Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 15, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

*1,908 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 35%    
National 3%    
Total Lib/Nat 38% 44% -2%
Labor 45% 56% +2%
Greens 9%    
Family First 2%    
Other/Independent 6%    

 NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.   Comments »

Attributes of the Labor Party

Mar 15, 2010

Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party? 

  6 Jul 09 14 Mar 10

 

% change
Moderate 65% 63% -2%
Will promise to do anything to win votes 57% 63% +6%
Looks after the interests of working families 61% 57% -4%
Professional in its approach 59% 55% -4%
Understands the problems facing Australia 62% 54% -8%
Has a good team of leaders 60% 52% -8%
Out of touch with ordinary people 44% 48% +4%
Too dominated by its leader 39% 45% +6%
Divided 30% 36% +6%
Keeps its promises 44% 33% -11%
Extreme 25% 26% +1%

The Labor Party’s main attributes were being moderate (63%), will promise anything to win votes (63%), looks after the interests of working families (57%) and professional in its approach (55%).

 Since these questions were last asked in July 2009, most of Labor’s positive attributes have declined a little and the negative attributes increased. Main changes since last July were keeps its promises (down 11% to 33%), has a good team of leaders (down 8% to 52%) and understands the problems facing Australia (down 8% to 54%).

Note that the 2PP voting intention for 6 July 2009 was 59%-41% compared to the current 56%-44%. Comments »

Party Attributes Comparison

Mar 15, 2010

  Labor Liberal

 

% difference
Looks after the interests of working families 57% 35% +22%
Has a good team of leaders 52% 31% +21%
Moderate 63% 50% +13%
Understands the problems facing Australia 54% 43% +11%
Keeps its promises 33% 23% +10%
Professional in its approach 55% 47% +8%
Too dominated by its leader 45% 44% +1%
Will promise to do anything to win votes 63% 72% -9%
Out of touch with ordinary people 48% 58% -10%
Extreme 26% 38% -12%
Divided 36% 66% -30%

The Labor Party maintains significant leads over the Liberal Party on all positive attributes – in particular, looks after the interest of working families (+22%), has a good team of leaders (+21%), moderate (+11%), understands the problems facing Australia (+11%) and keeps its promises (+10).

 The Liberal Party is more likely to be considered divided (-30%), extreme (-12%) and out of touch with ordinary people (-10%). Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 1, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

*1816 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 37%    
National 3%    
Total Lib/Nat 40% 47% +1%
Labor 42% 53% -1%
Greens 9%    
Family First 2%    
Other/Independent 7%    

 NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.   Comments »

Means testing the private health insurance rebate

Mar 1, 2010

Q. The Government proposes to phase out the 30 per cent rebate on private health insurance for singles on incomes over $75,000 and couples on $150,000-plus. Do you support or oppose means testing the heath insurance rebate for people on higher incomes?

  Total

%

Voter ID Weekly income
Labor Coalition Green < $600

per week

$600 – $1000 per week $1000 – $1600 per week $1600 +

per week

Total support 51% 66% 39% 57% 63% 60% 53% 41%
Total oppose 34% 20% 50% 32% 24% 25% 28% 50%
Strongly support 23% 33% 14% 28% 36% 25% 24% 14%
Support 28% 33% 25% 29% 27% 35% 29% 27%
Oppose 17% 11% 23% 20% 16% 13% 15% 19%
Strongly oppose 17% 9% 27% 12% 8% 12% 13% 31%
Don’t know 15% 13% 11% 11% 14% 15% 19% 10%

 When it comes to the Government’s proposed plan to phase out the 30 per cent rebate on private health insurance for singles on incomes over $75 000 and couples on $150,000 plus, just over half (51%) support means testing the health insurance rebate for people on higher incomes. 34% oppose means testing for people on higher incomes and 15% don’t know.

 Labor voters were more likely to support means testing the health insurance rebate for people on higher incomes (66%), while Coalition voters were more likely to oppose it (50%).

 Support for a means test decreased as weekly income increased – people earning less than $600 per week were more likely to support means testing the health insurance rebate for people on higher incomes (63%), while those earning $1600 per were more likely to oppose (50%). 

 People not working were more likely to support the means test (57%), while those in full-time work were more likely to oppose (37%).  Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 22, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

*1834 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 37%    
National 3%    
Total Lib/Nat 40% 46% +1%
Labor 43% 54% -1%
Greens 8%    
Family First 2%    
Other/Independent 7%    

 NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.   Comments »

Approval of Environment Minister, Peter Garrett

Feb 22, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Peter Garrett is doing as Environment Minister?

  %
Strongly approve 4%
Approve 24%
Disapprove 26%
Strongly disapprove 30%
Don’t know 16%
Total approve 28%
Total disapprove 56%

 Just over half (56%) of those surveyed disapprove of the job Peter Garrett is doing as Environment Minister, 28% approve and 16% don’t know.

This gives Peter Garrett an approval rating of -28%.  

 Results followed party lines – Labor voters were more likely to approve (47%), while Coalition voters were more likely to disapprove (84%).  37% of Labor voters disapprove of the job Garrett is doing as Environment Minister. 

 Green voters were reasonably split in terms of their level of approval of the Environment Minister – 42% approve and 46% disapprove of the job Garrett is doing. 

 People aged 65 years and over were more likely to disapprove (82%) while those aged 35 – 44 were more likely to approve (35%). 

 We asked a similar question in June 2008 asking people to rate the performance of Peter Garrett – 32% rated his performance as very good/good and 47% rated it as very poor/poor. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 15, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

*1830 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 36%    
National 2%    
Total Lib/Nat 38% 45%
Labor 44% 55%
Greens 10%    
Family First 2%    
Other/Independent 6%    

 NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.

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