Approval of Tony Abbott

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

29 Mar 5 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar
Total approve 37% 33% 37% 41% 43% 39% 40% 39% 42% 38% 38%
Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 44% 37% 45% 40% 39% 37% 46% 47%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8% 6% 9% 7% 8% 7%
Approve 32% 25% 29% 32% 31% 31% 34% 30% 35% 30% 31%
Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 22% 21% 22% 22% 21% 22% 24% 24%
Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 22% 16% 23% 18% 18% 15% 22% 23%
Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 15% 19% 17% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16%

38% (no change) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 47% (up 1%) disapprove.

70% of Coalition voters approve and 17% disapprove.

By gender – men 41% approve/45% disapprove, women 33% approve/49% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 2011 14 Mar 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 47% 45% 47% 48% 44% 88% 8% 73% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 35% 34% 32% 31% 33% 3% 70% 4% 30%
Don’t know 21% 18% 21% 21% 20% 23% 9% 22% 22% 23%

44% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 6% on last month’s figures (from +17% to +11%).

Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 42%/37% and women 46%/29%.

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Same Sex Marriage

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

15 Nov 2010 14 Mar 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Should be allowed to marry 53% 49% 54% 40% 78%
Should not be allowed to marry 36% 40% 36% 50% 16%
Don’t know 11% 10% 10% 10% 6%

Support for same-sex marriage has declined a little since this question was last asked in November. 49% (down 4%) agree people of the same sex should be allowed to marry and 40% (up 4%) disagree.

By gender – 43% of men support same sex marriage and 47% oppose, while 56% of women support and 34% oppose.

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Territory Rights

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you agree or disagree that ACT and the Northern Territory should have the same rights as the states to pass legislation without being over-ruled by a Federal Minister?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total agree 74% 80% 73% 74%
Total disagree 9% 8% 11% 8%
Strongly agree 29% 36% 24% 41%
Agree 45% 44% 49% 33%
Disagree 6% 5% 7% 8%
Strongly disagree 3% 3% 4%
Don’t know 17% 12% 16% 18%

There is strong majority support for the right of territories to pass legislation without being over-ruled by a Federal Minister.  74% agree and only 9% disagree.

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Carbon Pricing

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

Last week This week Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 55% 20% 78%
Total oppose 48% 49% 32% 73% 11%
Strongly support 9% 12% 17% 4% 39%
Support 26% 26% 38% 16% 39%
Oppose 19% 17% 17% 20% 6%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 15% 53% 5%
Don’t know 18% 13% 13% 8% 11%

Support for the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme has increased a little since this question was asked last week – from 35% to 38%. The change is due to some previously “undecided” respondents forming a view – opposition has increased 1% and “don’t know” decreased by 5%.

There is majority support from Labor and Greens voters while 73% of Liberal/National voters are opposed.

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Carbon Pricing with Compensation

Mar 14, 2011

Q. Would you support or oppose this carbon pricing scheme if the money paid by big polluting industries was used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 54% 78% 34% 80%
Total oppose 30% 11% 51% 7%
Strongly support 17% 29% 6% 39%
Support 37% 49% 28% 41%
Oppose 14% 8% 22% 3%
Strongly oppose 16% 3% 29% 4%
Don’t know 17% 11% 15% 13%

There was a substantial shift in opinion of the Government’s carbon pricing scheme when respondents were told that the money paid by big polluting industries would be used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices.

Support increased from 38% to 54% and opposition declined from 49% to 30%. The major shift occurred with Labor voters where support increased by 23% to 78%.  Support from Liberal/National voters increased from 20% to 34% while opposition declined 22% to 51%.

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Delay Carbon Tax

Mar 7, 2011

Q. Do you think Australia should delay imposing a carbon pollution tax until the US has established an equal or stronger carbon pricing system? (Question commissioned by Network Ten)

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Aged

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Yes 45% 33% 62% 13% 51% 40% 34% 47% 56%
No 33% 47% 21% 71% 34% 33% 40% 31% 29%
Don’t know 21% 20% 17% 16% 15% 27% 25% 22% 15%

45% of respondents think Australia should delay imposing a carbon pollution tax until the US has established an equal or stronger carbon pricing system and 33% think we should not delay.

Those most likely to think Australia should delay imposing a carbon pollution tax were Coalition voters (62%), men (51%) and aged 55+ (56%).

Those most likely to disagree were Greens voters (71%), Labor voters (47%) and aged 18-34 (40%).

Download the Network Ten: Essential Question of the Week (1.1 MB pdf)

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Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 7, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,918

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 40% 42% 44%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 43% 45% 47%
Labor 38.0 38% 39% 37% 36%
Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 7% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 49% 52% 53%
Labor 50.1% 49% 51% 48% 47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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