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  • Jun, 2011

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    Vote if Kevin Rudd Labor Leader

    Q. If Kevin Rudd was the leader of the Labor Party (and Tony Abbott was leader of the Liberal Party), to which party will you probably give your first preference vote if a Federal Election was held today? If not sure, which party would you lean toward?

    First preference Total Gave vote
    Liberal 36% 39%
    National 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 39% 42%
    Labor 41% 45%
    Greens 7% 8%
    Other/Independent 5% 6%
    Don’t know 8%

    If Kevin Rudd was leader of the Labor Party (and Tony Abbott was leader of the Liberal Party) 45% said they would give their first preference vote to Labor (up 13%) and 42% to the Liberal or National Parties (down 6%). The Greens vote drops 3% to 8%.

    In two party preferred terms, this equates to 53% Labor/47% Liberal/National – a swing of 8% to Labor.

    Most of the increased Labor vote comes from Liberal/National voters  – 12% of Liberal/National voters said they would vote Labor if Kevin Rudd was leader.

    Groups with the largest shifts to Labor were women, aged under 35, NSW and lower incomes.

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Attributes to describe the Prime Minister

    Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?

    5 Jul 10 4 Oct 10 7 Feb 11 27 Jun 11 Difference
    Intelligent 87% 81% 75% 73% -2%
    Hard-working 89% 82% 76% 75% -1%
    A capable leader 72% 59% 52% 42% -10%
    Arrogant 37% 39% 44% 48% +4%
    Out of touch with ordinary people 35% 44% 50% 60% +10%
    Understands the problems facing Australia 68% 55% 52% 44% -8%
    Visionary 48% 38% 30% 26% -4%
    Superficial 51% 52% +1%
    Good in a crisis 61% 46% 46% 41% -5%
    Narrow-minded 28% 35% 43% 46% +3%
    More honest than most politicians 45% 37% 37% 29% -8%
    Trustworthy 49% 42% 40% 30% -10%

    Julia Gillard’s key attributes were hard-working (75%), intelligent (73%) and out of touch with ordinary people (60%).

    Major changes since this question was asked in February were an increase of 10% for out of touch (to 60%) and decreases for a capable leader (down 10% to 42%) and trustworthy (down 10% to 30%).

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Attributes to describe the Opposition Leader

    Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 10 4 Oct 10 7 Feb 11 27 Jun 11 Change
    Intelligent 70% 71% 64% 61% -3%
    Hard-working 76% 78% 72% 75% +3%
    A capable leader 47% 52% 48% 45% -3%
    Arrogant 59% 60% 58% 60% +2%
    Out of touch with ordinary people 57% 53% 54% 57% +3%
    Understands the problems facing Australia 50% 53% 50% 48% -2%
    Visionary 32% 31% 27% 27%
    Superficial 45% 49% +4%
    Good in a crisis 40% 42% 41% 40% -1%
    Narrow-minded 56% 53% 51% 54% +3%
    More honest than most politicians 33% 32% 31% 32% +1%
    Trustworthy 33% 35% 34% 32% -2%

    Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard-working (75%), intelligent (61%) and arrogant (60%).

    There have only been minor changes since this question was asked in February.

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Comparison of Leader Attributes

    Julia Gillard Tony Abbott Difference
    Intelligent 73% 61% +12%
    Hard-working 75% 75%
    A capable leader 42% 45% -3%
    Arrogant 48% 60% -12%
    Out of touch with ordinary people 60% 57% +3%
    Understands the problems facing Australia 44% 48% -4%
    Visionary 26% 27% -1%
    Superficial 52% 49% +3%
    Good in a crisis 41% 40% +1%
    Narrow-minded 46% 54% -8%
    More honest than most politicians 29% 32% -3%
    Trustworthy 30% 32% -2%

    Julia Gillard rates substantially higher than Tony Abbott as intelligent (+12%) and lower on the negative attributes of arrogant (-12%) and narrow-minded (-8%). There were only minor differences on the other attributes.

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  • May, 2011

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    Best Leader of the Labor Party

    Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Julia Gillard 23% 51% 10% 26%
    Kevin Rudd 32% 31% 31% 31%
    Wayne Swan 2% 1% 3% 3%
    Greg Combet 4% 5% 3% 6%
    Bill Shorten 3% 3% 3% 4%
    Someone else 19% 5% 31% 11%
    Don’t know 17% 5% 18% 19%

    32% think Kevin Rudd would make the best leader of the Labor Party and 23% prefer Julia Gillard. Julia Gillard is preferred by 51% of Labor voters compared to 31% for Kevin Rudd. Men prefer Kevin Rudd over Julia Gillard 34% to 21% and women by 30% to 25%.

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  • Oct, 2010

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

      Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
      31 May 5 Jul 19 Jul 26 Jul 2 Aug 9 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct
    Total approve 41% 48% 52% 49% 46% 45% 46% 45% 45%
    Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 33% 38% 40% 40% 37% 37%
    Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 12% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10%
    Approve 34% 34% 41% 37% 36% 32% 33% 33% 36%
    Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 19% 23% 24% 24% 21% 20%
    Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 14% 15% 16% 16% 16% 17%
    Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 17% 15% 15% 13% 19% 18%

     45% approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 37% disapprove – showing no change from last months ratings.

     89% of Labor voters approve and 3% disapprove.

    By gender – men 45% approve/41% disapprove, women 45% approve/35% disapprove. Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

      18 Jan 22 Feb 29 Mar 3 May 31 May 5 Jul 2 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct
    Total approve 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 37% 38% 41% 43% 39%
    Total disapprove 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 47% 48% 44% 37% 45%
    Strongly approve 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8%
    Approve 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 29% 30% 32% 31% 31%
    Disapprove 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 23% 27% 22% 21% 22%
    Strongly disapprove 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 24% 21% 22% 16% 23%
    Don’t know 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 16% 14% 15% 19% 17%

    39% (down 4%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 45% (up 8%) disapprove – a shift from a net rating of +6% to -6%.

    74% (down 5%) of Coalition voters approve and 13% (up 6%) disapprove.

     By gender – men 40% approve/47% disapprove, women 37% approve/41% disapprove. Comments »

  • Aug, 2010

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    Opinion of Julia Gillard

    Q. Since the election was called has your opinion of Julia Gillard and the Labor Party gone up or down?

      Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens   2 weeks ago
    Total gone up 21% 42% 8% 22%   19%
    Total gone down 40% 13% 67% 28%   42%
    Gone up a lot 6% 16% * 3%   6%
    Gone up a little 15% 26% 8% 19%   13%
    Stayed the same 35% 44% 23% 48%   32%
    Gone down a little 18% 12% 26% 15%   20%
    Gone down a lot 22% 1% 41% 13%   22%
    Don’t know 4% 1% 1% 2%   7%

    21% say their opinion of Julia Gillard and the Labor Party has gone up during the election campaign and 40% say it has gone down.

    This is a slight improvement on their position 2 weeks ago when opinion was 19% up and 42% down.

    By gender – men 20% up/43% down and women 23% up/36% down. Comments »

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