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  • Dec, 2012

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    Most significant political event

    Q. What do you think was the most significant political event of 2012?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Implementation of the carbon tax

    41%

    40%

    44%

    52%

    Rudd leadership challenge

    14%

    16%

    14%

    12%

    Reopening asylum seeker detention centres on Manus Island and Nauru

    9%

    7%

    11%

    8%

    AWU slush fund allegations against the Prime Minister

    7%

    1%

    14%

    Julia Gillard’s sexism speech in Parliament

    6%

    11%

    2%

    3%

    Bipartisan support for National Disability Insurance Scheme

    5%

    9%

    3%

    4%

    Australia winning a seat on the UN Security Council

    5%

    8%

    3%

    4%

    Don’t know

    13%

    8%

    8%

    16%

    41% think the most significant political event of the year was the implementation of the carbon tax and 14% think it was the Rudd leadership challenge.

    All voter groups thought the implementation of the carbon tax was the most significant event.

    Liberal/National voters were more likely to think the AWU slush fund allegations against the Prime Minister was most significant (14%) while Labor voters were more likely to think Julia Gillard’s sexism speech in Parliament was most significant (11%).

  • Mar, 2012

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    Kevin Rudd’s Future

    Q. What do you think Kevin Rudd should do now?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Stay in Parliament and challenge again

    29%

    30%

    28%

    29%

    Stay in Parliament and not challenge again

    28%

    44%

    17%

    46%

    Resign from Parliament

    30%

    17%

    44%

    20%

    Don’t know

    13%

    8%

    10%

    5%

    Respondents were divided about what Kevin Rudd should do – 30% say he should resign from parliament, 29% think he should stay and challenge again and 28% think he should stay and not challenge again.

    Among Labor voters, 44% think he should stay and not challenge, while 44% of Liberal/National voters think he should resign from Parliament. 46% of Greens voters think he should stay in Parliament and not challenge again.

    Comments »

  • Jul, 2011

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

    Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
    31 May

    2010

    19 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July
    Total approve 41% 52% 45% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41% 34% 29%
    Total disapprove 47% 30% 37% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54% 62%
    Strongly approve 7% 11% 12% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5%
    Approve 34% 41% 33% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34% 28% 24%
    Disapprove 25% 17% 21% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26% 29% 30%
    Strongly disapprove 22% 13% 16% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22% 25% 32%
    Don’t know 12% 18% 19% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 9%

    29% (down 5%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 62% (up 8%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -20 to -33 over the last 4 weeks.

    72% of Labor voters approve (down 4%) and 20% disapprove (up 6%).

    By gender – men 31% approve/63% disapprove, women 28% approve/61% disapprove.

    Comments »

  • Dec, 2010

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    The Past Year – Politicians

     Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

      Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
    Julia Gillard 49% 25% 14% 35% 22% 17% 8% 4%
    Bob Brown 38% 21% 9% 29% 28% 11% 10% 13%
    Tony Abbott 30% 33% 4% 26% 32% 25% 8% 6%
    Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 1% 9% 35% 30% 13% 11%
    Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 2% 8% 15% 36% 34% 5%

     

      Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
      Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad
    Julia Gillard 49% 25% 69% 8% 36% 43% 57% 17%
    Bob Brown 38% 21% 40% 17% 35% 31% 68% 6%
    Tony Abbott 30% 33% 19% 45% 44% 21% 17% 54%
    Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 6% 50% 15% 42% 6% 50%
    Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 14% 64% 8% 81% 11% 73%

    Overall, Julia Gillard (49% good/25% bad) and Bob Brown (38%/21%) are thought to have had a good year. Respondents were divided on whether Tony Abbott has had a good year (30%/33%).

    A majority of their own voters thought Julia Gillard (69%) and Bob Brown (68%) have had a good year but only 44% of Liberal/National voters think Tony Abbott has had a good year. There is a substantial gender difference on the assessment of Tony Abbott – men split 37% good/30% bad and women 23% good/36% bad. Comments »

  • Jun, 2010

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

    Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

    1,803sample size

    First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

    Liberal 34% 39% 38% 37% 36%
    National 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 37% 41% 41% 40% 39%
    Labor 47% 39% 35% 38% 42%
    Greens 8% 9% 14% 11% 9%
    Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
    Other/Independent 6% 8% 8% 8% 7%
    2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

    Total Lib/Nat 43% 49% 49% 48% 46%
    Labor 57% 51% 51% 52% 54%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

    * Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

  • Jun, 2010

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    Changing Leaders – Approval

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Julia Gillard replacing Kevin Rudd as leader of the Labor Party and Prime Minister?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
    Total approve 47% 68% 36%
    Total disapprove 40% 23% 60%
    Strongly approve 15% 27% 10%
    Approve 32% 41% 26%
    Disapprove 19% 11% 26%
    Strongly disapprove 21% 12% 34%
    Don’t know 12% 9% 5%

    Sample = 818

    47% approved the change from Kevin Rudd to Julia Gillard as Prime Minister and 40% disapproved. Opinions reflected political party preferences. Labor voters strongly approved the change by 68% to 23% while 60% of Liberal/National voters disapproved and 36% approved. There were no significant differences by gender. However, older respondents were more likely to approve than younger respondents – 55% of those aged 55+ approved and 37% disapproved. Comments »

  • Jun, 2010

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat 21 Jun 10
    Julia Gillard 49% 86% 12% 50%
    Tony Abbott 29% 4% 73% 32%
    Don’t know 22% 11% 12% 18%

    Sample = 818

    49% preferred Julia Gillard as Prime Minister and 29% preferred Tony Abbott – similar to the results from last week before Julia Gillard became Prime Minister. This is also slightly better than last week’s result for Kevin Rudd when he was preferred over Tony Abbott by 47% to 30%. Men preferred Julia Gillard 47%/33% and women 51%/25%.  Comments »

  • Jun, 2010

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    Best Leader – Rudd/Abbott

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat 22 Mar 10
    Kevin Rudd 47% 90% 9% 50%
    Tony Abbott 30% 3% 80% 30%
    Don’t know 23% 7% 11% 19%

    47% believe that Kevin Rudd would make the best Prime Minister and 30% preferred Tony Abbott. This is little changed since the last time this question was asked when Kevin Rudd was preferred 50% to 30%.

    Men preferred Kevin Rudd by 45% to 38%, whereas women were much less likely to prefer Tony Abbott (Rudd 49%, Abbott 23%).  Greens voters preferred Kevin Rudd 64% to 9%. Comments »

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