The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Nov, 2010

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    Impact of Competition on Interest rates

    Q. If there was more competition between Australian banks, do you think this would stop the banks increasing interest rates by more than the Reserve Bank rate increases?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Yes 47% 48% 50% 55%
    No 31% 31% 34% 18%
    Don’t know 22% 22% 16% 27%

    47% think that if there was more competition between Australian banks, this would stop the banks increasing interest rates by more than the Reserve Bank rate increases while 31% disagree.

    Older people and those on lower incomes were split in their opinions – for those aged 55+, 41% agreed and 38% disagreed while 41% of those on incomes under $600pw disagreed and 38% agreed.

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  • Nov, 2010

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    Trust to Handle Banking Issues

    Q. Who would you trust most to deal with issues affecting the Australian banking industry – the Treasurer Wayne Swan and the Labor Party or the shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey and the Liberal Party?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Wayne Swan and the Labor Party 33% 69% 5% 52%
    Joe Hockey and the Liberal Party 38% 5% 80% 13%
    Don’t know 29% 26% 14% 35%

    38% have most trust in Joe Hockey and the Liberal Party to handle issues affecting the banking industry and 33% trust Wayne Swan and the Labor Party.

    Those aged 55+ trust Joe Hockey more (47% to 35%) while those on incomes under $600pw trust Wayne Swan more (42% to 38%)

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  • Nov, 2010

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    Same Sex Marriage

    Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Should be allowed to marry 53% 57% 45% 80%
    Should not be allowed to marry 36% 32% 45% 12%
    Don’t know 11% 10% 10% 8%

    Same-sex marriage is supported by just over half (53%) of respondents and 36% are opposed.

    Those most likely to think people of the same sex should be allowed to marry are female (59%), aged under 55 (60%) and Greens voters (80%).

    Those most likely to think people of the same sex should not be allowed to marry are male (42%), aged 55+ (57%) and Liberal/National voters (45%).

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  • Nov, 2010

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    The fight for the kitchen table

    First Published on The Drum 09/11/2010

    Nations may rise and fall by the sweep of history but governments are decided at the kitchen table, where all politics becomes not just local, but personal.

    This is the place where bills and mortgage payments are pored over, family budgets are scrutinised, jobs and school are discussed. It is the space in family life where things have to add up.

    Anyone trying to dig Labor out of its current hole could start by turning their attention to the kitchen table, because if this week’s Essential Report is anything to go by, Labor is in the middle of an increasingly messy food-fight.
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  • Nov, 2010

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    Difference between Labor and Liberal Parties

     Q. Thinking about the Federal Parliament, how much difference do you think there is between the policies of the Labor Party and the Liberal Party?

      Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Very little difference 29% 30% 20% 51%
    Some difference 43% 50% 45% 35%
    A lot of difference 19% 15% 31% 4%
    Don’t know 9% 5% 5% 10%

    Q. Do you think that in the last few years, the policies of the Labor Party and the Liberal Party have become more similar or do you think their policies have been moving apart?

      Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Become more similar 51% 54% 50% 63%
    Moving further apart 17% 16% 23% 5%
    No change 21% 23% 19% 19%
    Don’t know 12% 7% 8% 13%

     Only 19% believe there is a lot of difference between the Labor and Liberal Parties and 29% think there is very little difference.  Liberal/National voters (31% a lot of difference) are more likely to think there is a difference than Labor voters (15%).  37% of those aged under 35 think there is little difference.

    51% think the Labor and Liberal Parties have become more similar and 17% think they are moving further apart. When this question was last asked in September 2009, 49% said the parties had become closer and 20% further apart. Comments »

  • Nov, 2010

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,844

    First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 36% 42% 42% 41% 41%
    National 3% 2% 2% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 39% 44% 44% 44% 44%
    Labor 40% 42% 40% 41% 41%
    Greens 11% 8% 9% 8% 8%
    Other/Independent 10% 7% 7% 7% 7%

     

    2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

     

    This week
    Total Lib/Nat 47% 49% 50% 50% 50%
    Labor 53% 51% 50% 50% 50%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    So where is the Left?

    First Published on The Drum 26/10/2010

    If political progressives want to stop the ALP from drifting to the Right, energetically backing the decision to move women and children out of immigration detention looks like a good place to start.

    Prime Minister Julia Gillard and Immigration minister Chris Bowen took the new minority government’s first truly brave decision last week, yet all they got was a sullen acceptance from a Left still acting like jilted lovers after the disappointments of the election campaign.

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  • Oct, 2010

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,873

    First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 36% 40% 42% 42% 41%
    National 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 39% 43% 44% 44% 44%
    Labor 42% 42% 41% 40% 41%
    Greens 9% 9% 8% 9% 8%
    Other/Independent 10% 6% 7% 7% 7%
    2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

    This week
    Total Lib/Nat 46% 49% 49% 50% 50%
    Labor 54% 51% 51% 50% 50%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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