Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,912 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 1/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 15/7/13 |
Last week 23/7/13 |
This week 29/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
43% |
42% |
42% |
41% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
44% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
39% |
39% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 1/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 15/7/13 |
Last week 23/7/13 |
This week 29/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
53% |
52% |
51% |
51% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,980 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 8/7/13 |
Last week 15/7/13 |
This week 23/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
42% |
42% |
42% |
|
| National |
3% |
4% |
4% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
38% |
39% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
11% |
7% |
8% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 8/7/13 |
Last week 15/7/13 |
This week 23/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
52% |
52% |
51% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
48% |
48% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,879 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 17/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 1/7/13 |
Last week 8/7/13 |
This week 15/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
43% |
42% |
42% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
36% |
38% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
7% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
7% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 17/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 1/7/13 |
Last week 8/7/13 |
This week 15/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
54% |
53% |
52% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
47% |
48% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Election of Labor Party leader
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Kevin Rudd’s proposal for the leader of the Labor Party to be elected by both the Members of Parliament and the party members?
|
|
Total
|
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
| Total approve |
56% |
73% |
45% |
64% |
|
| Total disapprove |
19% |
9% |
30% |
11% |
|
| Strongly approve |
18% |
33% |
7% |
29% |
|
| Approve |
38% |
40% |
38% |
35% |
|
| Disapprove |
11% |
8% |
14% |
7% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
8% |
1% |
16% |
4% |
|
| Don’t know |
25% |
18% |
25% |
25% |
56% approve of Kevin Rudd’s proposal for election of the party leader and 19% disapprove. 73% of Labor voters approve.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,778 respondent
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
Last week 1/7/13 |
This week 8/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
43% |
42% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
Last week 1/7/13 |
This week 8/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
54% |
55% |
53% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
45% |
47% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,865 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
|
This week (single week result) |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
42% |
||
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
|||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
||
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
35% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
||
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
||
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election |
|
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
|
This week (single week result) |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
55% |
53% |
52% |
||
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
45% |
47% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,916 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
Last week 17/6/13 |
This week 24/6/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
36% |
35% |
34% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
Last week 17/6/13 |
This week 24/6/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
54% |
55% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,906 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
Last week 3/6/13 |
This week 11/6/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
45% |
44% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
Last week 3/6/13 |
This week 11/6/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
54% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 14 May 2019
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