Election, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. The Federal Election will be held on 21 August – to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to for the House of Representatives?
1,747 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 34% | 36% | 36% | 37% | 37% |
| National | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 37% | 39% | 38% | 39% | 39% |
| Labor | 46% | 42% | 41% | 41% | 41% |
| Greens | 8% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Family First | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 44% | 46% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Labor | 56% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 55% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »
Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,875 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 35% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 37% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 40% | 39% | 38% | 39% |
| Labor | 45% | 38% | 42% | 41% | 41% |
| Greens | 8% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| Family First | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 44% | 48% | 46% | 45% | 45% |
| Labor | 56% | 52% | 54% | 55% | 55% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.
Abbott, Gillard, Greens, Labor, Liberal, preferred PM, Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott
28 Jun 10 |
Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott
5 Jul 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 50% | 91% | 8% | 71% | 47% | 49% | 53% | |
| Tony Abbott | 27% | 2% | 70% | 4% | 30% | 29% | 26% | |
| Don’t know | 23% | 7% | 21% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 21% |
50% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 27% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight closing of the gap between the two (from 27% to 23%) since last polled 2 weeks ago.
Julia Gillard is preferred 91% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 70% to 8% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 71% to 4%.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 47%/32% and women 53%/23%. Comments »
Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,953 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 34% | 38% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 37% | 41% | 39% | 39% | 38% |
| Labor | 47% | 35% | 42% | 42% | 41% |
| Greens | 8% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 13% |
| Family First | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43% | 49% | 46% | 46% | 45% |
| Labor | 57% | 51% | 54% | 54% | 55% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »
Labor, Mineral Resource Rent Tax, mining, resources super profits tax, RSPT
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the new mining tax (called the Minerals Resource Rent Tax) recently negotiated between the Government and major mining companies?
| Total approve | 50% |
| Total disapprove | 28% |
| Strongly approve | 13% |
| Approve | 37% |
| Disapprove | 18% |
| Strongly disapprove | 10% |
| Don’t know | 22% |
50% of respondents approved the new mining tax negotiated with the mining companies and 28% disapproved. Labor voters approved 75% to 10% and Greens voters approved 52% to 26%. 33% of Liberal/National voters approved and 53% disapproved. Comments »
Q. Do you think the Federal Labor Government is too tough or too soft on asylum seekers or is it taking the right approach?
| 12 July 10 | 4 April 10 | |
| Too tough | 10% | 6% |
| Too soft | 56% | 65% |
| Taking the right approach | 21% | 18% |
| Don’t know | 13% | 11% |
10% think the Government is too tough on asylum seekers, 56% too soft and 21% think they are taking the right approach. Since this question was asked three months ago, the percentage thinking the Government is too soft is down 9%, too tough up 4% and “the right approach” up 3%.
Among Labor voters 43% say they are too soft, 37% think they are taking the right approach and 11% think they are too tough. 81% of Liberal/National voters think they are too soft, 4% too tough and 10% taking the right approach. Greens voters are split – 38% think they are too tough, 28% too soft and 23% taking the right approach.
There are some differences of opinion by age – among the under 35’s, 46% think they are too soft, 14% too tough and 19% taking the right approach. Among those aged 55+, 66% think they are too soft, 8% too tough and 22% taking the right approach. Comments »
asylum seekers, Labor, Liberal
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the issue of asylum seekers?
| 12 July 10 | 4 April 10 | |
| The Labor Party | 24% | 23% |
| The Liberal Party | 31% | 34% |
| No difference | 33% | 28% |
| Don’t know | 12% | 15% |
24% trust the Labor Party most to handle the issue of asylum seekers, 31% trust the Liberal Party most and 45% think there is no difference or don’t know. This represents only a small change since this question was asked three months ago – the gap between Labor and Liberal has closed from 11% to 7% and the proportion that thinks there is no difference is up 5%.
54% of Labor voters trust the Labor Party most and 33% say there is no difference while 75% of Liberal/National voters trust the Liberal Party and only 18% think there is no difference. 47% of Greens voters think there is no difference, 31% trust the Labor Party most and 11% the Liberal Party. Comments »
2PP, Election, Gillard, Labor, Liberal, Polling, Prime Minister, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,797 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 34% | 38% | 37% | 36% | 36% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 37% | 40% | 40% | 39% | 39% |
| Labor | 47% | 37% | 38% | 42% | 42% |
| Greens | 8% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 11% |
| Family First | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 43% | 48% | 48% | 46% | 46% |
| Labor | 57% | 52% | 52% | 54% | 54% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »