04 March 2013, 040313, 2PP, ALP, Greens, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,894 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 5/2/13 |
2 weeks ago 18/2/13 |
Last week 25/2/13 |
This week 4/3/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
35% |
34% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
54% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
46% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
25 February 2013, 250213, blue collar workers, Greens, Labor, Liberal
Q. Which is the party that best represents the interests of blue-collar workers?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Labor |
34% |
67% |
18% |
32% |
| Liberal |
21% |
5% |
39% |
2% |
| Greens |
2% |
1% |
1% |
20% |
| No difference |
15% |
7% |
19% |
16% |
| None of them |
10% |
6% |
10% |
17% |
| Don’t know |
18% |
13% |
14% |
13% |
34% think that the Labor Party best represents the interests of blue-collar workers and 21% think the Liberal Party does.
43% said none, no difference of did not know.
67% of Labor voters nominated the Labor Party and 39% of Liberal/National voters nominated the Liberal Party.
20 February 2013, 200213, Greens, Independents, katter party, Labor, Liberal, senate voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote in the Senate? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward for the Senate?
If don’t know –
Q. Well which party are you currently leaning to for the Senate?
|
Total Australia |
NSW |
Queensland |
Victoria |
SA |
WA |
|
| Sample |
3,755 |
1,282 |
744 |
974 |
307 |
352 |
| Labor |
33% |
32% |
32% |
37% |
31% |
31% |
| Liberal/National |
47% |
48% |
44% |
43% |
39% |
55% |
| Greens |
11% |
10% |
10% |
12% |
11% |
10% |
| Katter Party |
2% |
1% |
7% |
1% |
1% |
* |
| Others/independents |
8% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
18% |
4% |
* Based on Interviewing conducted across 4 weeks of Essential Report – 24 January-17 February.
29 January 2013, 290113, 2PP, ALP, Greens, Labor, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,895 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago 14/1/13 |
Last week 21/01/13 |
This week 29/01/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
4% |
4% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
36% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
9% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
54% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
17 December 2012, 171212, Greens, Independents, Labor, Liberal
Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following political parties?
|
Total good (Dec 10) |
Total bad (Dec 10) |
Total good (Dec 11) |
Total bad (Dec 11) |
Total good (Dec 12) |
Total bad (Dec 12) |
Very good |
Good |
Neither good nor bad |
Bad |
Very bad |
Don’t know |
|
| The Liberal Party |
33% |
27% |
27% |
30% |
19% |
40% |
5% |
14% |
34% |
27% |
13% |
7% |
| The Labor Party |
21% |
47% |
16% |
53% |
15% |
57% |
4% |
11% |
21% |
30% |
27% |
6% |
| The Greens |
42% |
21% |
33% |
29% |
14% |
44% |
2% |
12% |
32% |
23% |
21% |
12% |
| The independents |
na |
na |
na |
na |
13% |
33% |
2% |
11% |
39% |
18% |
15% |
14% |
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|||||
|
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
|
| The Liberal Party |
19% |
40% |
9% |
62% |
37% |
19% |
6% |
69% |
| The Labor Party |
15% |
57% |
37% |
35% |
4% |
80% |
23% |
51% |
| The Greens |
14% |
44% |
20% |
31% |
6% |
64% |
48% |
9% |
| The independents |
13% |
33% |
18% |
24% |
9% |
50% |
31% |
17% |
Respondents were more likely to think it has been a relatively bad year for all political parties. 57% think it has been a bad year for the Labor Party and 40% think it has been a bad year for the Liberal Party.
Among their own voters 48% (down 22%) think it has been a good year for the Greens , 37% (down 8%) the Liberal Party and 37% (up 2%) the Labor Party.
Compared to last year’s results, all parties figures have declined – The Greens net +4% to -30%, Liberals from net -3% to -21% and Labor from net -37% to -42%.
03 December 2012, 031212, 2PP, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberal
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,799respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 7/11/12 |
2 weeks ago 19/11/12 |
Last week 26/11/12 |
This week 3/12/12 |
| Liberal |
|
43% |
43% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
46% |
46% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
37% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
26 November 2012, 261112, 2PP, ALP, first preference vote, Greens, Liberals, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,832 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 29/10/12 |
2 weeks ago 12/11/12 |
Last week 19/11/12 |
This week |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
42% |
43% |
44% |
| National |
|
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
45% |
46% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
52% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
19 November 2012, 191112, ALP, Election Issues, Greens, Liberal Party
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?
|
ALP |
Libs |
Greens |
Don’t know |
Difference |
Difference |
|
| Management of the economy |
31% |
45% |
2% |
22% |
-14 |
-18 |
| Ensuring a quality education for all children |
38% |
33% |
4% |
24% |
+5 |
-2 |
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
32% |
35% |
7% |
25% |
-3 |
-6 |
| Protecting the environment |
19% |
22% |
38% |
21% |
+16 |
+17 |
| A fair industrial relations system |
41% |
32% |
4% |
23% |
+9 |
+6 |
| Political leadership |
26% |
38% |
6% |
30% |
-12 |
-16 |
| Addressing climate change |
22% |
23% |
32% |
24% |
+9 |
+7 |
| Controlling interest rates |
28% |
39% |
3% |
30% |
-11 |
-18 |
| Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
34% |
36% |
4% |
27% |
-2 |
-6 |
| Ensuring a quality water supply |
21% |
28% |
23% |
27% |
-7 |
-12 |
| Housing affordability |
28% |
33% |
5% |
33% |
-5 |
-11 |
| Ensuring a fair taxation system |
30% |
39% |
4% |
27% |
-9 |
-10 |
| Security and the war on terrorism |
25% |
40% |
4% |
31% |
-15 |
-22 |
| Treatment of asylum seekers |
20% |
38% |
13% |
29% |
-18 |
-20 |
| Managing population growth |
22% |
37% |
6% |
35% |
-15 |
-19 |
Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.
Labor leads the Liberal Party on ensuring a quality education for all children and a fair industrial relations system. The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership, security and the war on terrorism, treatment of asylum seekers and managing population growth.
There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals on ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries. Since June, there has been a shift in Labor’s favour on most issues – especially, ensuring a quality education for all children, controlling interest rates, housing affordability and security and the war on terrorism.