Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,912 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 1/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 15/7/13 |
Last week 23/7/13 |
This week 29/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
43% |
42% |
42% |
41% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
44% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
39% |
39% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
7% |
7% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 1/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 15/7/13 |
Last week 23/7/13 |
This week 29/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
53% |
52% |
51% |
51% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,980 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 8/7/13 |
Last week 15/7/13 |
This week 23/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
42% |
42% |
42% |
|
| National |
3% |
4% |
4% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
38% |
39% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
11% |
7% |
8% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 8/7/13 |
Last week 15/7/13 |
This week 23/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
52% |
52% |
51% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
48% |
48% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,879 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 17/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 1/7/13 |
Last week 8/7/13 |
This week 15/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
43% |
42% |
42% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
36% |
38% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
7% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
7% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 17/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 1/7/13 |
Last week 8/7/13 |
This week 15/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
54% |
53% |
52% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
47% |
48% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,778 respondent
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
Last week 1/7/13 |
This week 8/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
43% |
42% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
Last week 1/7/13 |
This week 8/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
54% |
55% |
53% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
45% |
47% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,865 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
|
This week (single week result) |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
42% |
||
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
|||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
||
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
35% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
||
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
||
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election |
|
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
|
This week (single week result) |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
55% |
53% |
52% |
||
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
45% |
47% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,916 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
Last week 17/6/13 |
This week 24/6/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
36% |
35% |
34% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
Last week 17/6/13 |
This week 24/6/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
54% |
55% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,906 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
Last week 3/6/13 |
This week 11/6/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
45% |
44% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 27/5/13 |
Last week 3/6/13 |
This week 11/6/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
54% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,903 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 6/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 20/5/13 |
Last week 27/5/13 |
This week 3/6/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
|
| National |
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
35% |
34% |
35% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
10% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 6/5/13 |
2 weeks ago 20/5/13 |
Last week 27/5/13 |
This week 3/6/13 |
| Liberal |
49.9% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 14 May 2019
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