2PP, Election, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size =1,917
| First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 42% | 45% | 44% | 43% | |
| National | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 45% | 47% | 46% | 46% |
| Labor | 38.0 | 37% | 35% | 36% | 37% |
| Greens | 11.8 | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Other/Independent | 6.6 | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
| 2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 52% | 54% | 53% | 52% |
| Labor | 50.1% | 48% | 46% | 47% | 48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
carbon compensation, carbon pollution, Carbon Tax, Compensation, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Federal Government, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, price increases
Q. The Federal Government says that the funds raised from the carbon tax will be used to compensate those affected by price increases. Which of the following forms of compensation do you favour?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| A direct payment to households | 39% | 44% | 37% | 50% |
| An income tax cut | 33% | 36% | 34% | 26% |
| A cut to the GST rate | 13% | 11% | 17% | 8% |
| Cuts to corporate taxes | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| Don’t know | 13% | 8% | 10% | 14% |
39% favour compensation as a direct payment to households and 33% favour income tax cuts. Greens voters (50%) and Labor voters (44%) are most likely to favour a direct payment while Coalition voters split 37% direct payment/34% tax cut.
Older people strongly favour a direct payment – among those aged 55+, 51% favour direct payment and 21% a tax cut, while for those aged 18-44, 39% favour a tax cut and 33% favour a direct payment.
Carbon Tax, early election, Election, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls
Q. Do you think the Government should call an early election over the carbon tax?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Yes | 40% | 16% | 67% | 17% |
| No | 44% | 72% | 20% | 69% |
| Don’t know | 17% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
40% think that the Government should call an early election over the carbon tax and 44% think they should not. 67% of Coalition voters favour an early election while 72% of Labor voters and 69% of Greens voters do not.
Men favour an early election 47%/41% while women oppose 46%/33%.
EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Foreign Minister, Greens, kevin rudd, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Foreign Minister?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total approve | 61% | 83% | 47% | 74% |
| Total disapprove | 19% | 5% | 33% | 9% |
| Strongly approve | 17% | 27% | 9% | 25% |
| Approve | 44% | 56% | 38% | 49% |
| Disapprove | 11% | 4% | 18% | 7% |
| Strongly disapprove | 8% | 1% | 15% | 2% |
| Don’t know | 21% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
61% approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Foreign Minister and 19% disapprove. 83% of Labor voters and 74% of Greens voters approve.
Coalition voters are also more likely to approve than disapprove (47% approve/33% disapprove).
EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Libya, Libyan conflict, Military Intervention, Nationals, Polling, polls
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the military intervention in Libya being undertaken by the US, France, Italy, Canada and others?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total approve | 57% | 64% | 63% | 53% |
| Total disapprove | 22% | 20% | 22% | 23% |
| Strongly approve | 18% | 20% | 22% | 14% |
| Approve | 39% | 44% | 41% | 39% |
| Disapprove | 14% | 15% | 12% | 12% |
| Strongly disapprove | 8% | 5% | 10% | 11% |
| Don’t know | 21% | 17% | 15% | 24% |
57% approve the military intervention in Libya while 22% disapprove. A majority of all voter groups approve – although Greens voters are more likely to be undecided (24% don’t know).
65% of men approve compared to 49% of women. By age – those aged 55+ approve 69%/18% and aged 18-44 approve 51%/23%
2PP, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberal, NSW, NSW 2PP, NSW Election, NSW vote, NSW voting intention, Polling, polls, Voting intention
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| First preference /leaning to | Total | Men | Women | Sydney | Other NSW | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ |
| Sample | 971 | 481 | 490 | 622 | 349 | 309 | 391 | 271 |
| Labor | 23% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 24% | 25% |
| Liberal/National | 55% | 56% | 53% | 60% | 46% | 55% | 54% | 55% |
| Greens | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 9% | 9% |
| Independent/Other | 11% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Labor | 34% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 42% | 32% | 35% | 34% |
| Liberal/National | 66% | 67% | 65% | 71% | 58% | 68% | 65% | 66% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.
carbon emitions, carbon pollution, carbon pricing scheme, Carbon Tax, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, peter lewis, Polling, polls, polluters, The Drum
First published on The Drum: 15/03/2011
Context is everything. All of a sudden Labor’s political predicament does not seem as dire; no-one is dead or missing; nuclear reactors aren’t melting down; the only after-shocks are electoral.
The enormity of the Japan catastrophe wipes everything else from public consciousness, allowing a wounded prime minister and her team to step back from the limelight, reflect and regroup.
As this week’s Essential Report shows, there is a path to repairing the damage the government has suffered and a way of setting up a debate that could, in the long-term, see it regain the political initiative.
Like so much in politics, the secret lies in the questions you ask. Ask whether people support a price on carbon and the answer is a decisive ‘no’.
2PP, Election, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,947
| First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 40% | 44% | 45% | 44% | |
| National | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 43% | 47% | 47% | 46% |
| Labor | 38.0 | 39% | 36% | 35% | 36% |
| Greens | 11.8 | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Other/Independent | 6.6 | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% |
| 2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 49% | 53% | 54% | 53% |
| Labor | 50.1% | 51% | 47% | 46% | 47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.