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  • May, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,883 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    15/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    29/4/14

     

    Last week

    06/5/14

     

    This week

    12/5/14

    Liberal

     

    40%

    38%

    38%

    38%

    National

    3%

    2%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    42%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    6%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    15/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    29/4/14

     

    Last week

    06/5/14

     

    This week

    12/5/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    50%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    50%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Apr, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,837 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 1/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    15/4/14

    Last week

    22/4/14

    This week

    29/4/14

    Liberal

     

    40%

    40%

    39%

    38%

    National

    2%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    42%

    42%

    41%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    37%

    37%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    7%

    6%

    6%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 1/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    15/4/14

    Last week

    22/4/14

    This week

    29/4/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    50%

    49%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    50%

    51%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Apr, 2014

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    Most important election issues

    Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

     

    Total

    22 Apr 14

     

    Vote ALP

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Grn

    Vote other

     

    23 Jul 13

    30 Jul 12

    6 June 11

    25 Jan 10

    Management of the economy

    54%

    43%

    75%

    22%

    44%

    45%

    64%

    61%

    63%

    Ensuring a quality education for all children

    27%

    35%

    18%

    38%

    20%

    25%

    26%

    26%

    23%

    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

    50%

    54%

    43%

    62%

    52%

    42%

    47%

    49%

    48%

    Protecting the environment

    13%

    12%

    7%

    42%

    14%

    12%

    11%

    15%

    16%

    A fair industrial relations system

    12%

    17%

    11%

    8%

    12%

    10%

    12%

    8%

    na

    Political leadership

    15%

    11%

    24%

    6%

    13%

    21%

    25%

    17%

    23%

    Addressing climate change

    10%

    13%

    4%

    28%

    9%

    11%

    9%

    15%

    16%

    Controlling interest rates

    9%

    9%

    11%

    2%

    7%

    13%

    9%

    13%

    15%

    Australian jobs and protection of local industries

    37%

    39%

    37%

    18%

    37%

    39%

    41%

    32%

    33%

    Ensuring a quality water supply

    4%

    5%

    3%

    3%

    5%

    3%

    3%

    5%

    12%

    Housing affordability

    17%

    18%

    16%

    13%

    19%

    17%

    13%

    16%

    14%

    Ensuring a fair taxation system

    20%

    19%

    20%

    9%

    23%

    20%

    18%

    17%

    14%

    Security and the war on terrorism

    5%

    3%

    8%

    3%

    5%

    8%

    5%

    8%

    9%

    Treatment of asylum seekers

    8%

    5%

    5%

    32%

    9%

    14%

    10%

    5%

    na

    Managing population growth

    9%

    6%

    10%

    8%

    16%

    9%

    8%

    12%

    na

    54% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 50% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 37% Australian jobs and protection of local industries and 27% ensuring a quality education for all children.

    Main changes since this question was asked last July – management of the economy up 9%, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system up 8%, political leadership down 6% and treatment of asylum seekers down 6%.

  • Apr, 2014

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,867 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 4/3/14

    2 weeks ago

    18/3/14

    Last week

    25/3/14

    This week

    1/4/14

    Liberal

     

    41%

    40%

    41%

    40%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    42%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    36%

    37%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    3%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 4/3/14

    2 weeks ago

    18/3/14

    Last week

    25/3/14

    This week

    1/4/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    51%

    51%

    51%

    49%

    Labor

    46.5%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    51%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


     

  • Mar, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,912 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 18/2/14

    2 weeks ago

    4/3/14

    Last week

    11/3/14

    This week

    18/3/14

    Liberal

     

    38%

    41%

    40%

    40%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    41%

    44%

    42%

    43%

    Labor

    33.4%

    40%

    38%

    38%

    36%

    Greens

    8.6%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    3%

    4%

    4%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    7%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 18/2/14

    2 weeks ago

    4/3/14

    Last week

    11/3/14

    This week

    18/3/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    51%

    50%

    51%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    49%

    50%

    49%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Mar, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,860 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 11/2/14

    2 weeks ago

    25/2/14

    Last week

    4/3/14

    This week

    11/3/14

    Liberal

     

    40%

    39%

    41%

    40%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    43%

    42%

    44%

    42%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    39%

    38%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    8%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    3%

    4%

    3%

    4%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    7%

    7%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 11/2/14

    2 weeks ago

    25/2/14

    Last week

    4/3/14

    This week

    11/3/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    50%

    49%

    51%

    50%

    Labor

    46.5%

    50%

    51%

    49%

    50%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Feb, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,847 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 28/1/14

    2 weeks ago

    11/2/14

    Last week

    18/2/14

    This week

    25/2/14

    Liberal

     

    40%

    40%

    38%

    39%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    42%

    43%

    41%

    42%

    Labor

    33.4%

    36%

    39%

    40%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    3%

    4%

    4%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    7%

    8%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 28/1/14

    2 weeks ago

    11/2/14

    Last week

    18/2/14

    This week

    25/2/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    50%

    50%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    46.5%

    50%

    50%

    51%

    51%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Feb, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,871 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    2 weeks ago

    28/1/14

    Last week

    4/2/14

    This week

    11/2/14

    Liberal

     

    40%

    40%

    40%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    42%

    43%

    43%

    Labor

    33.4%

    36%

    38%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    2 weeks ago

    28/1/14

    Last week

    4/2/14

    This week

    11/2/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    50%

    50%

    50%

    Labor

    46.5%

    50%

    50%

    50%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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