Government deserves to be re-elected

Feb 25, 2013

Q. As of now, do you think the current Federal Labor Government of Julia Gillard deserves to be re-elected?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Yes, deserves to be re-elected

26%

66%

4%

31%

No, does not deserve to be re-elected

57%

17%

88%

38%

Don’t know

17%

17%

8%

31%

26% think that the Labor Government deserves to be re-elected and 57% think they do not. 66% of Labor voters think they deserve to be re-elected.

64% of men and 50% of women think they don’t deserve to be re-elected.

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 18, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,882 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

21/1/13

2 weeks ago

5/2/13

Last week

11/2/13

This week

18/2/13

Liberal

44%

45%

45%

44%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

38.0%

36%

34%

34%

35%

Greens

11.8%

9%

10%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

54%

55%

54%

Labor

50.1%

46%

46%

45%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 5, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,928 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago

21/1/13

Last week

29/01/13

This week

5/02/13

Liberal

44%

44%

45%

National

4%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

35%

34%

Greens

11.8%

9%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

7%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

54%

54%

Labor

50.1%

46%

46%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

 

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 14, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,878 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

17/12/12

This week

14/01/13

Liberal

45%

44%

National

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

8%

8%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

54%

Labor

50.1%

45%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Labor party leader at next election

Dec 17, 2012

Q. Do you think Julia Gillard will still be leader of the Labor Party at the next election – due later next year? 

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Yes

39%

63%

26%

52%

No

40%

19%

59%

21%

Don’t know

21%

18%

14%

26%

39% think Julia Gillard will still be leader of the Labor Party at the next election and 40% think she will not.

63% of Labor voters think she will still be leader.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 29, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,792 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

1/10/12

2 weeks ago

15/10/12

Last week

22/10/12

This week

29/10/12

Liberal

44%

44%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

4%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

38.0%

36%

36%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

8%

7%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

53%

53%

53%

54%

Labor

50.1%

47%

47%

47%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 15, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,924 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

17/9/12

2 weeks ago

1/10/12

Last week

8/10/12

This week

15/10/12

Liberal

45%

44%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

47%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

34%

36%

37%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

7%

7%

8%

 

2PP

Election
21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

53%

53%

53%

Labor

50.1%

45%

47%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 8, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size =  2,100 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

10/09/2012

2 weeks ago 24/09/2012

Last week 01/10/2012

This week

Liberal

44%

45%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

48%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

34%

35%

36%

37%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

7%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 10/09/2012

2 weeks ago 24/09/2012

Last week

01/10/2012

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

55%

53%

53%

Labor

50.1%

45%

45%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

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