14 January 2013, 140113, 2PP, Labor, Labor Party, Liberal, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,878 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 17/12/12 |
This week 14/01/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
4% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
17 December 2012, 171212, Liberal Party
Q. Do you think Tony Abbott will still be leader of the Liberal Party at the next election – due later next year?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Yes |
38% |
26% |
54% |
33% |
| No |
35% |
54% |
20% |
44% |
| Don’t know |
27% |
19% |
26% |
23% |
38% think Tony Abbott will still be leader of the Labor Party at the next election and 35% think he will not.
54% of Liberal/National voters think he will still be leader.
26 November 2012, 261112, carbon pricing scheme, Liberal Party, MRRT, NBN
Q. If the Liberal and National parties win the next election, should they repeal any of these Government decisions?
|
Yes, should repeal |
No, should not repeal |
Don’t know |
|
| The carbon pricing scheme |
45% |
37% |
18% |
| NBN (National Broadband Network) |
18% |
63% |
20% |
| The Minerals Resource Rent Tax (MRRT) |
24% |
50% |
28% |
A greater portion of respondents believe that a Coalition government should repeal the carbon pricing scheme (45%) that those that believe they should not (37%).
A majority of respondents otherwise believe that a Coalition government should not repeal the NBN (63%), and a greater portion believe it should not repeal the MRRT (50%) compared to those that believe it should (24%).
Looking at the results by voting intention, Lib/Nat voters are also more likely to believe a Coalition government should repeal the carbon pricing scheme (72%), the NBN (30%) and the MRRT (44%).
Broken down by gender, male respondents (50%) are more likely than female respondents (39%) to believe that a Coalition government should repeal the carbon tax. Conversely, male respondents were more likely to believe that a Coalition government should not repeal the NBN (66%) compared to female respondents (60%) and also more likely to believe that they should not repeal the MRRT (54%) compared with female respondents (47%).
19 November 2012, 191112, ALP, Election Issues, Greens, Liberal Party
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?
|
ALP |
Libs |
Greens |
Don’t know |
Difference |
Difference |
|
| Management of the economy |
31% |
45% |
2% |
22% |
-14 |
-18 |
| Ensuring a quality education for all children |
38% |
33% |
4% |
24% |
+5 |
-2 |
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
32% |
35% |
7% |
25% |
-3 |
-6 |
| Protecting the environment |
19% |
22% |
38% |
21% |
+16 |
+17 |
| A fair industrial relations system |
41% |
32% |
4% |
23% |
+9 |
+6 |
| Political leadership |
26% |
38% |
6% |
30% |
-12 |
-16 |
| Addressing climate change |
22% |
23% |
32% |
24% |
+9 |
+7 |
| Controlling interest rates |
28% |
39% |
3% |
30% |
-11 |
-18 |
| Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
34% |
36% |
4% |
27% |
-2 |
-6 |
| Ensuring a quality water supply |
21% |
28% |
23% |
27% |
-7 |
-12 |
| Housing affordability |
28% |
33% |
5% |
33% |
-5 |
-11 |
| Ensuring a fair taxation system |
30% |
39% |
4% |
27% |
-9 |
-10 |
| Security and the war on terrorism |
25% |
40% |
4% |
31% |
-15 |
-22 |
| Treatment of asylum seekers |
20% |
38% |
13% |
29% |
-18 |
-20 |
| Managing population growth |
22% |
37% |
6% |
35% |
-15 |
-19 |
Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.
Labor leads the Liberal Party on ensuring a quality education for all children and a fair industrial relations system. The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership, security and the war on terrorism, treatment of asylum seekers and managing population growth.
There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals on ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries. Since June, there has been a shift in Labor’s favour on most issues – especially, ensuring a quality education for all children, controlling interest rates, housing affordability and security and the war on terrorism.
29 October 2012, 291012, 2PP, Abbott, ALP, Election, federal politics, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,792 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 1/10/12 |
2 weeks ago 15/10/12 |
Last week 22/10/12 |
This week 29/10/12 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
36% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
22 October 2012, 221012, 2PP, ALP, Federal Election, first preference vote, Greens, Liberal, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,888 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 24/9/12 |
2 weeks ago 8/10/12 |
Last week 15/10/12 |
This week 22/10/12 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
2PP, first preference vote, Greens, Julia Gillard, Labor, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,924 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 17/9/12 |
2 weeks ago 1/10/12 |
Last week 8/10/12 |
This week 15/10/12 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
36% |
37% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
2PP, Essential Report, Labor, Labor Party, Liberal, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 2,100 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 10/09/2012 |
2 weeks ago 24/09/2012 |
Last week 01/10/2012 |
This week |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
35% |
36% |
37% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 10/09/2012 |
2 weeks ago 24/09/2012 |
Last week 01/10/2012 |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.