Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 18, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

*1915 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last report

21 Dec 09

Liberal 35%    
National 3%    
Total Lib/Nat 38% 44% +1%
Labor 45% 56% -1%
Greens 8%    
Family First 2%    
Other/Independent 7%    

NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data collected on the weeks of the 15 – 20 December 2009 and the 12 – 18 January 2010.   Comments »

Federal Politics – Voting Intention

Dec 14, 2009

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

*1875 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 32%
National 3%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 42%
Labor 46% 58%
Greens 10%
Family First 2%
Other/Independent 7%

NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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Approval of the PM, Kevin Rudd

Dec 14, 2009

Q. Do you strongly approve, approve, disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister?

12 Jan 09 9 Feb 09 30 Mar 09 18 May 09 29 Jun 09 10 Aug 09 28 Sept 09 9 Nov 09 30 Nov 09 14 Dec 09
Strongly approve 14% 17% 21% 14% 14% 13% 15% 14% 9% 10%
Approve 52% 50% 50% 48% 48% 47% 51% 47% 47% 47%
Disapprove 16% 15% 14% 18% 18% 17% 17% 19% 20% 20%
Strongly disapprove 6% 8% 7% 11% 9% 10% 6% 13% 15% 12%
Don’t know 11% 9% 9% 9% 11% 12% 11% 8% 10% 10%
Total approve 66% 67% 71% 62% 62% 60% 66% 61% 56% 57%
Total disapprove 22% 23% 21% 29% 29% 27% 23% 32% 35% 32%

Kevin Rudd’s approval rating has increased slightly since we last asked this question (+1%) and his disapproval rating has decreased slightly (-3%).

Opinion followed party lines – Labor voters were more likely to approve (92%) while Coalition voters were more likely to disapprove (74%).  18% of Coalition voters approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister.

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Federal Politics – Voting Intention

Dec 7, 2009

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

*1922 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 30%
National 4%
Total Lib/Nat 34% 42%
Labor 46% 58%
Greens 9%
Family First 3%
Other/Independent 8%

NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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Attributes to Describe the Prime Minister

Dec 7, 2009

Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd?

29 June 09 7 Dec 09 Difference
Intelligent 84% 82% -2%
Hard-working 83% 77% -6%
A capable leader 72% 69% -3%
Demanding 67% 60% -7%
Arrogant 46% 49% +3%
Out of touch with ordinary people 41% 45% +4%
Understands the problems facing Australia 67% 59% -8%
Visionary 49% 48% -1%
Superficial 40% 41% +1%
Good in a crisis 60% 58% -2%
Narrow-minded 32% 36% +4%
Down to earth 56% 55% -1%
Too inflexible 32% 38% +6%
Complacent 28% 38% +10%
More honest than most politicians 47% 49% +2%
Trustworthy * 51% *

*Not asked in June 2009

Most people consider Rudd intelligent (82%), hard-working (77%), a capable leader (69%) and demanding (60%).

Since we last asked this question in June 2009, Rudd has lost points on qualities such as understanding the problems facing Australia (-8%), demanding (-7%) and hard-working (-6%).  Rudd has gained points in terms of being complacent (+10%), too inflexible (+6%), out of touch with ordinary people (+4%) and narrow-minded (+4%).

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Political Party Positions on the ETS

Dec 7, 2009

Q. Whose position on the ETS and tackling climate change do you most agree with?

%
Kevin Rudd and Labor 24%
Tony Abbott and the Coalition 27%
Bob Brown and Greens 17%
Don’t know 32%

When it comes to the position that various parties have on the ETS and tackling climate change, 27% of people agree with the position of Tony Abbott and the Coalition, 24% agree with Kevin Rudd and Labor and 17% agree with Bob Brown and the Greens.  32% of people don’t know which position they agree with regarding an ETS and tackling climate change.

The results followed party lines – Labor voters were more likely to agree with Labor’s position (49%), Coalition voters were more likely to agree with the Coalition (67%) and Green voters were more likely to agree with the Green’s position (80%).   30% of Labor voters, 21% of Coalition voters and 9% of Green voters don’t know which position they agree with most.

Males were more likely to agree with the position of Abbott and the Coalition (31%), while females were more likely to indicate that they don’t know (36%).

People aged 55 years and over were more likely to agree with Abbott and the Coalition regarding climate change and an ETS (42%).

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Federal Politics – Voting Intention

Nov 30, 2009

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

*1979 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 31%
National 4%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 42% -3%
Labor 47% 58% +3%
Greens 8%
Family First 3%
Other/Independent 7%

NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

Comments »

Federal Politics – 2PP Voting Intention – 4 Week Trend

Nov 30, 2009

NB.  The data in the above graph is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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