24 June 2013, 240613, 2PP, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,916 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
Last week 17/6/13 |
This week 24/6/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
36% |
35% |
34% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
Last week 17/6/13 |
This week 24/6/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
54% |
55% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
24 June 2013, 240613, vote in house of representatives, vote in the senate
Q. Would you vote for the same party in the Senate as in the House of Representatives or would you vote for a different party in the Senate?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Vote for same party in House of Representatives and Senate |
67% |
74% |
78% |
61% |
|
| Vote for a different party in the Senate |
9% |
9% |
7% |
11% |
|
| Don’t know |
24% |
18% |
14% |
28% |
9% of respondents said they would vote for a different party in the Senate and 67% said they would vote for the same party as in the House of Representatives. 24% did not know.
Those most likely to vote for a different party in the Senate were men (12%), South Australian voters (17%) and those voting for independents or other minor parties (21%).
24 June 2013, 240613, aggressive, attributes of Julia Gillard, capable leader, hard-working, intelligent, visionary
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?
|
5 Jul 10 |
27 Jun 11 |
2 Apr 12 |
14 Jan 13 |
2 Apr 13 |
|
23 Jun 13 |
Change |
|
| Hard-working |
89% |
75% |
65% |
72% |
66% |
71% |
+5 |
|
| Intelligent |
87% |
73% |
61% |
72% |
69% |
69% |
– |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
35% |
60% |
65% |
53% |
64% |
57% |
-7 |
|
| Superficial |
52% |
54% |
46% |
55% |
49% |
-6 |
||
| Arrogant |
37% |
48% |
53% |
47% |
55% |
48% |
-7 |
|
| Erratic |
– |
– |
– |
40% |
55% |
47% |
-8 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
28% |
46% |
53% |
45% |
55% |
46% |
-9 |
|
| Aggressive |
– |
– |
– |
46% |
55% |
45% |
-10 |
|
| A capable leader |
72% |
42% |
38% |
50% |
37% |
44% |
+7 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
68% |
44% |
41% |
47% |
37% |
42% |
+5 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
61% |
41% |
36% |
50% |
44% |
41% |
-3 |
|
| Intolerant |
– |
– |
– |
37% |
49% |
39% |
-10 |
|
| Visionary |
48% |
26% |
25% |
29% |
30% |
32% |
+2 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
45% |
29% |
26% |
30% |
27% |
30% |
+3 |
|
| Trustworthy |
49% |
30% |
25% |
32% |
25% |
30% |
+5 |
Julia Gillard’s key attributes were hard-working (71%), intelligent (69%), out of touch with ordinary people (57%), superficial (49%), arrogant (48%), and erratic (47%). Almost all positive leader attributes for Gillard moved up and the negative attributes moved down from the last time the question was polled in April. The biggest shifts were for aggressive (-10), intolerant (-10), narrow-minded (-9), erratic (-8), a capable leader (+7), arrogant (-7) and out of touch with ordinary people (-7).
24 June 2013, 240613, aggressive, Attributes of Tony Abbott, hard-working, intolerant
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?
|
5 Jul 10 |
27 Jun 11 |
2 Apr 12 |
14 jan 13 |
2 Apr 13 |
|
23 Jun 13 |
Change |
|
| Hard-working |
76% |
75% |
68% |
70% |
70% |
68% |
-2 |
|
| Intelligent |
70% |
61% |
56% |
64% |
63% |
62% |
-1 |
|
| Arrogant |
59% |
60% |
61% |
61% |
56% |
59% |
+3 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
56% |
54% |
54% |
56% |
53% |
55% |
+2 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
57% |
57% |
54% |
54% |
52% |
52% |
– |
|
| Aggressive |
– |
– |
– |
55% |
49% |
51% |
+2 |
|
| Superficial |
49% |
49% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
– |
||
| Intolerant |
– |
– |
– |
49% |
48% |
48% |
– |
|
| Erratic |
– |
– |
– |
51% |
45% |
47% |
+2 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
50% |
48% |
49% |
47% |
49% |
44% |
-5 |
|
| A capable leader |
47% |
45% |
41% |
43% |
47% |
44% |
-3 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
40% |
40% |
36% |
39% |
44% |
38% |
-6 |
|
| Visionary |
32% |
27% |
26% |
28% |
37% |
30% |
-7 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
33% |
32% |
30% |
29% |
36% |
29% |
-7 |
|
| Trustworthy |
33% |
32% |
32% |
33% |
36% |
31% |
-5 |
Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard-working (68%), intelligent (62%), arrogant (59%), narrow-minded (55%), out of touch with ordinary people (52%) and aggressive (51%.
Since April the major shifts have been for visionary (-7%), more honest than most politicians (-7%), good in a crisis (-6%), understands their problems facing Australia (-5) and trustworthy (-5).
24 June 2013, 240613, aggressive, erratic, good in a crisis, intelligent, Julia Gillard, tony abbott
|
Gillard |
Abbott |
|
Difference |
|
| Intelligent |
69% |
62% |
+7 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
57% |
52% |
+5 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
41% |
38% |
+3 |
|
| Hard-working |
71% |
68% |
+3 |
|
| Visionary |
32% |
30% |
+2 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
30% |
29% |
+1 |
|
| Superficial |
49% |
49% |
– |
|
| Erratic |
47% |
47% |
– |
|
| A capable leader |
44% |
44% |
– |
|
| Trustworthy |
30% |
31% |
-1 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
42% |
44% |
-2 |
|
| Aggressive |
45% |
51% |
-6 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
46% |
55% |
-9 |
|
| Intolerant |
39% |
48% |
-9 |
|
| Arrogant |
48% |
59% |
-9 |
Compared to Tony Abbott, Julia Gillard is more likely to be considered intelligent (+7) and out of touch with ordinary people (+5).
Tony Abbott is regarded by more respondents to be arrogant (-9), intolerant (-9), narrow-minded (-9) and aggressive (-6).
24 June 2013, 240613, age pension, Carbon Tax, dental health scheme, Labor decisions, Labor Government, NBN, Stimulus package, tax free threshold
Q. Thinking about the decisions the Labor Government has made over the last few years, do you think the following decisions were good or bad for Australia?
|
Total good |
Total bad |
Very good |
Good |
Neither good nor bad |
Bad |
Very bad |
Don’t know |
Sep 12 good |
Sep 12 bad |
|
| Expanding dental health services for people on low incomes |
73% |
8% |
28% |
45% |
15% |
4% |
4% |
5% |
77% |
5% |
| Increasing the tax free threshold from $6,000 to $18,200 |
72% |
8% |
34% |
38% |
15% |
5% |
3% |
5% |
75% |
4% |
| Increasing the age pension |
67% |
14% |
27% |
40% |
16% |
10% |
4% |
4% |
70% |
11% |
| Protecting large areas of Australia’s marine environment in a network of marine reserves |
66% |
10% |
27% |
39% |
19% |
6% |
4% |
5% |
67% |
8% |
| Introducing the National Disability Insurance Scheme |
63% |
9% |
26% |
37% |
20% |
5% |
4% |
8% |
58% |
5% |
| Increasing superannuation from 9% to 12% |
62% |
14% |
24% |
38% |
19% |
10% |
4% |
5% |
68% |
9% |
| Stimulus spending to tackle the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) |
50% |
26% |
21% |
29% |
19% |
17% |
9% |
5% |
54% |
22% |
| Introducing a tax on large profits of mining companies |
49% |
27% |
21% |
28% |
20% |
15% |
12% |
5% |
49% |
25% |
| Building the NBN (National Broadband Network) |
48% |
28% |
22% |
26% |
18% |
15% |
13% |
6% |
43% |
28% |
| Paid parental leave |
48% |
22% |
14% |
34% |
24% |
13% |
9% |
5% |
52% |
20% |
| Spending on new school buildings during the GFC |
47% |
26% |
12% |
35% |
20% |
15% |
11% |
6% |
53% |
22% |
| Implementing the recommendations of the Gonski report to increase education funding |
46% |
22% |
17% |
29% |
23% |
12% |
10% |
9% |
54% |
8% |
| Abolished WorkChoices |
42% |
27% |
23% |
19% |
22% |
17% |
10% |
10% |
42% |
27% |
| Introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change |
32% |
48% |
14% |
18% |
16% |
18% |
30% |
4% |
28% |
51% |
The two most popular decisions of the Labor Government are ‘expanding dental health services for people on low incomes’ (73% total good) and ‘increasing the tax free threshold from $6,000 to $18,000 (72% total good). The least popular decisions were ‘Implementing the recommendations of the Gonski report (46% total good), ‘Abolished WorkChoices’ (42% total good) and ‘introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change’ (32% total good).
The only issue which received a net negative response was ‘introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change’, where 48% of respondents believed it to be bad for Australia.
Since this question was previously asked last September, perceptions of most decisions have become a little more negative – with the exceptions of the “carbon tax” which shifted from 28% to 32% ‘good’, the ‘NDIS’ which shifted from 58% to 63% ‘good’ and building the NBN which shifted from 43% to 48% ‘good’.
The largest negative shifts were for the ‘Gonski recommendations’ (down 8% to 46%), increasing super (down 6% to 62%) and spending on schools during the GFC (down 6% to 47%).
24 June 2013, 240613, Gonski reforms, tony abbott school funding
Q. The NSW and South Australian Governments have reached agreement with the Federal Government to implement the Gonski education reforms which provide more funds for schools. Tony Abbott says if he is elected he will reverse these agreements and return to the previous system for funding schools. Would you approve or disapprove of Tony Abbott reversing the Gonski reforms?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total approve |
32% |
17% |
51% |
12% |
|
| Total disapprove |
44% |
71% |
21% |
66% |
|
| Strongly approve |
12% |
5% |
21% |
6% |
|
| Approve |
20% |
12% |
30% |
6% |
|
| Disapprove |
20% |
24% |
14% |
26% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
24% |
47% |
7% |
40% |
|
| Don’t know |
24% |
12% |
27% |
22% |
32% approved of Tony Abbott reversing the Gonski reforms if elected and 44% disapproved.
37% of men approved compared to 27% of women. 50% of respondents aged 55+ disapproved.
24 June 2013, 240613, sexism against women, sexism in politics, sexism in the media, sexism in workplaces
Q. How much sexism and discrimination against women do you think currently occurs in the following?
|
A lot |
Some |
A little |
None at all |
Don’t know |
|
A lot/ some TOTAL |
A lot/ some MEN |
A lot/ some WOMEN |
|
A lot/ some Oct 12 |
|
| In workplaces |
21% |
39% |
28% |
7% |
5% |
60% |
47% |
72% |
55% |
||
| In the media |
23% |
36% |
25% |
10% |
5% |
59% |
48% |
71% |
56% |
||
| In politics |
28% |
33% |
23% |
11% |
5% |
61% |
49% |
73% |
61% |
||
| In advertising |
29% |
31% |
24% |
10% |
6% |
60% |
51% |
69% |
59% |
||
| In sport |
23% |
34% |
25% |
12% |
6% |
57% |
46% |
69% |
58% |
||
| In schools |
11% |
29% |
32% |
18% |
10% |
40% |
34% |
46% |
43% |
A majority of respondents think there is a lot or some sexism in politics (61%), advertising (60%), workplaces (60%), the media (59%) and sport (57%).
Women were more likely than men to think there is a lot or some sexism in all areas – but especially in politics (women 73%, men 49%), workplaces (72%/47%) and the media (71%/48%).
Since this question was previously asked last October, those thinking there is a lot/some sexism in workplaces has increased 5 points to 60%.