Better Prime Minister, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Julia Gillard, kevin rudd, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls, Prime Minister, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| 5 Jul 2010 | 20 Sep | 20 Dec | 17 Jan 2011 | 14 Feb 2011 | 14 Mar 2011 | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 53% | 47% | 45% | 47% | 48% | 44% | 88% | 8% | 73% | 47% | |
| Tony Abbott | 26% | 35% | 34% | 32% | 31% | 33% | 3% | 70% | 4% | 30% | |
| Don’t know | 21% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 9% | 22% | 22% | 23% |
44% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 6% on last month’s figures (from +17% to +11%).
Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 42%/37% and women 46%/29%.
EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, gay and lesbian, gay rites, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Marriage laws, Marriage rites, Polling, polls, same sex marriage
Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?
| 15 Nov 2010 | 14 Mar 2011 | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Should be allowed to marry | 53% | 49% | 54% | 40% | 78% |
| Should not be allowed to marry | 36% | 40% | 36% | 50% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 6% |
Support for same-sex marriage has declined a little since this question was last asked in November. 49% (down 4%) agree people of the same sex should be allowed to marry and 40% (up 4%) disagree.
By gender – 43% of men support same sex marriage and 47% oppose, while 56% of women support and 34% oppose.
ACT, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essnetial Report, Federal Minister, Greens, Labor, legislation, Liberal, Northern Territory, Polling, polls, Territory legislation, Territory Rights
Q. Do you agree or disagree that ACT and the Northern Territory should have the same rights as the states to pass legislation without being over-ruled by a Federal Minister?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total agree | 74% | 80% | 73% | 74% |
| Total disagree | 9% | 8% | 11% | 8% |
| Strongly agree | 29% | 36% | 24% | 41% |
| Agree | 45% | 44% | 49% | 33% |
| Disagree | 6% | 5% | 7% | 8% |
| Strongly disagree | 3% | 3% | 4% | – |
| Don’t know | 17% | 12% | 16% | 18% |
There is strong majority support for the right of territories to pass legislation without being over-ruled by a Federal Minister. 74% agree and only 9% disagree.
carbon pollution, Carbon Pricing, carbon pricing scheme, Carbon Tax, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls
Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?
| Last week | This week | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total support | 35% | 38% | 55% | 20% | 78% |
| Total oppose | 48% | 49% | 32% | 73% | 11% |
| Strongly support | 9% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 39% |
| Support | 26% | 26% | 38% | 16% | 39% |
| Oppose | 19% | 17% | 17% | 20% | 6% |
| Strongly oppose | 29% | 32% | 15% | 53% | 5% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 11% |
Support for the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme has increased a little since this question was asked last week – from 35% to 38%. The change is due to some previously “undecided” respondents forming a view – opposition has increased 1% and “don’t know” decreased by 5%.
There is majority support from Labor and Greens voters while 73% of Liberal/National voters are opposed.
carbon pollution, Carbon Pricing, carbon pricing scheme, Carbon Tax, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls
Q. Would you support or oppose this carbon pricing scheme if the money paid by big polluting industries was used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total support | 54% | 78% | 34% | 80% |
| Total oppose | 30% | 11% | 51% | 7% |
| Strongly support | 17% | 29% | 6% | 39% |
| Support | 37% | 49% | 28% | 41% |
| Oppose | 14% | 8% | 22% | 3% |
| Strongly oppose | 16% | 3% | 29% | 4% |
| Don’t know | 17% | 11% | 15% | 13% |
There was a substantial shift in opinion of the Government’s carbon pricing scheme when respondents were told that the money paid by big polluting industries would be used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices.
Support increased from 38% to 54% and opposition declined from 49% to 30%. The major shift occurred with Labor voters where support increased by 23% to 78%. Support from Liberal/National voters increased from 20% to 34% while opposition declined 22% to 51%.
carbon pollution, carbon pricing scheme, Carbon Tax, climate, climate change, Coalition, Coalition voters, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, government, IPCC, Labor, Labor voters, peter lewis, Resources Rent Tax, The Drum
First published on The Drum: 08/03/2011
The media works in eight-hour news cycles, politicians live and die by three-year cycles, while the planet’s climate is working on a significantly longer time frame.
The way these three cycles interplay over the next few months will determine not only the outcome of the next federal election but whether Australia will be a beneficiary or a victim of the shift in energy use that climate change will inevitably require*.
As this week’s Essential Report shows the Government has taken a short-term hammering after it’s decision to move on a carbon price. Not only has the Government failed to win popular support for its carbon pricing scheme, this has translated into a 4 per cent turnaround in the Two Party Preferred.
Of particular concern to Labor would be the high level of strong opposition, compared to strong support for the plan and the fact that barely half of Labor voters are backing the scheme.
carbon, Carbon emissions, carbon pollution, carbon pollution tax, carbon pricing system, Carbon Tax, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Network Ten, Polling, polls
Q. Do you think Australia should delay imposing a carbon pollution tax until the US has established an equal or stronger carbon pricing system? (Question commissioned by Network Ten)
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Men | Women | Aged
18-34 |
Aged
35-54 |
Aged 55+ | |
| Yes | 45% | 33% | 62% | 13% | 51% | 40% | 34% | 47% | 56% |
| No | 33% | 47% | 21% | 71% | 34% | 33% | 40% | 31% | 29% |
| Don’t know | 21% | 20% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 27% | 25% | 22% | 15% |
45% of respondents think Australia should delay imposing a carbon pollution tax until the US has established an equal or stronger carbon pricing system and 33% think we should not delay.
Those most likely to think Australia should delay imposing a carbon pollution tax were Coalition voters (62%), men (51%) and aged 55+ (56%).
Those most likely to disagree were Greens voters (71%), Labor voters (47%) and aged 18-34 (40%).
Download the Network Ten: Essential Question of the Week (1.1 MB pdf)
2PP, Election, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,918
| First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 43% | 40% | 42% | 44% | |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 46% | 43% | 45% | 47% |
| Labor | 38.0 | 38% | 39% | 37% | 36% |
| Greens | 11.8 | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% |
| Other/Independent | 6.6 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 51% | 49% | 52% | 53% |
| Labor | 50.1% | 49% | 51% | 48% | 47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.