2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1937 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 35% | ||
| National | 3% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 44% | – |
| Labor | 45% | 56% | – |
| Greens | 9% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 6% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data. Comments »
Election, firmness of vote, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. Would you say your choice is very firm, pretty firm but you might change your mind, or might you consider another party and leader as the campaign develops?
| Total | Labor | Coalition | Green | |
| Very firm | 48% | 54% | 55% | 31% |
| Pretty firm but I might change my mind | 33% | 33% | 32% | 43% |
| Might consider another party and leader closer to an election | 17% | 12% | 12% | 24% |
| Don’t know | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Just under half (48%) of those surveyed consider their voting choice as ‘very firm’, 33% consider their voting choice as ‘pretty firm but might change my mind’ and 17% ‘might consider another party and leader closer to an election’.
Labor and Coalition voters were more likely to indicate their voting choice as ‘very firm’ (54% Labor, 55% Coalition), while Green voters were more likely to indicate their choice as ‘pretty firm, but I might change my mind’ (43%).
People aged 55 years and over were more likely to consider their voting choice ‘very firm’ (60%), people aged 25 – 34 were more likely to indicate it as ‘pretty firm but I might change my mind’ (43%), while 18 – 24 year olds were more likely to indicate they ‘might consider another party and leader closer to an election’ (29%). Comments »
2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
* 1928 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 34% | ||
| National | 2% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 37% | 44% | – |
| Labor | 46% | 56% | – |
| Greens | 8% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data. Comments »
Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1915 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last report
21 Dec 09 |
| Liberal | 35% | ||
| National | 3% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 44% | +1% |
| Labor | 45% | 56% | -1% |
| Greens | 8% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data collected on the weeks of the 15 – 20 December 2009 and the 12 – 18 January 2010. Comments »
Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1875 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 32% | ||
| National | 3% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 35% | 42% | – |
| Labor | 46% | 58% | – |
| Greens | 10% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.
Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1922 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 30% | ||
| National | 4% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 34% | 42% | – |
| Labor | 46% | 58% | – |
| Greens | 9% | ||
| Family First | 3% | ||
| Other/Independent | 8% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.
Abbott approval, Approval of opposition leader, Liberal, Liberal Party, tony abbott, Voting intention
Q. Does the election of Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party make you more likely or less likely to vote Liberal?
| Total | Labor | Coalition | Greens | |
| More likely | 21% | 12% | 42% | 5% |
| Less likely | 33% | 44% | 15% | 62% |
| Much more likely | 9% | 2% | 24% | 2% |
| A little more likely | 12% | 10% | 18% | 3% |
| A little less likely | 10% | 7% | 12% | 11% |
| Much less likely | 23% | 37% | 3% | 51% |
| Makes no difference | 39% | 42% | 39% | 32% |
| Don’t know | 7% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
39% of people think the election of Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party makes no difference to whether or not they will vote Liberal, 33% think it will make them less likely and 21% more likely to vote Liberal.
42% of Coalition voters think the election of Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party will make them more likely to vote Liberal, 15% think that it will make them less likely and 39% think it will make no difference. 44% of Labor voters and 62% of Green voters think it will make them less likely to vote Liberal.
Females were more likely than males to indicate that the election of Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party will make no difference to their vote (43% v 35%).
2PP, Federal Election, Greens, Labor, Liberal, National, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1979 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 31% | ||
| National | 4% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 35% | 42% | -3% |
| Labor | 47% | 58% | +3% |
| Greens | 8% | ||
| Family First | 3% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.