
14% |
5% |
18% |
Approve |
41% |
43% |
41% |
46% |
Disapprove |
22% |
18% |
25% |
10% |
Strongly disapprove |
16% |
11% |
21% |
16% |
Don’t know |
13% |
15% |
8% |
10% |
50% approve of making it a priority for Australian students to learn Asian languages and 38% disapprove. A majority of Labor voters and Greens voters approve but Liberal/National voters are split with 46% approve and 46% disapprove.
There were no major differences across age groups. 57% of full-time workers approve and 33% dispapprove.
07 November 2012, 071112, Australia, mining exploration, uranium exploration
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of expanding uranium exploration and mining in Australia?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Total approve |
41% |
36% |
54% |
27% |
Total disapprove |
41% |
47% |
28% |
64% |
Strongly approve |
8% |
7% |
11% |
9% |
Approve |
33% |
29% |
43% |
18% |
Disapprove |
23% |
30% |
15% |
26% |
Strongly disapprove |
18% |
17% |
13% |
38% |
Don’t know |
19% |
17% |
18% |
9% |
Respondents were evenly divided over expanding uranium exploration and mining in Australia – 41% approve and 41% disapprove.
Labor voters and Greens voters were more likely to disapprove while more than half (54%) Liberal/National voters approve.
Men split 56% approve/30% disapprove compared to women 24% approve/50% disapprove.