Trust in Federal Leaders

Feb 21, 2011

Q. Who do you trust most to deliver good policies for Australia’s future?
(Question commissioned by Network Ten)

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 40% 81% 5% 62%
Tony Abbott 31% 1% 72% 2%
Don’t know 29% 18% 23% 36%

40% have most trust in Julia Gillard to deliver good policies for Australia’s future and 31% trust Tony Abbott most.

Opinions closely follow party preference although Julia Gillard is overwhelmingly trusted more by Greens voters (62% to 2%).

Women are less trusting of Tony Abbott – 40% of men trust Julia Gillard and 36% trust Tony Abbott while 41% of women trust Julia Gillard and only 26% trust Tony Abbott.

Younger people are also less likely to trust Tony Abbott – those aged 55+ trust Tony Abbott (44%) more than Julia Gillard (36%) while those aged under 35 trust Julia Gillard more (42% Gillard/24% Abbott).

Download the Network Ten Essential Question of the Week. (1.1 MB pdf)

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Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 21, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,913

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 42% 43% 41% 40%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 46% 44% 43%
Labor 38.0 37% 38% 40% 39%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 6% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 51% 50% 49%
Labor 50.1% 49% 49% 50% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Approval of Healthcare Agreement

Feb 21, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the recent agreement between the Federal and State Governments for the Federal Government to provide 50% of growth funding for Australia’s healthcare system?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total approve 67% 81% 62% 74%
Total disapprove 9% 4% 15% 4%
Strongly approve 18% 31% 10% 25%
Approve 49% 50% 52% 49%
Disapprove 6% 4% 10% 3%
Strongly disapprove 3% * 5% 1%
Don’t know 24% 15% 24% 21%

Two-thirds of respondents approved of the recent agreement between the Federal and State Governments for the Federal Government to provide 50% of growth funding for Australia’s healthcare system and only 9% disapproved. All voter groups showed strong majority approval.

Older people were more supportive than younger people – 71% of those aged 55+ approved compared to 60% of those aged under 18-35. By state, Victoria had the highest approval at 72%.

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Impact of Healthcare Agreement

Feb 21, 2011

Q. Do you think this funding agreement will result in a better or a worse healthcare system or will it make no difference?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total better 49% 67% 39% 65%
Total worse/no difference 34% 20% 49% 20%
A lot better 8% 16% 4% 8%
A little better 41% 51% 35% 57%
Make no difference 28% 19% 38% 18%
A little worse 3% 1% 5% 1%
A lot worse 3% * 6% 1%
Don’t know 16% 13% 12% 16%

About half the respondents thought the agreement will result in a better healthcare system. Two thirds of Labor and Greens voters thought it would result in a better system but Liberal/National voters were more likely to think it would make no difference or be worse.

Although showing higher approval of the agreement, older people were more likely to think it would make no difference or be worse – those aged 45+ were split 49% better/40% no difference or worse compared to aged 18-44 at 50% better/29% no difference or worse.

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Liberal Party Support for Healthcare Agreement

Feb 21, 2011

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party should support or oppose this health care agreement between the Federal and State Governments?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Should support 51% 72% 36% 69%
Should oppose 11% 2% 20% 6%
Should neither support nor oppose 10% 5% 16% 4%
Don’t know 28% 20% 28% 20%

Half the respondents thought Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party should support the health care agreement and only 11% thought they should oppose it. Only 20% of Liberal/National voters thought Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party should oppose it – 36% though they should support it and 44% thought they should do neither or had no opinion.

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Julia Gillard and Kevin Rudd

Feb 21, 2011

Q. Do you think that Julia Gillard has been a better or a worse leader than Kevin Rudd?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total better 28% 47% 13% 30%
Total worse 33% 18% 48% 35%
A lot better 7% 15% 2% 3%
A little better 21% 32% 11% 27%
No difference 33% 32% 37% 30%
A little worse 15% 10% 17% 23%
A lot worse 18% 8% 31% 12%
Don’t know 6% 3% 2% 5%

Overall, respondents were split over whether Julia Gillard has been a better or worse leader than Kevin Rudd – 28% thought she had been better, 33% worse and 33% no different.

Labor voters were more likely to think she had been better (47%/18%) while Liberal/National voters though she had been worse (13%/48%). Greens voters were split 30% better/35% worse and 30% no different.

By gender – men split 24% better/37% worse compared to women 31% better/29% worse.

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Taxing Mining Company Profits

Feb 21, 2011

Q. Would you approve or disapprove of higher taxes on the profits of large mining companies?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total approve 56% 75% 36% 83%
Total disapprove 27% 13% 49% 6%
Strongly approve 21% 32% 6% 46%
Approve 35% 43% 30% 37%
Disapprove 20% 11% 35% 4%
Strongly disapprove 7% 2% 14% 2%
Don’t know 17% 13% 15% 11%

There was majority approval of higher taxes on the profits of large mining companies – 56% approved and 27% disapproved. Labor and Greens voters showed very high approval while Liberal/National voters split 36% approve/49% disapprove.

There were no significant differences by demographic groupings (age/income/work status).

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Taxing Mining Company Profits

Feb 21, 2011

Q. Would you approve or disapprove of higher taxes on the profits of large mining companies if the funds raised were used to provide higher superannuation for all workers?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total approve 56% 68% 44% 84%
Total disapprove 24% 14% 39% 8%
Strongly approve 20% 33% 8% 37%
Approve 36% 35% 36% 47%
Disapprove 16% 11% 25% 4%
Strongly disapprove 8% 3% 14% 4%
Don’t know 20% 18% 17% 8%

When asked whether they approved of higher taxes on the profits of large mining companies if the funds raised were used to provide higher superannuation for all workers, 56% approved (no change) and 24% disapproved (down 3%).

Labor voters were slightly less supportive if the funds were tied to super increases (approval down 7%) while Liberal/National voters were more supportive (approval up 8% and disapproval down 10%).

Full-time workers split 58% approve/27% disapprove, part-time workers 57% approve/17% disapprove and those not working 53% approve/25% disapprove. Highest disapproval was shown by workers earning over $1,600 per week – 56% approved but 32% disapproved.

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