050813, 5 August 2013, election 2013, Federal Election, vote decision
Q. Thinking about the Federal election to be held this year, when do you expect you will make your final decision about who you will vote for?
|
Total
|
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Other party |
Don’t know |
|
| I have already decided |
53% |
55% |
69% |
36% |
29% |
8% |
|
| During the election campaign |
15% |
19% |
12% |
24% |
18% |
6% |
|
| In the last week before the election |
12% |
11% |
9% |
15% |
25% |
7% |
|
| The day before the election |
3% |
4% |
2% |
9% |
1% |
2% |
|
| On the day of the election |
8% |
7% |
4% |
9% |
20% |
18% |
|
| Don’t know |
9% |
5% |
4% |
8% |
7% |
60% |
53% say they have already decided who they will be voting for in the Federal election, 30% will finally make up their mind at some stage before election day and 8% will decide on election day.
Those least likely to have made up their mind were aged 18-24 (33%), Greens voters (36%), other party/independent voters (29%) and respondents with university education (48%).
29 January 2013, 290113, date of 2013 election, date of election, Federal Election, Labor Government
Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until later in 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?
|
5 |
5 |
30 |
5 |
30 |
Total 29 |
Vote ALP |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
|
| Should run to later in 2013 |
40% |
47% |
48% |
46% |
48% |
51% |
84% |
25% |
76% |
| Should hold election now |
48% |
41% |
41% |
44% |
42% |
35% |
4% |
66% |
12% |
| Don’t know |
12% |
12% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
14% |
12% |
8% |
12% |
51% think the Labor Government should run its full term until later in 2013 and 35% think an election should be held now. 14% don’t know.
Opinions have shifted away having an early election since this question was polled in April 2012.
26 November 2012, 261112, Federal Election, voting behaviour
Q. Thinking about Federal elections, which of the following best describes you how you vote?
|
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
| I usually vote for the same party but have voted for another party occasionally |
36% |
|
41% |
40% |
34% |
| I always vote for the same party |
30% |
|
36% |
34% |
25% |
| I don’t have any usual party preference and just decide who to vote for each election on its own |
13% |
|
8% |
9% |
19% |
| I often switch my vote between Labor and Liberals or Nationals. |
9% |
|
5% |
15% |
3% |
| I often switch my vote between a major party (Labor or Liberal) and a minor party (e.g. Greens) or an independent |
5% |
7% |
1% |
11% |
|
| Don’t know |
8% |
4% |
1% |
7% |
The greatest portion of respondents claim to usually vote for the same party but have voted for another party occasionally (36%). A slightly smaller portion of respondents claim to always vote for the same party (30%).
Thirteen percent (13%) of respondents don’t have any usual party preference. Nine percent (9%) claim to switch their vote between Labor and Liberals/Nationals (9%) and 5% claim to switch their vote between a major party and a minor party.
Looking at the results by voting intention, 41% of Labor voters and 40% of Lib/Nat voters usually vote for the same party but have voted for another party occasionally. Again, a fairly equal portion of Labor voters (36%) and Lib/Nat voters (34%) claim to always vote for the same party.
Greens voters are the most likely to claim that don’t have a usual party preference (19%) and that they often switch their vote between a major party and a minor party (11%).
22 October 2012, 221012, 2PP, ALP, Federal Election, first preference vote, Greens, Liberal, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,888 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 24/9/12 |
2 weeks ago 8/10/12 |
Last week 15/10/12 |
This week 22/10/12 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
24 September 2012, 240912, 2PP, ALP, Federal Election, first preference vote, Greens, Liberal
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1992 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 27/08/12 |
2 weeks ago 10/9/2012 |
Last week 17/09/2012 |
This week |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
47% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
32% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 27/08/12 |
2 weeks ago 10/9/2012 |
This week 17/09/2012 |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
23 July 2012, 230712, concern about workchoices, Federal Election, industrial laws, Liberal Party, tony abbott
Q. If they won the next election, how likely do you think it would be that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices?
|
31 May 10 |
12 July 10 |
21 Nov 11 |
Total 23 Jul 12 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Work full time |
Work part time |
|
| Total likely |
58% |
56% |
51% |
53% |
78% |
40% |
55% |
53% |
53% |
| Total unlikely |
21% |
24% |
27% |
22% |
11% |
34% |
14% |
24% |
15% |
| Very likely |
28% |
26% |
22% |
26% |
52% |
9% |
38% |
27% |
23% |
| Quite likely |
30% |
30% |
29% |
27% |
26% |
31% |
17% |
26% |
30% |
| Not very likely |
18% |
18% |
19% |
16% |
6% |
26% |
13% |
18% |
11% |
| Not at all likely |
3% |
6% |
8% |
6% |
5% |
8% |
1% |
6% |
4% |
| Don’t know |
20% |
20% |
22% |
26% |
11% |
26% |
30% |
23% |
32% |
Respondents were a little more likely to think that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices than when a similar question was asked last year. 53% (up 2%) think it is likely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices if they won the next election and 22% (down 5%) think it is unlikely.
78% of Labor voters and 55% of Greens voters think it is likely, while Liberal/National voters are split 40% likely (up 7%) to 34% unlikely (down 10%).
23 July 2012, 230712, Federal Election, Liberals, WorkChoices
Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?
|
31 May 10 |
12 July 10 |
21 Nov 11 |
Total 23 Jul 12 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Work full time |
Work part time |
|
| Very concerned |
28% |
29% |
26% |
30% |
60% |
7% |
39% |
33% |
28% |
| Quite concerned |
17% |
19% |
15% |
16% |
16% |
14% |
17% |
16% |
21% |
| A little concerned |
20% |
16% |
20% |
15% |
11% |
18% |
20% |
14% |
17% |
| Not concerned |
24% |
25% |
27% |
26% |
7% |
48% |
5% |
28% |
19% |
| Don’t know |
11% |
11% |
11% |
14% |
6% |
12% |
20% |
11% |
15% |
Respondents were also more concerned about the re-introduction of WorkChoices than last year. 46% (up 5%) would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 41% (down 6%) were only a little or not concerned.
76% of Labor voters and 56% of Greens voters would be concerned. 66% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 21% concerned. 49% of full-time workers and part-time workers said they would be very/quite concerned.
51% of those aged 45-64 said they would be very/quite concerned.
09 July 2012, 090712, 2PP, ALP, Federal Election, first preference vote, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberals, Nationals, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,876 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 12/6/12 |
2 weeks ago 25/6/12 |
Last week 2/7/12 |
This week 9/7/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
46% |
45% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
32% |
33% |
32% |
31% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.