The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Jun, 2011

    , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Important election issues

    Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

    Total Labor Liberal/ National Green
    Management of the economy 61% 60% 76% 28%
    Ensuring a quality education for all children 26% 29% 24% 27%
    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 49% 50% 50% 51%
    Protecting the environment 15% 17% 10% 52%
    A fair industrial relations system 8% 12% 4% 4%
    Political leadership 17% 16% 20% 16%
    Addressing climate change 15% 23% 6% 45%
    Controlling interest rates 13% 15% 13% 6%
    Australian jobs and protection of local industries 32% 28% 36% 12%
    Ensuring a quality water supply 5% 5% 3% 7%
    Housing affordability 16% 16% 13% 16%
    Ensuring a fair taxation system 17% 14% 19% 16%
    Security and the war on terrorism 8% 4% 13% 1%
    Treatment of asylum seekers 5% 3% 5% 12%
    Managing population growth 12% 12% 12% 9%

    There were few substantial differences between voters on issues they considered important. Compared to the average, Labor voters are more likely to rate addressing climate change (23%) as important.

    Liberal/National voters attach more importance to management of the economy (76%) and security and the war on terrorism (13%) while Greens voters are more likely to nominate protecting the environment (52%), addressing climate change (45%) and treatment of asylum seekers (12%).

    Comments »

  • Jun, 2011

    , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Party trusted to handle important election issues

    Q. And which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

    Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
    Management of the economy 29% 47% 3% 22%
    Ensuring a quality education for all children 38% 35% 5% 23%
    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 33% 35% 6% 25%
    Protecting the environment 18% 21% 39% 23%
    A fair industrial relations system 40% 31% 4% 24%
    Political leadership 26% 38% 5% 31%
    Addressing climate change 21% 24% 29% 26%
    Controlling interest rates 26% 44% 3% 28%
    Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries 35% 35% 4% 26%
    Ensuring a quality water supply 21% 28% 22% 29%
    Housing affordability 26% 34% 4% 35%
    Ensuring a fair taxation system 29% 37% 4% 30%
    Security and the war on terrorism 25% 40% 3% 32%
    Treatment of asylum seekers 19% 39% 11% 31%
    Managing population growth 21% 36% 7% 36%

    Labor is the most trusted party on only one issue – a fair industrial relations system. There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals for ensuring a quality education for all children, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

    This represents a weakening in Labor’s position over the last few months. In January Labor was trusted most to handle ensuring a quality education for all children and in October Labor also had a significant lead on protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

    Comments »

  • Jun, 2011

    , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Balance of Power

    Q. Do you think the independents and Greens holding the balance of power in Parliament has been good or bad for Australia?

    7 Mar 11 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total good 27% 28% 40% 11% 77%
    Total bad 41% 39% 19% 68% 6%
    Very good 7% 9% 11% 3% 40%
    Good 20% 19% 29% 8% 37%
    Neither good nor bad 33% 33% 41% 21% 17%
    Bad 22% 21% 13% 33% 5%
    Very bad 19% 18% 6% 35% 1%

    28% of respondents think the independents and Greens holding the balance of power in Parliament has been good for Australia and 39% bad. This is very similar to the results obtained for this question in March. The only substantial change is that Labor voters are now more positive – in March they responded 33% good/25% bad.

    Comments »

  • Jun, 2011

    , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Cost of Living

    Q. What do you think is the main reason for the increasing cost of living?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    The strong Australian dollar 17% 30% 9% 17%
    Excessive company profits 18% 24% 10% 27%
    Lack of competition 14% 18% 9% 24%
    Economic management of the Federal Government 28% 8% 51% 9%
    Economic management of State Governments 6% 3% 8% 6%
    Wage increases 4% 3% 4% 3%
    Don’t know 14% 14% 8% 14%

    28% believe that economic management of the Federal Government is the main reason for the increasing cost of living. 18% blame excessive company profits and 17% the strong Australian dollar. Only 4% said wage increases.

    Most of those blaming the Federal Government were Liberal/National voters. Labor voters nominated the strong Australian dollar and excessive company profits while Greens votes said excessive company profits and lack of competition.

    Comments »

  • May, 2011

    , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,893

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 44% 43% 44% 44%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 47% 46% 46% 47%
    Labor 38.0 35% 36% 34% 34%
    Greens 11.8 9% 11% 12% 12%
    Other/Independent 6.6 9% 7% 8% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 52% 53% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 48% 47% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

  • May, 2011

    , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Interests Represented by Parties

    Q. Which political party do you think best represents the interests of –

    Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
    Families with young children 34% 31% 5% 29%
    Students 30% 28% 10% 33%
    Working people on average incomes 40% 32% 5% 23%
    Working people on low incomes 43% 27% 6% 24%
    Working people on high incomes 13% 63% 2% 22%
    People on welfare 38% 23% 8% 30%
    Pensioners 33% 28% 5% 34%
    Small businesses and self-employed 20% 47% 4% 29%
    Big business 13% 62% 2% 23%
    The next generation of Australians 19% 31% 17% 33%
    Indigenous people 23% 21% 16% 40%
    Ethnic communities 22% 21% 15% 42%
    Rural and regional Australians 18% 34% 11% 36%

    The Labor Party is considered the party which best represents the interests of working people on low and average incomes, people on welfare and pensioners. The Liberal Party is considered best at representing the interests of people on high incomes, big business, small business and self-employed, rural and regional Australians and the next generation. The Greens’ main strengths are in representing the next generation, indigenous people and ethnic communities.

    There was little difference between the major parties in terms of representing the interests of families with young children, students, indigenous people and ethnic communities.

    Comments »

  • May, 2011

    , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Best Leader of the Labor Party

    Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Julia Gillard 23% 51% 10% 26%
    Kevin Rudd 32% 31% 31% 31%
    Wayne Swan 2% 1% 3% 3%
    Greg Combet 4% 5% 3% 6%
    Bill Shorten 3% 3% 3% 4%
    Someone else 19% 5% 31% 11%
    Don’t know 17% 5% 18% 19%

    32% think Kevin Rudd would make the best leader of the Labor Party and 23% prefer Julia Gillard. Julia Gillard is preferred by 51% of Labor voters compared to 31% for Kevin Rudd. Men prefer Kevin Rudd over Julia Gillard 34% to 21% and women by 30% to 25%.

    Comments »

  • May, 2011

    , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Best Leader of the Liberal Party

    Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?

    27 Sep 2010 28 Feb 2011 30 May 2011
    Total Total Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Tony Abbott 26% 24% 22% 10% 40% 7%
    Malcolm Turnbull 20% 18% 25% 35% 19% 33%
    Joe Hockey 15% 16% 17% 13% 22% 18%
    Julie Bishop 5% 4% 3% 4% 2% 1%
    Andrew Robb na 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
    Someone else na 14% 13% 17% 7% 16%
    Don’t know 33% 22% 19% 20% 8% 22%

    25% (+7%) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 22% (-3%) prefer Tony Abbott and 17% (+1%) Joe Hockey.

    Among Liberal/National voters, 40% prefer Tony Abbott, 22% Joe Hockey and 19% Malcolm Turnbull.

    Malcolm Turnbull is preferred by 25% of men and 24% of women, Tony Abbott by 24% of men and 19% of women.

    Comments »

Error: