Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 11, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1,912 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 37% 41% 40% 42% 42%
National 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 40% 44% 43% 44% 44%
Labor 41% 39% 42% 42% 41%
Greens 11% 10% 9% 8% 8%
Other/Independent 8% 6% 6% 7% 7%

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 46% 50% 49% 49% 49%
Labor 54% 50% 51% 51% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 4, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1921 sample size

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 36% 40% 42% 40% 42%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 43% 45% 43% 44%
Labor 43% 39% 40% 42% 42%
Greens 10% 11% 9% 9% 8%
Other/Independent 8% 7% 6% 6% 8%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 46% 49% 50% 49% 49%
Labor 54% 51% 50% 51% 51%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 27, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

1910 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week


Liberal 36% 41% 41% 42% 40%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 44% 44% 45% 43%
Labor 43% 38% 39% 40% 42%
Greens 9% 11% 10% 9% 9%
Other/Independent 9% 7% 7% 6% 6%


2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week


Total Lib/Nat 46% 50% 50% 50% 49%
Labor 54% 50% 50% 50% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 20, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

2,073 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week


Liberal 35% 41% 40% 41% 42%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 38% 45% 43% 44% 45%
Labor 45% 40% 39% 39% 40%
Greens 9% 10% 11% 10% 9%
Other/Independent 8% 5% 7% 7% 6%


2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 44% 50% 49% 50% 50%
Labor 56% 50% 51% 50% 50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 13, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

2,062 sample size

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 35% 41% 41% 40% 41%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 38% 44% 44% 43% 44%
Labor 45% 39% 38% 39% 39%
Greens 9% 10% 11% 11% 10%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 2% 1%
Other/Independent 6% 5% 5% 6% 5%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 44% 49% 50% 49% 50%
Labor 56% 51% 50% 51% 50%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election. Comments »

Federal Politics – voting intention

Sep 6, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

2,106 sample size

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 37% 39% 42% 41% 40%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 40% 42% 45% 44% 43%
Labor 43% 41% 38% 38% 39%
Greens 9% 10% 11% 11% 11%
Family First 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 5% 4% 5% 6%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 46% 48% 50% 50% 49%
Labor 54% 52% 50% 50% 51%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election. Comments »

New Election – Change in Vote

Sep 6, 2010

Q. If another election was held in the next 12 months would you vote for the same party or might you change your vote?

  Total Voted Labor Voted Lib/Nat Voted Greens
Vote for the same party 72% 76% 84% 62%
Might change my vote 16% 16% 11% 28%
Definitely change my vote 1% 1% 2% 1%
Don’t know 11% 7% 4% 8%

72% say they would vote for the same party if another election was held and 17% think they may change their vote. Liberal/National voters are least likely to change their vote (13%), while Greens voters are most likely (29%). 22% of voters aged under 35 said they may change their vote compared to only 13% of those aged 55+. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 31, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

2246 sample size

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Liberal 37% 37% 41% 42% 41%
National 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 40% 39% 44% 45% 44%
Labor 42% 40% 39% 38% 38%
Greens 9% 13% 10% 11% 11%
Family First 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 5% 5% 4% 5%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Total Lib/Nat 47% 46% 49% 50% 50%
Labor 53% 54% 51% 50% 50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

* These results do not include the special ER pre-election poll. Comments »

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