080413, 2PP, 8 April 2013, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,896 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 11/3/13 |
2 weeks ago 25/2/13 |
Last week 2/4/13 |
This week 8/4/13 |
| Liberal |
45% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
|
| National |
3% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
33% |
31% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
11% |
11% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
080413, 8 April 2013, state of economy
Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?
|
28 May 12 |
Total 8 Apr 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total good |
35% |
45% |
63% |
33% |
63% |
| Total poor |
29% |
26% |
13% |
37% |
10% |
| Very good |
6% |
8% |
18% |
3% |
9% |
| Good |
29% |
37% |
45% |
30% |
54% |
| Neither good nor poor |
33% |
28% |
23% |
30% |
27% |
| Poor |
20% |
17% |
10% |
24% |
7% |
| Very poor |
9% |
9% |
3% |
13% |
3% |
| Don’t know |
2% |
2% |
1% |
* |
1% |
45% described the economy as good or very good and 26% poor/very poor – 28% said it was neither. This represents a net improvement from +6 to +19 since May last year.
Those most likely to think the economy was good/very good were people with incomes $1,000-$1,600pw (52%).
Those most likely to think the economy was poor/very poor were aged 55+ (33%) and people with incomes under $600pw (35%).
040813, 8 April 2013, economy, state of economy
Q. Some say that official figures show Australia’s economy is doing very well, especially compared to the rest of the world. The interest rate, the unemployment rate and the inflation rate are all at relatively low levels. Do you agree or disagree that this shows the state of the economy is good?
|
28 May 12 |
Total 8 Apr 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total agree |
52% |
56% |
76% |
42% |
77% |
| Total disagree |
37% |
37% |
20% |
54% |
20% |
| Strongly agree |
9% |
12% |
25% |
5% |
23% |
| Agree |
43% |
44% |
51% |
37% |
54% |
| Disagree |
27% |
29% |
17% |
42% |
17% |
| Strongly disagree |
10% |
8% |
3% |
12% |
3% |
| Don’t know |
10% |
7% |
4% |
5% |
3% |
When told that official figures show Australia’s economy is doing well, 56% agreed and 37% disagreed.
Those most likely to disagree were Liberal/National voters (54%), aged 55+ (45%) and people with incomes under $600pw (49%).
080413, 8 April 2013, cost of living, economy, GFC, government, State of the Economy
Q. What is the main reason you don’t think the state of the economy is good? *
|
28 May 12 |
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
|
| Poor economic management by Government |
27% |
40% |
17% |
52% |
| Increasing cost of living |
34% |
27% |
41% |
22% |
| Businesses are struggling |
13% |
11% |
7% |
13% |
| Increasing gap between rich and poor |
9% |
7% |
15% |
3% |
| Incomes aren’t increasing fast enough to keep up |
7% |
6% |
7% |
5% |
| Global financial problems |
7% |
5% |
7% |
4% |
| Other reason |
2% |
3% |
6% |
2% |
| Don’t know |
1% |
1% |
– |
– |
* Based on those who disagree that economy is good.
Those who disagreed that the economy was good said the main reasons were poor economic management by Government (40%) and the increasing cost of living (27%). Those who blame poor economic management by the Government has increased 13% and cost of living has decreased 7% since May last year.
62% of respondents aged 55+ blamed poor economic management by Government while the increasing cost of living was the major factor for 41% of respondents aged 25-44.
080413, 8 April 2013, Carbon Tax, Divided Labor party, economy, kevin rudd, Prime Minister trust
Q. Although Australia’s economy is doing very well, according to opinion polls the Government is very unpopular. What do you think is the main reason for this? *
|
28 May 12 |
Total 8 Apr 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Voters don’t trust the Prime Minister |
28% |
27% |
19% |
35% |
31% |
| The Labor Party is divided and can’t govern properly |
na |
19% |
15% |
23% |
23% |
| The economy is doing well for other reasons, like China and the mining boom, not because of the government |
15% |
13% |
9% |
19% |
11% |
| Voters would prefer Kevin Rudd as Prime Minister |
na |
9% |
14% |
4% |
7% |
| Voters aren’t benefitting from the strong economy. |
12% |
9% |
10% |
5% |
12% |
| The carbon tax has increased (will increase) the cost of living |
17% |
7% |
6% |
9% |
– |
| Some other reason |
8% |
12% |
21% |
3% |
12% |
| Don’t know |
3% |
5% |
7% |
2% |
5% |
* Based on those who agree the economy is good.
Respondents who thought the economy was doing well, thought the main reasons for the Government’s unpopularity were that voters don’t trust the Prime Minister (27%) and the Labor Party is divided and can’t govern properly (19%).
Both Liberal/National and Greens voters said trust in the Prime Minister was the key issue.
Since May last year, those blaming the impact of the carbon tax has declined from 17% to 7%.
080413, 8 April 2013, household finances
Q. How would you describe the current financial situation of your household?
|
28 May 12 |
Total 8 Apr 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total satisfactory |
43% |
56% |
57% |
58% |
57% |
| Total unsatisfactory |
28% |
26% |
28% |
22% |
29% |
| Very satisfactory |
7% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
6% |
| Satisfactory |
36% |
48% |
49% |
50% |
51% |
| Neither satisfactory nor unsatisfactory |
28% |
18% |
15% |
19% |
12% |
| Unsatisfactory |
18% |
20% |
22% |
17% |
21% |
| Very unsatisfactory |
10% |
6% |
6% |
5% |
8% |
| Don’t know |
1% |
1% |
1% |
* |
1% |
56% (up 13% since May last year) consider their current household financial situation to be satisfactory and 26% say it is unsatisfactory. 18% said it was neither.
Those most likely to be satisfied were those on incomes over $1,600pw (69%).
Those most likely to be dissatisfied were on incomes under $1,000pw (40%).
080413, 8 April 2013, bought a car, overseas holiday, purchase house, renovated home, Spending
Q. In the last 12 months have you –
|
28 May 12 |
Total 8 Apr 13 |
Vote ALP |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
Financial situation satisfactory |
Neither satisfactory nor un- |
Financial situation un- |
|
| Bought a house or other property |
10% |
10% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
13% |
7% |
5% |
| Bought a new car |
12% |
12% |
10% |
15% |
12% |
17% |
10% |
5% |
| Bought a used car |
17% |
13% |
14% |
13% |
12% |
14% |
11% |
13% |
| Renovated your current home |
17% |
16% |
17% |
16% |
18% |
22% |
13% |
6% |
| Purchased a major household item (stove, TV, Fridge, furniture etc.) |
39% |
40% |
42% |
41% |
49% |
47% |
36% |
30% |
| Taken an overseas holiday |
30% |
34% |
29% |
35% |
39% |
44% |
24% |
21% |
| Taken an Australian holiday |
45% |
46% |
41% |
49% |
52% |
56% |
39% |
28% |
| Paid private school fees |
12% |
11% |
9% |
15% |
6% |
11% |
14% |
12% |
| Bought shares |
13% |
12% |
10% |
14% |
16% |
17% |
8% |
3% |
The most common major spending items over the last 12 months were holidays in Australia (46%), purchase of major household item (40%) and overseas holidays (34%). Spending results were similar to those recorded last May.
Spending rate of those who consider their financial situation unsatisfactory was about half that of those who were satisfied for most items. Whereas taking an Australian holidays was the most common item of major spending for those satisfied (56%) and the neither group (39%), those who were dissatisfied were more likely to have purchased a major household item (30%).
080413, 8 April 2013, tax on superannuation
Q. Would you approve or disapprove of increasing the tax rates on superannuation contributions and earnings for people on very high incomes?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Income less than $600pw |
Income $600 |
Income $1,000 |
Income $1,600+ |
|
| Total approve |
55% |
73% |
38% |
83% |
56% |
63% |
61% |
52% |
| Total disapprove |
35% |
17% |
55% |
15% |
32% |
27% |
32% |
42% |
| Strongly approve |
23% |
37% |
11% |
40% |
28% |
27% |
27% |
18% |
| Approve |
32% |
36% |
27% |
43% |
28% |
36% |
34% |
34% |
| Disapprove |
20% |
11% |
28% |
13% |
18% |
16% |
20% |
21% |
| Strongly disapprove |
15% |
6% |
27% |
2% |
14% |
11% |
12% |
21% |
| Don’t know |
10% |
10% |
7% |
3% |
12% |
10% |
7% |
6% |
55% approve of increasing the tax rates on superannuation contributions and earnings for people on very high incomes and 35% disapprove.
There was majority approval across all income groups – although those on $1,600+ pw showed the highest level of disapproval (42%).
There were no significant differences across age groups.