asylum seekers, Greens, immigration, Labor, Liberal
Q. From what you have read and heard, what percentage of Australia’s annual immigration intake are asylum seekers arriving by boat?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| 50% or more | 10% | 10% | 12% | 6% |
| About 25% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 8% |
| About 10% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 13% |
| About 5% | 15% | 12% | 17% | 18% |
| 1% or less | 18% | 21% | 17% | 26% |
| Don’t know | 30% | 30% | 22% | 28% |
38% of respondents think asylum seekers arriving by boat make up at least 10% of Australia’s immigration intake – 15% think it about 5% and 18% think it is 1% or less.
26% of Greens voters think it is 1% or less and 44% of Liberal/National voters think it is 10% or more.
26% of people aged 45-64 think it is 1% or less. Comments »
Advertising, Greens, Labor, Liberal, mining, resources super profits tax, RSPT
Q. Thinking about the proposed resources super profits tax and the current advertising by the Government and the mining companies, who is more believable – the Government or the mining companies?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other/Ind. | |
| The Government | 33% | 62% | 9% | 51% | 28% |
| The mining companies | 36% | 11% | 68% | 20% | 37% |
| Don’t know | 31% | 28% | 23% | 29% | 35% |
Respondents were divided over the believability of advertising by the Government and the mining industry of the proposed resources super profits tax.
36% think the mining companies’ advertising is more believable and 33% think the Government’s is more believable. 31% don’t know which is more believable.
Opinions are closely associated with voting intention. 62% of Labor voters think the Government’s advertising is more believable and 68% of Liberal/National voters favour the mining companies’. Greens voters are more likely to believe the Government (51%/20%).
There is a significant difference in opinion by gender – men are more likely to believe the Government (Govt. 41%/Mining cos. 36%/Don’t know 24%) and women more likely to believe the mining companies or say they don’t know (26%/35%/38%). Comments »
2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,866 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 31% | 36% | 41% | 39% | 39% |
| National | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 35% | 39% | 43% | 41% | 41% |
| Labor | 47% | 40% | 38% | 40% | 39% |
| Greens | 8% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| Family First | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 42% | 47% | 50% | 48% | 49% |
| Labor | 58% | 53% | 50% | 52% | 51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »
approval, approval of PM, Labor, rudd
Q. Do you strongly approve, approve, disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister?
| 30 Mar 09 | 29 Jun 09 | 28 Sept 09 | 30 Nov 09 | 14 Dec 09 | 18 Jan 10 | 22 Feb 10 | 29 Mar 10 | 3 May 10 | 31 May 10 | |
| Strongly approve | 21% | 14% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 7% |
| Approve | 50% | 48% | 51% | 47% | 47% | 44% | 41% | 41% | 38% | 34% |
| Disapprove | 14% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 25% |
| Strongly disapprove | 7% | 9% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 17% | 22% |
| Don’t know | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Total approve | 71% | 62% | 66% | 56% | 57% | 55% | 52% | 53% | 46% | 41% |
| Total disapprove | 21% | 29% | 23% | 35% | 32% | 33% | 37% | 36% | 42% | 47% |
Kevin Rudd’s net approval rating has fallen to a net negative for the first time since he became Prime Minister. 41% approve (down 5%) of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister and 47% disapprove (up 5%).
89% of Labor voters approve and 87% of Liberal/National voters disapprove. Greens voters are split 48% approve/45% disapprove.
Younger people are more likely to approve of Kevin Rudd’s performance than older people. Those aged under 35 were net positive (45% approve/33% disapprove) and those aged 55+ strongly negative (31% approve/64% disapprove). Comments »
2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,911 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 36% | 36% | 41% | 39% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 39% | 39% | 43% | 41% |
| Labor | 45% | 42% | 38% | 40% |
| Greens | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Family First | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 45% | 46% | 50% | 48% |
| Labor | 55% | 54% | 50% | 52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »
Opinion of Kevin Rudd an the Labor Party
Q. Would you say that your view of Kevin Rudd and the Labor Government has become more or less favourable in recent weeks?
| Total more favourable | 11% |
| Total less favourable | 58% |
| Much more favourable | 3% |
| A little more favourable | 8% |
| A little less favourable | 25% |
| Much less favourable | 33% |
| No change | 26% |
| Don’t know | 3% |
58% of respondents said their view of Kevin Rudd and the Labor Government had become less favourable over recent weeks and 11% said they had become more favourable.
22% of Labor voters said they had become more favourable and 31% less favourable. Coalition voters split 4% more favourable/81% less favourable and Greens voters 23% more favourable/58% less favourable.
47% of those aged under 35 were less favourable compared to 66% of those aged 45+. Comments »
2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,851 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 36% | 37% | 39% | 41% |
| National | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 39% | 39% | 42% | 43% |
| Labor | 45% | 42% | 37% | 38% |
| Greens | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Family First | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 45% | 46% | 50% | 50% |
| Labor | 55% | 54% | 50% | 50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »
budget, economy, Labor, Prime Minister, rudd
Q. Do you think that with this Budget, the Government has done enough to reduce the deficit and return the budget to surplus in the next few years?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Liberal/ National | |
| Has done enough | 31% | 59% | 12% |
| Hasn’t done enough | 39% | 16% | 69% |
| Don’t know | 31% | 26% | 20% |
31% think that the Government has done enough to reduce the deficit and 39% think they have not done enough. Responses mostly followed party preferences – 59% of Labor voters think they have done enough and 69% of Coalition voters think they have not done enough. Greens voters split 40% enough/31% not enough. Comments »