Expectations of a Liberal/National Government

Feb 25, 2013

Q. If the Labor Party lost the next election, do you think the following would be better or worse under a Liberal/National Government led by Tony Abbott?

 

A lot better

A little better

Stay much the same

A little worse

A lot worse

Don’t use

NET (Better-Worse)

Political leadership

16%

19%

27%

10%

24%

4%

+1

Trust in Government

13%

19%

29%

12%

22%

4%

-2

Unemployment

7%

18%

39%

13%

19%

5%

-7

The economy overall

16%

22%

31%

12%

16%

4%

+10

The cost of living

6%

19%

36%

14%

21%

4%

-10

Interest rates

5%

13%

48%

14%

16%

5%

-12

Health services

6%

19%

36%

16%

20%

4%

-11

Job security

7%

17%

36%

14%

22%

4%

-12

Workers rights and conditions

5%

13%

37%

15%

25%

5%

-22

Company profits

13%

28%

37%

6%

10%

6%

+25

The environment

5%

13%

47%

11%

21%

4%

-14

Job creation

8%

20%

39%

13%

16%

4%

-1

Public services

6%

15%

42%

13%

20%

4%

-12

Benefits for people on Government support – such as pensioners and the unemployed

5%

13%

39%

16%

23%

5%

-21

Your personal financial situation

6%

16%

42%

15%

16%

4%

-9

Under a Liberal Government, respondents though that the economy overall (+10) and company profits (+25) would be better.

However they were more likely to think that workers rights and conditions (-22), benefits for people on Government support  (-21), the environment (-14), interest rates (-12), job security (-12), public services, health services (-11) and the cost of living (-10) would all be worse. 22% think their own financial situation will be better, 31% think it will be worse and 42% much the same.

Important election issues

Nov 19, 2012

Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

 

First

Second

Third

Total

19 Nov 12

Total

30 Jul 12

5 Dec 11

6 June 11

25 Jan 10

Management of the economy

47%

11%

9%

66%

64%

62%

61%

63%

Ensuring a quality education for all children

7%

16%

11%

35%

26%

22%

26%

23%

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

15%

22%

20%

57%

47%

47%

49%

48%

Protecting the environment

3%

6%

5%

14%

11%

13%

15%

16%

A fair industrial relations system

2%

3%

3%

8%

12%

11%

8%

na

Political leadership

6%

5%

4%

15%

25%

18%

17%

23%

Addressing climate change

2%

2%

5%

9%

9%

10%

15%

16%

Controlling interest rates

2%

5%

4%

11%

9%

11%

13%

15%

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

8%

11%

13%

32%

41%

36%

32%

33%

Ensuring a quality water supply

1%

2%

2%

5%

3%

4%

5%

12%

Housing affordability

3%

6%

5%

14%

13%

13%

16%

14%

Ensuring a fair taxation system

2%

5%

9%

17%

18%

16%

17%

14%

Security and the war on terrorism

*

1%

3%

5%

5%

4%

8%

9%

Treatment of asylum seekers

1%

1%

3%

6%

10%

8%

5%

na

Managing population growth

1%

2%

4%

7%

8%

8%

12%

na

*Not asked

66% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 57% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 35% ensuring a quality education for all children and 32% Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

Since July, there has been an increase in the importance of ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system (+10%) and ensuring a quality education for all children (+9%) and a decline in the importance of political leadership (-10%) and Australian jobs and protection of local industries (-9%).

Approval of return to surplus

Oct 29, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s intention to return the budget to surplus this financial year, even if it means making more spending cuts?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total approve

37%

52%

31%

43%

Total disapprove

43%

32%

54%

35%

Strongly approve

5%

8%

5%

7%

Approve

32%

44%

26%

36%

Disapprove

31%

26%

38%

26%

Strongly disapprove

12%

6%

16%

9%

Don’t know

19%

17%

16%

23%

37% approve of returning the budget to surplus even if it means spending cuts and 43% disapprove.

Labor voters (52%) and Greens voters (43%) are more likely to approve but 54% Liberal/National voters disapprove. There were no substantial differences across demographics.

Attitudes to public sector cuts

Sep 24, 2012

Q. There have recently been a significant number of public service jobs cut in various states around the country.

How do you think each of the following will fare as are result of public sector job cuts?

 

Get better

Get worse

Stay much the same

Don’t know

The rate of unemployment

4%

61%

25%

10%

Delivery of public services

5%

54%

29%

11%

The welfare of disadvantaged Australians

5%

53%

30%

12%

Retail and spending

4%

50%

35%

11%

The welfare of all Australians

6%

49%

34%

11%

State budgets

18%

42%

27%

13%

The economy in general

11%

41%

37%

11%

Governments’ ability to respond to natural disasters

7%

32%

45%

16%

The majority of respondents believe that the following things will get worse as a result of public sector cuts: the rate of unemployment (61%), delivery of public services (54%) and the welfare of disadvantaged Australians (53%).

The larger portion of respondents also think that retail and spending will get worse (50%), as well as the welfare of all Australians (49%), state budgets (42%) and the economy in general (41%).

A larger portion of respondents believe that the governments’’ ability to respond to natural disasters will stay much the same (45%) than those that believe it will get worse (32%).

Important election issues

Jul 30, 2012

Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

 

First

Second

Third

Total

30 Jul 12

5 Dec 11

6 June 11

25 Jan 10

Management of the economy

38%

16%

10%

64%

62%

61%

63%

Ensuring a quality education for all children

5%

10%

11%

26%

22%

26%

23%

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

10%

19%

18%

47%

47%

49%

48%

Protecting the environment

3%

4%

4%

11%

13%

15%

16%

A fair industrial relations system

4%

3%

5%

12%

11%

8%

*

Political leadership

11%

7%

7%

25%

18%

17%

23%

Addressing climate change

3%

3%

3%

9%

10%

15%

16%

Controlling interest rates

2%

2%

5%

9%

11%

13%

15%

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

13%

15%

13%

41%

36%

32%

33%

Ensuring a quality water supply

*

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

12%

Housing affordability

3%

5%

5%

13%

13%

16%

14%

Ensuring a fair taxation system

4%

7%

7%

18%

16%

17%

14%

Security and the war on terrorism

1%

1%

3%

5%

4%

8%

9%

Treatment of asylum seekers

3%

4%

3%

10%

8%

5%

*

Managing population growth

2%

3%

3%

8%

8%

12%

*

*Not asked

64% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 47% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and 41% Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

Since December, there has been an increase in the importance of political leadership (+7%), Australian jobs and protection of local industries (+5%) and ensuring a quality education for all children (+4%).

Party trust to handle important election issues

Jun 18, 2012

Q.  Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

 

Labor

Liberal

Greens

Don’t know

Difference

18 Jun 12

Difference

5 Dec 11

Management of the economy

26%

44%

3%

27%

-18

-18

Ensuring a quality education for all children

33%

35%

5%

26%

-2

-2

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

30%

36%

7%

27%

-6

-3

Protecting the environment

17%

21%

38%

24%

+17

+14

A fair industrial relations system

36%

30%

6%

28%

+6

+4

Political leadership

21%

37%

7%

36%

-16

-17

Addressing climate change

18%

24%

31%

27%

+7

+6

Controlling interest rates

22%

40%

3%

35%

-18

-18

Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries

29%

35%

6%

31%

-6

-3

Ensuring a quality water supply

16%

28%

23%

33%

-12

-12

Housing affordability

22%

33%

5%

39%

-11

-10

Ensuring a fair taxation system

26%

36%

5%

32%

-10

-9

Security and the war on terrorism

18%

40%

4%

38%

-22

-19

Treatment of asylum seekers

16%

36%

13%

36%

-20

-19

Managing population growth

17%

36%

7%

40%

-19

-17

Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.

Labor does not have a substantial lead over the Liberal Party on any item measured. The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership and security and the war on terrorism.

There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals for ensuring a quality education for all children, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health systerm and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries. Overall, there has been very little change in these results since December.

Trust Most to Handle Economy

May 14, 2012

Q. Who would you trust most to handle Australia’s economy – the Treasurer Wayne Swan or the Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Wayne Swan

34%

77%

6%

51%

Joe Hockey

33%

5%

65%

6%

Don’t know

33%

18%

29%

43%

34% would trust Wayne Swan most to handle the economy and 33% would trust Joe Hockey most. 33% could not give an opinion.

Those aged under 35 trust Wayne Swan more (32%/21%) and those aged 55+ trust Joe Hockey more (47%/31%).

Comments »

The Australian Economy

May 7, 2012

Q. Thinking about the state of the world economy, how do you think the Australian economy has performed over the last few years compared to other countries?

 

15 Aug 11

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total better

70%

66%

80%

60%

73%

Total worse

10%

15%

8%

19%

10%

A lot better

31%

29%

49%

19%

38%

A little better

39%

37%

31%

41%

35%

About the same

16%

16%

12%

20%

17%

A little worse

7%

9%

6%

10%

8%

A lot worse

3%

6%

2%

9%

2%

Don’t know

3%

3%

1%

1%

1%

66% think that Australia’s economy has performed better than other countries over the last few years, 16% say about the same and 15% think it has been worse. This represents a shift from net +60 to net +51 since this question was previous asked in August last year.

There were no substantial differences across demographic groups although those on higher incomes are a little more likely to believe it has performed better – 71% of those on incomes over $1,600pw compared to 61% of those earning under $1,000pw.

Comments »

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