Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 2,100 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 10/09/2012 |
2 weeks ago 24/09/2012 |
Last week 01/10/2012 |
This week |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
35% |
36% |
37% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 10/09/2012 |
2 weeks ago 24/09/2012 |
Last week 01/10/2012 |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.