Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,886 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 (current figures) |
|
4 weeks ago 26/8/13 |
2 weeks ago 9/9/13 |
Last week 16/9/13 |
This week 23/9/13 |
| Liberal |
|
40% |
41% |
42% |
41% |
|
| National |
2% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
43% |
45% |
44% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
38% |
35% |
36% |
37% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
11% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
12.4% |
9% |
12% |
11% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 26/8/13 |
2 weeks ago 9/9/13 |
Last week 16/9/13 |
This week 23/9/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.4% |
50% |
53% |
53% |
51% |
|
| Labor |
46.6% |
50% |
47% |
47% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,864 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 (current figures) |
|
4 weeks ago 19/8/13 |
2 weeks ago 2/9/13 |
Last week 9/9/13 |
This week 16/9/13 |
| Liberal |
|
41% |
41% |
41% |
42% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
44% |
|
| Labor |
33.6% |
40% |
35% |
35% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
8.4% |
8% |
11% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
12.4% |
8% |
10% |
12% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 19/8/13 |
2 weeks ago 2/9/13 |
Last week 9/9/13 |
This week 16/9/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.4% |
50% |
52% |
53% |
53% |
|
| Labor |
46.6% |
50% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. The Federal Election will be held next weekend on 7 September – to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
The table below shows weekly figures through the election campaign.
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
5/8/13 |
13/8/13 |
19/8/13 |
26/8/13 |
2/9/13 |
5/9/13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
| Liberal National |
43.6% |
43% |
44% |
43% |
43% |
44% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
37% |
41% |
39% |
36% |
35% |
35% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
7% |
9% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
11% |
9% |
8% |
10% |
11% |
12% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
5/8/13 |
13/8/13 |
19/8/13 |
26/8/13 |
2/9/13 |
5/9/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
51% |
50% |
50% |
51% |
53% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
49% |
50% |
50% |
49% |
47% |
48% |
Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,856 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 5/8/13 |
2 weeks ago 19/8/13 |
Last week 26/8/13 |
This week 2/9/13 |
| Liberal |
|
40% |
41% |
40% |
41% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
43% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
38% |
40% |
38% |
35% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
8% |
11% |
11% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
10% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 5/8/13 |
2 weeks ago 19/8/13 |
Last week 26/8/13 |
This week 2/9/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
51% |
50% |
50% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
49% |
50% |
50% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,795 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 29/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 13/8/13 |
Last week 19/8/13 |
This week 26/8/13 |
| Liberal |
|
41% |
40% |
41% |
40% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
39% |
39% |
40% |
38% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
11% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 29/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 13/8/13 |
Last week 19/8/13 |
This week 26/8/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
51% |
51% |
50% |
50% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
49% |
49% |
50% |
50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,902 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 22/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 5/8/13 |
Last week 13/8/13 |
This week 19/8/13 |
| Liberal |
|
42% |
40% |
40% |
41% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
45% |
43% |
43% |
44% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
39% |
38% |
39% |
40% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
7% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 22/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 5/8/13 |
Last week 13/8/13 |
This week 19/8/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
51% |
51% |
51% |
50% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,899 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 15/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 29/7/13 |
Last week 5/8/13 |
This week 13/8/13 |
| Liberal |
|
42% |
41% |
40% |
40% |
|
| National |
|
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
46% |
44% |
43% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
39% |
39% |
38% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
7% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
10% |
10% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 15/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 29/7/13 |
Last week 5/8/13 |
This week 13/8/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
52% |
51% |
51% |
51% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,903 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 8/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 23/7/13 |
Last week 29/7/13 |
This week 5/8/13 |
| Liberal |
|
42% |
42% |
41% |
40% |
|
| National |
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
46% |
45% |
44% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
38% |
39% |
39% |
38% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
7% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
9% |
8% |
10% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 8/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 23/7/13 |
Last week 29/7/13 |
This week 5/8/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
52% |
51% |
51% |
51% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
COVID-19 RESEARCH
Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.
Essential Report
In this week's report:
- Performance of Scott Morrison
- Performance of Anthony Albanese
- Preferred Prime Minister
- Views towards re-electing the federal Coalition government
- Party trust to handle issues
- Importance of Australia’s international reputation
- Scott Morrison’s impact on Australia’s international reputation
- Views towards Australia’s international reputation
Sign up for updates
Receive the Essential Report in your inbox.Essential Tags
Recent Comments
