Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 12, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

 

1,953 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Liberal 34% 38% 36% 36% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 41% 39% 39% 38%
Labor 47% 35% 42% 42% 41%
Greens 8% 14% 9% 11% 13%
Family First 2% 2% 3% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 6% 8% 7% 6% 6%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Total Lib/Nat 43% 49% 46% 46% 45%
Labor 57% 51% 54% 54% 55%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 5, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,797 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 38% 37% 36% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 40% 40% 39% 39%
Labor 47% 37% 38% 42% 42%
Greens 8% 12% 11% 9% 11%
Family First 2% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Other/Independent 6% 7% 8% 7% 6%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 48% 48% 46% 46%
Labor 57% 52% 52% 54% 54%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 28, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,803sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 39% 38% 37% 36%
National 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 41% 41% 40% 39%
Labor 47% 39% 35% 38% 42%
Greens 8% 9% 14% 11% 9%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Other/Independent 6% 8% 8% 8% 7%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 49% 49% 48% 46%
Labor 57% 51% 51% 52% 54%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 21, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,842 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 39% 38% 38% 37%
National 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 41% 40% 41% 40%
Labor 47% 40% 37% 35% 38%
Greens 8% 10% 12% 14% 11%
Family First 2% 2% 3% 2% 3%
Other/Independent 6% 7% 7% 8% 8%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 48% 48% 49% 48%
Labor 57% 52% 52% 51% 52%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 15, 2010

Federal politics – voting intention

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,850 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 32% 41% 39% 38% 38%
National 3% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 43% 41% 40% 41%
Labor 46% 38% 39% 37% 35%
Greens 10% 10% 9% 12% 14%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 7% 8% 7% 8
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 42% 50% 49% 48% 49%
Labor 58% 50% 51% 52% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.
Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 7, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?   

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

 1,872 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 30% 39% 39% 39% 38%
National 4% 3% 2% 2% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 34% 42% 41% 41% 40%
Labor 46% 37% 40% 39% 37%
Greens 9% 11% 10% 9% 12%
Family First 3% 2% 2% 2% 3%
Other/Independent 8% 8% 7% 8% 7%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 42% 50% 48% 49% 48%
Labor 58% 50% 52% 51% 52%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.   Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

May 31, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

1,866 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Liberal 31% 36% 41% 39% 39%
National 4% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 39% 43% 41% 41%
Labor 47% 40% 38% 40% 39%
Greens 8% 11% 10% 10% 9%
Family First 3% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 7% 7% 7% 8%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Total Lib/Nat 42% 47% 50% 48% 49%
Labor 58% 53% 50% 52% 51%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Impact on Vote of Re-introducing WorkChoices

May 31, 2010

Q. If it turned out the Coalition was planning to reintroduce some of the Howard Government’s IR laws, like ending unfair dismissal protections and restoring individual contracts, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them in the upcoming federal election?

Total more likely 14%
Total less likely 46%
Much more likely 6%
Somewhat more likely 8%
Somewhat less likely 14%
Much less likely 32%
Make no difference 25%
Don’t know 15%

 46% said that they would be less likely to vote for the Coalition if they were planning to reintroduce some of the Howard Government’s IR laws – 14% said they would be more likely.

 Among Labor voters, 69% said they would be less likely to vote for the Coalition, 7% more likely and 16% make no difference.

Among Coalition voters, 20% said they would be less likely to vote for the Coalition, 30% more likely and 42% make no difference.

51% of those aged 35-54 said they would be less likely to vote for the Coalition, 11% more likely and 26% make no difference. Comments »

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