04 March 2013, 040313, 2PP, ALP, Greens, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,894 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 5/2/13 |
2 weeks ago 18/2/13 |
Last week 25/2/13 |
This week 4/3/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
35% |
34% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
54% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
46% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
04 March 2013, 040313, end of greens labor agreement, greens and labor agreement
Q. The Greens have announced an end to their formal arrangement to support Labor in Government. Do you think this decision is good or bad for the Greens and the Labor Party?
|
Total good |
Total bad |
Very good |
Good |
Neither good nor bad |
Bad |
Very bad |
Don’t know |
|
| The Greens |
33% |
26% |
12% |
21% |
27% |
14% |
12% |
14% |
| The Labor Party |
26% |
40% |
11% |
15% |
21% |
22% |
18% |
13% |
|
Total |
Labor voters |
Lib/Nat voters |
Greens voters |
|||||
|
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
|
| The Greens |
33% |
26% |
17% |
40% |
42% |
22% |
50% |
14% |
| The Labor Party |
26% |
40% |
43% |
27% |
20% |
49% |
16% |
58% |
33% think that the Greens decision to end to their formal arrangement to support Labor in Government is good for the Greens and 26% think it is bad.
26% think it is good for the Labor Party and 40% think it is bad.
50% of Greens voters think it is good for the Greens and 14% think it is bad.
43% of Labor voters think it is good for the Labor Party and 27% think it is bad.
Among Liberal/National voters, 42% think it is good (and 22% bad) for the Greens while 49% think it is bad (and 20% good) for the Labor Party.
04 March 2013, 040313, approval of christine milne, Christine Milne
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Christine Milne is doing as leader of the Greens?
|
|
7 Nov 12 |
Total 4 Mar 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
| Total approve |
20% |
22% |
26% |
16% |
67% |
| Total disapprove |
33% |
29% |
25% |
41% |
6% |
| Strongly approve |
2% |
3% |
4% |
1% |
16% |
| Approve |
18% |
19% |
22% |
15% |
51% |
| Disapprove |
18% |
14% |
14% |
18% |
4% |
| Strongly disapprove |
15% |
15% |
11% |
23% |
2% |
| Don’t know |
47% |
48% |
50% |
44% |
27% |
22% approve of the job Christine Milne is doing as leader of the Greens and 29% disapprove – nearly half could not give an opinion. This is an improvement since November – from net -13 to -7.
Among Greens voters 67% (down 4%) approve and 6% (up 1%) disapprove.
04 March 2013, 040313, Greens party, performance of the greens
Q. Do you think the performance of the Greens in Federal Parliament has been good or poor?
|
16 Jul 12 |
7 Nov 12 |
Total 4 Mar 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total good |
17% |
16% |
17% |
21% |
8% |
62% |
| Total poor |
47% |
40% |
41% |
36% |
55% |
6% |
| Very good |
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
1% |
12% |
| Good |
14% |
13% |
14% |
19% |
7% |
50% |
| Neither good nor poor |
27% |
25% |
24% |
28% |
23% |
24% |
| Poor |
19% |
18% |
18% |
23% |
20% |
6% |
| Very poor |
28% |
22% |
23% |
13% |
35% |
– |
| Don’t know |
10% |
19% |
18% |
15% |
13% |
8% |
17% think the performance of The Greens in Federal Parliament has been good or very good and 41% think it has been poor or very poor. These results are very similar to those of November when this question was last asked.
36% (up 9%) of Labor voters think the Greens’ performance has been poor/very poor and 28% (down 4%) neither good nor poor – only 21% (down 1%) think it has been good/very good. 55% (down 6%) of Liberal/National voters think it has been poor/very poor and 62% (down 3%) of Greens voters think it has been good/very good.
Among respondents aged under 35, 22% think The Greens’ performance has been good/very good and 27% think it has been poor/very poor.
04 March 2013, 040313, extreme policy, Greens party, Greens Policies
Q. Do you think that The Greens’ policies are too extreme or do they represent the views of many voters?
|
16 Jul 12 |
7 Nov 12 |
Total 4 Mar 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Too extreme |
53% |
47% |
52% |
48% |
68% |
7% |
| Represent the views of many voters |
26% |
25% |
24% |
29% |
13% |
79% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
28% |
24% |
23% |
19% |
15% |
52% think The Greens’ policies are too extreme and 24% think they represent the views of many voters. Since this question was last asked in November, the percentage thinking they are extreme has increased 5%. This increase is mainly due to more Labor voters thinking the Greens are too extreme, which has increased from 38% to 48%
Those most likely to think The Greens’ policies are too extreme were men (61%), aged 55+ (67%) and Liberal/National voters (68%).
04 March 2013, 040313, Federal vote, swing voters, Voting intention
Q. Thinking about the Federal election to be held on September 14, which of the following statements best describes you how you will vote?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| I have firmly made up my mind |
46% |
52% |
58% |
38% |
| I am leaning in one direction, but it could change |
31% |
37% |
30% |
45% |
| I haven’t made up my mind |
16% |
9% |
7% |
16% |
| Don’t know |
6% |
3% |
4% |
1% |
46% of respondents said they had firmly made up their mind about how they will vote in the September election. 31% say they are leaning in one direction but could change and 22% haven’t made up their mind or don’t know.
58% of those indicating they would currently vote Liberal/National said they had firmly made up their mind compared to 52% of current Labor voters and only 38% of current Greens voters.
65% of those aged 55+ said they had firmly made up their mind compared to 35% of those aged under 35.
04 March 2013, 040313, higher mining taxes, lower mining tax, mining tax should raise more money
Q. The Minerals Resource Rent tax (Mining tax) raised $126 million from the three biggest mining companies in its first six months of operation. Which is closer to your view?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| The mining tax should be dumped |
28% |
9% |
49% |
5% |
| The mining tax should be amended to raise more money |
29% |
43% |
18% |
49% |
| The mining tax should be maintained in its current form |
21% |
34% |
12% |
30% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
14% |
21% |
15% |
Views about what to do with the mining tax were mixed. 29% think it should be amended to raise more money, 21% think it should be maintained in its current form and 28% think it should be dumped.
43% of Labor voters and 49% of Greens voters think it should be amended to raise more money while 49% of Liberal/National voters think it should be dumped. Queensland respondents were more likely to think it should be dumped (35%) while Victorian respondents favoured amending it to raise more money (35%).