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  • Dec, 2011

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    Performance of Australian Economy

    Q. How do you think the Australian economy is performing in comparison to other developed countries?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total better 73% 84% 72% 80%
    Total worse 7% 3% 8% 1%
    A lot better 27% 44% 19% 32%
    A little better 46% 40% 53% 48%
    About the same 16% 13% 16% 12%
    A little worse 5% 2% 5% 1%
    A lot worse 2% 1% 3%
    Don’t know 4% 1% 3% 6%

    If ‘a lot better’ or ‘a little better’ –

    Q. How much credit do the following deserve for the current performance of Australia’s economy?

    A lot Some A little None Don’t know
    The Federal Labor Government 18% 31% 23% 21% 6%
    The previous Coalition Government 21% 31% 26% 15% 6%
    The booming resources sector 47% 31% 12% 3% 7%
    The Reserve Bank 6% 42% 29% 13% 9%

    73% think that the Australian economy is performing better than other developed countries and only 7% think it is performing worse.

    Respondents give most credit for the performance of the economy to the booming resources sector (78% a lot or some credit). They give similar credit to the Labor Government (49%) and the previous Coalition Government (52%).

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  • Dec, 2011

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    Federal Election

    Q. Do you expect that an early Federal election will be held in 2012?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Yes 32% 24% 42% 26%
    No 42% 55% 37% 50%
    Don’t know 26% 21% 21% 23%

    Respondents were more likely to think there will not be a Federal election next year – 32% expect there will be an election and 42% think there will not.

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  • Dec, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,921 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 44% 45% 44% 44%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 47% 48% 47% 48%
    Labor 38.0% 35% 34% 34% 34%
    Greens 11.8% 10% 11% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 8% 9% 9%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54% 55%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46% 45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Dec, 2011

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    The Past Year – Political Parties

    Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following political parties?

    Total good

    (Dec 10)

    Total bad

    (Dec 10)

    Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
    The Greens 42% 21% 33% 29% 7% 26% 28% 15% 14% 11%
    The Liberal Party 33% 27% 27% 30% 4% 23% 34% 22% 8% 9%
    The Labor Party 21% 47% 16% 53% 2% 14% 22% 33% 21% 8%

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad
    The Greens 33% 29% 41% 16% 23% 45% 70% 3%
    The Liberal Party 27% 30% 13% 45% 45% 16% 17% 45%
    The Labor Party 16% 53% 35% 32% 7% 73% 11% 48%

    Respondents were more likely to think it has been a good year for the Greens (33%) than the Liberal Party (27%) or the Labor Party (16%).

    Among their own voters 70% think it has been a good year for the Greens, 45% the Liberal Party and 35% the Labor Party.

    Compared to last year’s results, all parties figures have declined – The Greens net +21% to +4%, Liberals from net +6% to -3% and Labor from net -26% to -37%.

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  • Dec, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,922 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 43% 46% 45% 44%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 46% 48% 48% 47%
    Labor 38.0% 35% 34% 34% 34%
    Greens 11.8% 9% 10% 11% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 9% 7% 8% 9%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 55% 54% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 45% 46% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Dec, 2011

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    Federal Election

    Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?

    5 Sept 11 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Should run to 2013 40% 47% 89% 20% 73%
    Should hold election now 48% 41% 7% 74% 16%
    Don’t know 12% 12% 4% 6% 11%

    47% think that the Labor Government should be allowed to run its full term trough to 2013 and 41% think a new election should be held. This is almost exactly the reverse of the results when this question was previously asked in September when 48% thought an election should be held now and 40% thought the Government should run its full term.

    Support for the Government to run its full term has increased among Labor voters (from 82% to 89%) and Liberal/National voters (11% to 20%) but dropped from 80% to 73% for Greens voters.

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  • Dec, 2011

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    Party trust to handle important election issues

    Q. And which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

    Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
    Management of the economy 27% 45% 2% 25%
    Ensuring a quality education for all children 34% 36% 5% 25%
    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 31% 34% 6% 29%
    Protecting the environment 16% 23% 37% 24%
    A fair industrial relations system 38% 34% 5% 23%
    Political leadership 23% 40% 5% 33%
    Addressing climate change 19% 25% 31% 25%
    Controlling interest rates 24% 42% 2% 32%
    Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries 32% 35% 4% 29%
    Ensuring a quality water supply 18% 30% 24% 29%
    Housing affordability 23% 33% 5% 38%
    Ensuring a fair taxation system 28% 37% 4% 31%
    Security and the war on terrorism 21% 40% 3% 35%
    Treatment of asylum seekers 17% 36% 12% 35%
    Managing population growth 18% 35% 9% 39%

    Labor does not have a substantial lead over the Liberal Party on any item measured.  The 9% lead it had in June on “a fair industrial relations system” has been reduced to 4%. There is also little difference between Labor and the Liberals for ensuring a quality education for all children, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

    The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership and security and the war on terrorism.

    Overall, there has been a slight weakening of Labor’s position since June.

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  • Nov, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,898 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 44% 44% 46% 45%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 47% 47% 48% 48%
    Labor 38.0% 34% 35% 34% 34%
    Greens 11.8% 10% 10% 10% 11%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 9% 8% 7% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 54% 55% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 45% 46% 44% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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