Firmness of voting intention
Q. How likely is it that you will change your mind about who you vote for before the Federal election to be held this year?
|
Total Gave voting intention |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Other party/ Independent |
|
| I will definitely not change my mind |
44% |
40% |
59% |
23% |
18% |
|
| It is very unlikely I will change my mind |
30% |
35% |
25% |
36% |
25% |
|
| It is quite possible I will change my mind as the campaign develops |
21% |
18% |
14% |
35% |
49% |
|
| Don’t know |
5% |
7% |
3% |
3% |
9% |
44% of those who gave their voting intention say they will definitely not change their mind before the election, 30% say it is very unlikely they will change their mind and 21% say it is quite possible they will change.
Those most likely to say it is possible they will change their mind were Greens voters (35%), other party and independent voters (49%), aged 18-24 (32%) and women (25%).
Firmness of vote
Q. How likely is it that you will change your mind about who you vote for before the Federal election to be held in September this year?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| I will definitely not change my mind |
43% |
40% |
57% |
18% |
| It is very unlikely I will change my mind |
31% |
34% |
29% |
31% |
| It is quite possible I will change my mind as the campaign develops |
19% |
16% |
11% |
41% |
| Don’t know |
7% |
9% |
4% |
10% |
74% of Labor voters will definitely not or are very unlikely to change their vote compared to 86% of Liberal/National voters but only 49% of Greens voters.
25% of aged 18-34, 20% of aged 35-54 and 11% of aged 55+ say they may change their mind.
Firmness of vote
Q. Thinking about the Federal election to be held on September 14, which of the following statements best describes you how you will vote?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| I have firmly made up my mind |
46% |
52% |
58% |
38% |
| I am leaning in one direction, but it could change |
31% |
37% |
30% |
45% |
| I haven’t made up my mind |
16% |
9% |
7% |
16% |
| Don’t know |
6% |
3% |
4% |
1% |
46% of respondents said they had firmly made up their mind about how they will vote in the September election. 31% say they are leaning in one direction but could change and 22% haven’t made up their mind or don’t know.
58% of those indicating they would currently vote Liberal/National said they had firmly made up their mind compared to 52% of current Labor voters and only 38% of current Greens voters.
65% of those aged 55+ said they had firmly made up their mind compared to 35% of those aged under 35.
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