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  • Mar, 2013

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,894 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    5/2/13

    2 weeks ago

    18/2/13

    Last week

    25/2/13

    This week

    4/3/13

    Liberal

    45%

    44%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    47%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    35%

    34%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Mar, 2013

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    Greens agreement with Labor Government

    Q. The Greens have announced an end to their formal arrangement to support Labor in Government. Do you think this decision is good or bad for the Greens and the Labor Party?

     

    Total good

    Total bad

    Very good

    Good

    Neither good nor bad

    Bad

    Very bad

    Don’t know

    The Greens

    33%

    26%

    12%

    21%

    27%

    14%

    12%

    14%

    The Labor Party

    26%

    40%

    11%

    15%

    21%

    22%

    18%

    13%

     

     

    Total

    Labor voters

    Lib/Nat voters

    Greens voters

     

    Total good

    Total bad

    Total good

    Total bad

    Total good

    Total bad

    Total good

    Total bad

    The Greens

    33%

    26%

    17%

    40%

    42%

    22%

    50%

    14%

    The Labor Party

    26%

    40%

    43%

    27%

    20%

    49%

    16%

    58%

    33% think that the Greens decision to end to their formal arrangement to support Labor in Government is good for the Greens and 26% think it is bad.

    26% think it is good for the Labor Party and 40% think it is bad.

    50% of Greens voters think it is good for the Greens and 14% think it is bad.

    43% of Labor voters think it is good for the Labor Party and 27% think it is bad.

    Among Liberal/National voters, 42% think it is good (and 22% bad) for the Greens while 49% think it is bad (and 20% good) for the Labor Party.

  • Mar, 2013

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    Approval of Christine Milne

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Christine Milne is doing as leader of the Greens?

     

    7 Nov 12

    Total

    4 Mar 13

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total approve

    20%

    22%

    26%

    16%

    67%

    Total disapprove

    33%

    29%

    25%

    41%

    6%

    Strongly approve

    2%

    3%

    4%

    1%

    16%

    Approve

    18%

    19%

    22%

    15%

    51%

    Disapprove

    18%

    14%

    14%

    18%

    4%

    Strongly disapprove

    15%

    15%

    11%

    23%

    2%

    Don’t know

    47%

    48%

    50%

    44%

    27%

    22% approve of the job Christine Milne is doing as leader of the Greens and 29% disapprove – nearly half could not give an opinion. This is an improvement since November – from net -13 to -7.

    Among Greens voters 67% (down 4%) approve and 6% (up 1%) disapprove.

  • Mar, 2013

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    Performance of the Greens

    Q. Do you think the performance of the Greens in Federal Parliament has been good or poor?

     

    16 Jul 12

    7 Nov 12

    Total

    4 Mar 13

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total good

    17%

    16%

    17%

    21%

    8%

    62%

    Total poor

    47%

    40%

    41%

    36%

    55%

    6%

    Very good

    3%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    1%

    12%

    Good

    14%

    13%

    14%

    19%

    7%

    50%

    Neither good nor poor

    27%

    25%

    24%

    28%

    23%

    24%

    Poor

    19%

    18%

    18%

    23%

    20%

    6%

    Very poor

    28%

    22%

    23%

    13%

    35%

    Don’t know

    10%

    19%

    18%

    15%

    13%

    8%

    17% think the performance of The Greens in Federal Parliament has been good or very good and 41% think it has been poor or very poor. These results are very similar to those of November when this question was last asked.

    36% (up 9%) of Labor voters think the Greens’ performance has been poor/very poor and 28% (down 4%) neither good nor poor – only 21% (down 1%) think it has been good/very good. 55% (down 6%) of Liberal/National voters think it has been poor/very poor and 62% (down 3%) of Greens voters think it has been good/very good.

    Among respondents aged under 35, 22% think The Greens’ performance has been good/very good and 27% think it has been poor/very poor.

  • Mar, 2013

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    Greens policies

    Q. Do you think that The Greens’ policies are too extreme or do they represent the views of many voters?

     

    16 Jul 12

    7 Nov 12

    Total

    4 Mar 13

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Too extreme

    53%

    47%

    52%

    48%

    68%

    7%

    Represent the views of many voters

    26%

    25%

    24%

    29%

    13%

    79%

    Don’t know

    21%

    28%

    24%

    23%

    19%

    15%

    52% think The Greens’ policies are too extreme and 24% think they represent the views of many voters. Since this question was last asked in November, the percentage thinking they are extreme has increased 5%. This increase is mainly due to more Labor voters thinking the Greens are too extreme, which has increased from 38% to 48%

    Those most likely to think The Greens’ policies are too extreme were men (61%), aged 55+ (67%) and Liberal/National voters (68%).

  • Mar, 2013

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    Firmness of vote

    Q. Thinking about the Federal election to be held on September 14, which of the following statements best describes you how you will vote?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    I have firmly made up my mind

    46%

    52%

    58%

    38%

    I am leaning in one direction, but it could change

    31%

    37%

    30%

    45%

    I haven’t made up my mind

    16%

    9%

    7%

    16%

    Don’t know

    6%

    3%

    4%

    1%

    46% of respondents said they had firmly made up their mind about how they will vote in the September election. 31% say they are leaning in one direction but could change and 22% haven’t made up their mind or don’t know.

    58% of those indicating they would currently vote Liberal/National said they had firmly made up their mind compared to 52% of current Labor voters and only 38% of current Greens voters.

    65% of those aged 55+ said they had firmly made up their mind compared to 35% of those aged under 35.

  • Mar, 2013

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    Mining tax

    Q. The Minerals Resource Rent tax (Mining tax) raised $126 million from the three biggest mining companies in its first six months of operation. Which is closer to your view?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    The mining tax should be dumped

    28%

    9%

    49%

    5%

    The mining tax should be amended to raise more money

    29%

    43%

    18%

    49%

    The mining tax should be maintained in its current form

    21%

    34%

    12%

    30%

    Don’t know

    21%

    14%

    21%

    15%

    Views about what to do with the mining tax were mixed. 29% think it should be amended to raise more money, 21% think it should be maintained in its current form and 28% think it should be dumped.

    43% of Labor voters and 49% of Greens voters think it should be amended to raise more money while 49% of Liberal/National voters think it should be dumped. Queensland respondents were more likely to think it should be dumped (35%) while Victorian respondents favoured amending it to raise more money (35%).

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