Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 30, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size =  1,910 respondents

 

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2/4/12

Last week

16/4/12

This week

23/4/12

This week

30/4/12

Liberal

46%

45%

45%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

49%

50%

Labor

38.0%

33%

31%

31%

31%

Greens

11.8%

11%

11%

11%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

56%

56%

57%

Labor

50.1%

45%

44%

44%

43%

 

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These figures have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 23, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,892 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

26/3/12

2 weeks ago

10/4/12

Last week

16/4/12

This week

22/4/12

Liberal

45%

47%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

50%

48%

49%

Labor

38.0%

34%

31%

31%

31%

Greens

11.8%

10%

11%

11%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

57%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

46%

43%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

Approval of Bob Brown

Apr 23, 2012

Q. Last week Bob Brown resigned from Parliament and the leadership of the Greens, after 16 years as a member of the Senate. Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of Bob Brown over his 16 years in Parliament?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total approve

42%

60%

24%

89%

Total disapprove

34%

15%

56%

1%

Strongly approve

9%

14%

3%

38%

Approve

33%

46%

21%

51%

Disapprove

19%

13%

29%

1%

Strongly disapprove

15%

2%

27%

Don’t know

24%

25%

20%

10

42% approve the performance of Bob Brown over his 16 years in Parliament and 34% disapprove. A majority of Greens voters (89%) and Labor voters (60%) approve but 56% of Liberal/National voters disapprove.

Men split 40% approve/41% disapprove compared to women 43% approve/28% disapprove.

By age group, approval/disapproval was 46%/21% for under 35’s, 43%/31% for 35-54’s and 35%/56% for 55+.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 10, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,902 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

12/3/12

2 weeks ago

26/3/12

Last week

2/4/12

This week

10/4/12

Liberal

46%

45%

46%

47%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

47%

48%

50%

Labor

38.0%

31%

34%

33%

31%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

11%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

10%

9%

8%

9%

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

57%

54%

55%

57%

Labor

50.1%

43%

46%

45%

43%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 2, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,904 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

5/3/12

2 weeks ago

19/3/12

Last week

26/3/12

This week

2/4/12

Liberal

47%

45%

45%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

48%

47%

48%

Labor

38.0%

32%

32%

34%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

11%

10%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

54%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

46%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 26, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,923 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

27/2/12

2 weeks ago

12/3/12

Last week

19/3/12

This week

26/3/12

Liberal

46%

46%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

48%

47%

Labor

38.0%

32%

31%

32%

34%

Greens

11.8%

11%

10%

11%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

10%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

57%

56%

54%

Labor

50.1%

44%

43%

44%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 19, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,918 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Liberal

45%

47%

46%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

49%

49%

48%

Labor

38.0%

33%

32%

31%

32%

Greens

11.8%

11%

10%

10%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

10%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

56%

57%

56%

Labor

50.1%

45%

44%

43%

44%

 

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 12, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,902 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Liberal

44%

46%

47%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

34%

32%

32%

31%

Greens

11.8%

10%

11%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

9%

10%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

56%

56%

57%

Labor

50.1%

46%

44%

44%

43%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

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