Essential Report

Expected restriction levels

Jul 28, 2020

Q. In response to the Covid-19 outbreak, what do you expect will happen to the restriction levels in your local area over the next two months?

    Gender State
  Total Male Female NSW VIC QLD SA WA
I expect restrictions will become tighter 39% 35% 43% 53% 38% 37% 25% 16%
I expect no change to the restrictions 39% 42% 37% 35% 40% 39% 44% 51%
I expect restrictions will have eased 22% 23% 20% 12% 22% 24% 31% 33%
Base (n) 1,058 538 520 352 239 220 88 110

 

  • Australians are preparing for a continuation, or tightening of restrictions over the next few months. 39% expect tighter restrictions in their local area and the same number do not expect any change to the current rules and guidelines. About one in five (22%) believe that restrictions will ease.
  • Women (43%) and residents of New South Wales (53%) are most likely to expect restrictions to become tighter; while men (35%) and Western Australia residents (16%) are less likely to expect this.

Time to return to normal

Jul 28, 2020

Q. Thinking about the future, how long do you think it will take for the following to occur?

LAST MONTH (22/06) Within the next six months Seven months up to one year One to two years More than two years Never
A Covid-19 vaccine will be developed 11% 22% 43% 20% 4%
Quarantine will no longer required after international travel 12% 27% 35% 22% 4%
The housing market will return pre-pandemic levels 11% 22% 38% 25% 4%
International travel will be allowed without restriction 10% 23% 39% 24% 4%
Unemployment will return to pre-pandemic levels 8% 17% 37% 33% 6%
The population will build resistance to Covid-19 through exposure (herd immunity) 8% 15% 31% 27% 20%
Australia will pay off its national debt 5% 9% 12% 52% 22%

 

  • Expectations of the effect of the Covid-19 have lengthened in the past month, with more people now thinking the impacts will last for more than two years.
  • 32% expect it will be over two years before quarantine following international travel is removed (up from 22% last month). Similarly more people now think it will be over two years before housing prices (25% to 38%), unrestricted international travel (24% to 38%) and unemployment (33% to 48%) return to pre-Covid levels.
  • 26% do not think a population-wide resistance to the disease will ever be achieved.

Coronavirus concerns

Jul 14, 2020

Q. To what extent are you concerned about the threat of Covid-19 (coronavirus) in Australia?

  13/07 22/06 15/06 08/06 01/06 25/05 18/05 11/05 04/05 27/04
Very concerned 36% 25% 28% 27% 32% 30% 33% 34% 32% 39%
Quite concerned 48% 50% 45% 48% 49% 49% 47% 49% 46% 44%
Not that concerned 12% 21% 23% 21% 15% 16% 16% 14% 18% 13%
Not at all concerned 3% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 3%
Base (n) 1,054 1,079 1,087 1,073 1,059 1,087 1,073 1,067 1,093 1,054

 

    State
  Total NSW VIC QLD SA WA
Very concerned 36% 42% 46% 25% 33% 26%
Quite concerned 48% 46% 45% 49% 44% 55%
Not that concerned 12% 8% 8% 19% 21% 13%
Not at all concerned 3% 3% 1% 6% 1% 7%
Base (n) 1,054 320 281 226 82 98

 

  • Concern about Covid-19 has increased from last month. In June 25% said they were very concerned about the threat of Covid-19 – this has increased to 36% this week.
  • Concern is highest in Victoria (46% are very concerned) and NSW (42%), while lower in Queensland (25% and Western Australia (26%).

Government response to Covid-19

Jul 14, 2020

Q. Overall, how would you rate the Government’s response to the Covid-19 outbreak?

  13/07 22/06 15/06 08/06 01/06 25/05 18/05 11/05 04/05 27/04
Very poor 6% 4% 3% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4%
Quite poor 10% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9%
Neither good, nor poor 20% 17% 16% 18% 20% 16% 17% 16% 20% 17%
Quite good 40% 43% 42% 40% 39% 43% 41% 39% 38% 44%
Very good 24% 27% 30% 30% 28% 30% 32% 32% 28% 26%
TOTAL: Poor 16% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 13% 14% 13%
TOTAL: Good 64% 71% 72% 70% 68% 73% 73% 71% 66% 70%
Base (n) 1,054 1,079 1,087 1,073 1,059 1,087 1,073 1,067 1,093 1,054

 

  • Rating of the Federal Government’s handling of the crisis has declined from last month. 64% now rate the Governments response as good (Very good or quite good), down from 71% in June.
  • Victoria has the lowest rating (60% rated very/quite good, down from 70% in June). 

State Government response to Covid-19

Jul 14, 2020

Q. How would you rate your state government’s response to the Covid-19 outbreak?

All States 13/07 22/06 15/06 08/06 01/06 25/05 18/05 11/05 04/05 27/04
Very poor 7% 5% 4% 4% 6% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4%
Quite poor 11% 8% 8% 7% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9%
Neither good, nor poor 18% 17% 17% 17% 20% 17% 17% 16% 18% 17%
Quite good 36% 41% 38% 39% 38% 38% 39% 39% 38% 41%
Very good 28% 28% 33% 32% 30% 35% 33% 34% 31% 30%
TOTAL: Poor 17% 13% 12% 11% 12% 11% 11% 12% 12% 13%
TOTAL: Good 64% 69% 71% 71% 68% 73% 72% 73% 70% 70%
Base (n) 1,054 1,079 1,087 1,073 1,059 1,087 1,073 1,067 1,093 1,054

 

TOTAL: Good 13/07 22/06 15/06 08/06 01/06 25/05 18/05 11/05 04/05 27/04
NSW 63% 70% 65% 67% 62% 65% 70% 70% 68% 63%
VIC 49% 65% 75% 72% 71% 73% 71% 71% 72% 77%
QLD 69% 64% 67% 68% 69% 74% 66% 70% 65% 67%
SA 79% 79% 76% 79% 70% 84% 80% 78% 76% 77%
WA 77% 75% 77% 84% 79% 83% 86% 83% 79% 76%

 

  • The positive rating of the State Government in Victoria has dropped from 65% in June to 49% this week. 17% think the Victorian government is doing a very good job (down from 26%) and those thinking they’ve done a quite good job has fallen from 28% to 32%.
  • Southern Australia (79%) and Western Australia (77%) have the highest state government ratings at handling the crisis.

 

VICTORIA ONLY 13/07 22/06 15/06 08/06 01/06 25/05 18/05 11/05 04/05 27/04
Very poor 14% 8% 6% 6% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3%
Quite poor 12% 5% 5% 6% 7% 9% 10% 11% 8% 6%
Neither good, nor poor 25% 22% 13% 16% 17% 16% 15% 15% 17% 14%
Quite good 32% 38% 39% 38% 39% 37% 38% 34% 32% 40%
Very good 17% 26% 36% 34% 33% 36% 33% 37% 40% 37%
TOTAL: Poor 26% 13% 11% 12% 11% 11% 14% 14% 11% 9%
TOTAL: Good 49% 65% 75% 72% 71% 73% 71% 71% 72% 77%
Base (n) 281 261 275 275 275 275 267 275 275 272

 

  • At the same time, those rating the Victorian state Government’s performance as very or quite poor has doubled from 13% in June to 26% this week.

 

Coronavirus concerns

Jun 23, 2020

Q. To what extent are you concerned about the threat of Covid-19 (coronavirus) in Australia?

  22/06 15/06 08/06 01/06 25/05 18/05 11/05 04/05 27/04 20/04
Very concerned 25% 28% 27% 32% 30% 33% 34% 32% 39% 44%
Quite concerned 50% 45% 48% 49% 49% 47% 49% 46% 44% 43%
Not that concerned 21% 23% 21% 15% 16% 16% 14% 18% 13% 11%
Not at all concerned 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 3% 2%
Base (n) 1,079 1,087 1,073 1,059 1,087 1,073 1,067 1,093 1,054 1,051

Likelihood of developing Coronavirus

Jun 23, 2020

Q. How likely do you think it is, that you will develop Covid-19?

  22/08 15/06 08/06 01/06 25/05 18/05 11/05 04/05 27/04 20/04
Very likely 8% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 7%
Somewhat likely 23% 19% 22% 23% 22% 25% 24% 26% 21% 25%
Somewhat unlikely 49% 49% 47% 48% 51% 48% 48% 46% 50% 52%
Very unlikely 21% 26% 25% 22% 23% 21% 21% 23% 23% 17%
Base (n) 1,079 1,087 1,073 1,059 1,087 1,073 1,067 1.093 1,054 1,051

Likelihood of second wave

Jun 23, 2020

Q. How likely do you think it is, that there will be a second wave of Covid-19 infections will occur as a result of easing restrictions?

  Total Gender Age Group
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Very likely 20% 18% 21% 18% 24% 17%
Quite likely 43% 41% 45% 40% 40% 50%
Neither likely nor unlikely 24% 26% 23% 28% 24% 21%
Quite unlikely 10% 11% 8% 11% 8% 10%
Very unlikely 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% 2%
TOTAL: Likely 63% 59% 67% 58% 64% 67%
TOTAL: Unlikely 13% 15% 10% 14% 12% 12%
Base (n) 1,079 525 554 332 362 385

 

  State
  NSW VIC QLD SA WA
Very likely 21% 24% 20% 14% 14%
Quite likely 41% 45% 43% 45% 43%
Neither likely nor unlikely 27% 21% 24% 23% 24%
Quite unlikely 9% 7% 10% 11% 15%
Very unlikely 3% 2% 3% 6% 4%
TOTAL: Likely 62% 70% 63% 59% 57%
TOTAL: Unlikely 12% 9% 13% 18% 19%
Very likely 352 261 216 88 110
  • 63% of participants think a second wave of Covid-19 infections is probable with women (67%) and 55+ year olds (67%) more likely to say this will happen.
  • Victorians (70%) are more likely than other state residents to think a second wave is probable (61%), which coincides with the announcement of 19 new cases over the weekend.
  • There are no significant differences across voting intentions.
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