The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Feb, 2013

    , , , ,

    Government deserves to be re-elected

    Q. As of now, do you think the current Federal Labor Government of Julia Gillard deserves to be re-elected?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Yes, deserves to be re-elected

    26%

    66%

    4%

    31%

    No, does not deserve to be re-elected

    57%

    17%

    88%

    38%

    Don’t know

    17%

    17%

    8%

    31%

    26% think that the Labor Government deserves to be re-elected and 57% think they do not. 66% of Labor voters think they deserve to be re-elected.

    64% of men and 50% of women think they don’t deserve to be re-elected.

  • Feb, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,882 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    21/1/13

    2 weeks ago

    5/2/13

    Last week

    11/2/13

    This week

    18/2/13

    Liberal

    44%

    45%

    45%

    44%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    34%

    34%

    35%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

    9%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    55%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    45%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Feb, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,928 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago

    21/1/13

    Last week

    29/01/13

    This week

    5/02/13

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    45%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    35%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    7%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

     

  • Jan, 2013

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,878 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    17/12/12

    This week

    14/01/13

    Liberal

    45%

    44%

    National

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Dec, 2012

    , , ,

    Labor party leader at next election

    Q. Do you think Julia Gillard will still be leader of the Labor Party at the next election – due later next year? 

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Yes

    39%

    63%

    26%

    52%

    No

    40%

    19%

    59%

    21%

    Don’t know

    21%

    18%

    14%

    26%

    39% think Julia Gillard will still be leader of the Labor Party at the next election and 40% think she will not.

    63% of Labor voters think she will still be leader.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,792 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    1/10/12

    2 weeks ago

    15/10/12

    Last week

    22/10/12

    This week

    29/10/12

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,924 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    17/9/12

    2 weeks ago

    1/10/12

    Last week

    8/10/12

    This week

    15/10/12

    Liberal

    45%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    36%

    37%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    7%

    7%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election
    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size =  2,100 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    10/09/2012

    2 weeks ago 24/09/2012

    Last week 01/10/2012

    This week

    Liberal

    44%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    35%

    36%

    37%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    7%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 10/09/2012

    2 weeks ago 24/09/2012

    Last week

    01/10/2012

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    55%

    53%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    45%

    47%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Error: