Federal Election

Dec 5, 2011

Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

5 Sept 11 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Should run to 2013 40% 47% 89% 20% 73%
Should hold election now 48% 41% 7% 74% 16%
Don’t know 12% 12% 4% 6% 11%

47% think that the Labor Government should be allowed to run its full term trough to 2013 and 41% think a new election should be held. This is almost exactly the reverse of the results when this question was previously asked in September when 48% thought an election should be held now and 40% thought the Government should run its full term.

Support for the Government to run its full term has increased among Labor voters (from 82% to 89%) and Liberal/National voters (11% to 20%) but dropped from 80% to 73% for Greens voters.

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Important election issues

Dec 5, 2011

Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

First Second Third Total 6 June 11 24 Jan 11 11 Oct 10 25 Jan 10
Management of the economy 39% 16% 7% 62% 61% 65% 62% 63%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 4% 8% 10% 22% 26% 26% 32% 23%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 12% 18% 17% 47% 49% 49% 48% 48%
Protecting the environment 4% 5% 4% 13% 15% 13% 12% 16%
A fair industrial relations system 3% 4% 4% 11% 8% 10% 11% *
Political leadership 7% 6% 5% 18% 17% 16% 16% 23%
Addressing climate change 3% 4% 3% 10% 15% 10% 11% 16%
Controlling interest rates 2% 4% 5% 11% 13% 21% 17% 15%
Australian jobs and protection of local industries 11% 12% 13% 36% 32% 30% 30% 33%
Ensuring a quality water supply * 2% 2% 4% 5% 6% 6% 12%
Housing affordability 3% 4% 6% 13% 16% 16% 17% 14%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 3% 5% 8% 16% 17% 18% 16% 14%
Security and the war on terrorism 1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 5% 6% 9%
Treatment of asylum seekers 2% 3% 3% 8% 5% 5% 5% *
Managing population growth 1% 3% 4% 8% 12% 11% 10% *

*Not asked

62% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 47% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and 36% Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

Since June, there have been only minor changes in these figures – there has been an increase in the importance of Australian jobs and protection of local industries (+4%) and declines in the importance of addressing climate change (-5%), ensuring a quality education for all children (-4%), managing population growth (-4%) and security and the war on terrorism (-4%).

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Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 25, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,873

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 36% 40% 42% 42% 41%
National 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 43% 44% 44% 44%
Labor 42% 42% 41% 40% 41%
Greens 9% 9% 8% 9% 8%
Other/Independent 10% 6% 7% 7% 7%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

This week
Total Lib/Nat 46% 49% 49% 50% 50%
Labor 54% 51% 51% 50% 50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 11, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1,912 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 37% 41% 40% 42% 42%
National 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 40% 44% 43% 44% 44%
Labor 41% 39% 42% 42% 41%
Greens 11% 10% 9% 8% 8%
Other/Independent 8% 6% 6% 7% 7%

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 46% 50% 49% 49% 49%
Labor 54% 50% 51% 51% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 27, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1910 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week


Liberal 36% 41% 41% 42% 40%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 44% 44% 45% 43%
Labor 43% 38% 39% 40% 42%
Greens 9% 11% 10% 9% 9%
Other/Independent 9% 7% 7% 6% 6%


2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week


Total Lib/Nat 46% 50% 50% 50% 49%
Labor 54% 50% 50% 50% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

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Federal Politics – Voting Intention

Nov 30, 2009

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

*1979 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 31%
National 4%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 42% -3%
Labor 47% 58% +3%
Greens 8%
Family First 3%
Other/Independent 7%

NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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