The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Mar, 2010

    ,

    Support for Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party since the 2007 election

    Q.  In the past few years – since Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party became Government – would you say you have moved closer to the Labor Party, further away from the ALP, or would you say you have stayed about the same in your view of them?

                Total % Federal Vote
    Labor Coalition Green
    Closer to the Labor Party 20% 39% 5% 13%
    Further away from the Labor Party 33% 5% 67% 43%
    Stayed about the same 41% 54% 27% 37%
    Don’t know 6% 1% 2% 6%

     41% of people indicated that in the past few years, since Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party became Government their view of Labor has stayed about the same.   33% have moved further away from the Labor Party and 20% have moved closer.

     Labor voters were more likely to indicate that their support for Labor has stayed about the same since Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party became Government (54%).

     67% of Coalition voters and 43% of Green voters have moved further away from the Labor Party since Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party became Government.

    People aged 45 – 54 were more likely to indicate their views have stayed the same (51%) while those aged 65 years and over were more likely to indicate they have moved further away from the Labor Party (43%).  Comments »

  • Mar, 2010

    , , , , , ,

    Party Identification

    Q. Now regardless of your present view of things, which federal party do you normally consider yourself closest to?

      %
    Labor 40%
    Liberal 32%
    National 3%
    Greens 6%
    Democrats 2%
    Family First 2%
    Independent or other party 3%
    Don’t know 11%

     40% of those surveyed indicated the party they normally consider themselves closest to is Labor, 35% indicated Liberal/National, 6% Greens and 11% don’t know.  Comments »

  • Mar, 2010

    , , ,

    Strength of party identification

    Q.  Do you consider yourself a very strong supporter, a fairly strong or not a very strong supporter of that party?

      Total % Party ID  
    Labor Coalition Greens
    Very strong 25% 25% 29% 18%
    Fairly strong 52% 55% 51% 60%
    Not very strong 22% 18% 19% 22%
    Don’t know 1% 1% 1% *

    People that normally consider themselves Coalition supporters were slightly more likely than Labor supporters to indicate their party support as very strong (29% v 25%).   55% of Labor supporters and 60% of Greens supporters indicated their party support as fairly strong.   Comments »

  • Mar, 2010

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

    Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

    *1,908 sample size

    2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
    Liberal 35%    
    National 3%    
    Total Lib/Nat 38% 44% -2%
    Labor 45% 56% +2%
    Greens 9%    
    Family First 2%    
    Other/Independent 6%    

     NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results. 

    * Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.   Comments »

  • Mar, 2010

    , , ,

    Parental leave policy

    Q. The Opposition leader Tony Abbott has proposed a scheme to give new parents 26 weeks leave at their normal rate of pay to be paid for by a 1.7 per cent levy on large companies. The Rudd Government plans to introduce a scheme to give new parents 18 weeks leave at the minimum wage rate paid for by the Government. Which scheme do you support more?

      %
    The Government’s scheme 40%
    The Opposition’s scheme 24%
    Neither 27%
    Don’t know 10%

    40% of respondents supported the Government parent leave scheme, 24% supported the Opposition’s scheme and 27% supported neither.

    Among labor voters, 61% supported the Government scheme and 15% supported the Opposition’s. However, only 37% of Coalition voters supported the Opposition’s scheme – 20% supported the Government scheme and 35% supported neither.

     Young people were more likely to support the Opposition’s scheme – of those aged under 35, 35% supported the Opposition’s scheme and 39% the Government’s. Older respondents were more likely to support neither scheme – of those aged 45-64, 36% supported neither scheme, 42% the Government scheme and 14% the Opposition’s. Men and women showed similar levels of support. Comments »

  • Mar, 2010

    ,

    Attributes of the Labor Party

    Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party? 

      6 Jul 09 14 Mar 10

     

    % change
    Moderate 65% 63% -2%
    Will promise to do anything to win votes 57% 63% +6%
    Looks after the interests of working families 61% 57% -4%
    Professional in its approach 59% 55% -4%
    Understands the problems facing Australia 62% 54% -8%
    Has a good team of leaders 60% 52% -8%
    Out of touch with ordinary people 44% 48% +4%
    Too dominated by its leader 39% 45% +6%
    Divided 30% 36% +6%
    Keeps its promises 44% 33% -11%
    Extreme 25% 26% +1%

    The Labor Party’s main attributes were being moderate (63%), will promise anything to win votes (63%), looks after the interests of working families (57%) and professional in its approach (55%).

     Since these questions were last asked in July 2009, most of Labor’s positive attributes have declined a little and the negative attributes increased. Main changes since last July were keeps its promises (down 11% to 33%), has a good team of leaders (down 8% to 52%) and understands the problems facing Australia (down 8% to 54%).

    Note that the 2PP voting intention for 6 July 2009 was 59%-41% compared to the current 56%-44%. Comments »

  • Mar, 2010

    ,

    Attributes of the Liberal Party

    Q. And which statements do you feel fit the Liberal Party? 

      6 July 09 14 Mar 10

     

    % change
    Will promise to do anything to win votes 67% 72% +5%
    Divided 74% 66% -8%
    Out of touch with ordinary people 62% 58% -4%
    Moderate 50% 50%
    Professional in its approach 41% 47% +6%
    Too dominated by its leader 34% 44% +10%
    Understands the problems facing Australia 44% 43% -1%
    Extreme 36% 38% +2%
    Looks after the interests of working families 31% 35% +4%
    Has a good team of leaders 29% 31% +2%
    Keeps its promises 28% 23% -5%

    The Liberal Party’s main attributes were – will promise anything to win votes (72%), divided (66%) and out of touch with ordinary people (58%).

    Main changes since last July were – too dominated by its leader (up 10% to 44%), divided (down 8% to 66%) and professional in its approach (up 6% to 47%). Comments »

  • Mar, 2010

    , ,

    Party Attributes Comparison

      Labor Liberal

     

    % difference
    Looks after the interests of working families 57% 35% +22%
    Has a good team of leaders 52% 31% +21%
    Moderate 63% 50% +13%
    Understands the problems facing Australia 54% 43% +11%
    Keeps its promises 33% 23% +10%
    Professional in its approach 55% 47% +8%
    Too dominated by its leader 45% 44% +1%
    Will promise to do anything to win votes 63% 72% -9%
    Out of touch with ordinary people 48% 58% -10%
    Extreme 26% 38% -12%
    Divided 36% 66% -30%

    The Labor Party maintains significant leads over the Liberal Party on all positive attributes – in particular, looks after the interest of working families (+22%), has a good team of leaders (+21%), moderate (+11%), understands the problems facing Australia (+11%) and keeps its promises (+10).

     The Liberal Party is more likely to be considered divided (-30%), extreme (-12%) and out of touch with ordinary people (-10%). Comments »

Error: