2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1834 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 37% | ||
| National | 3% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 40% | 46% | +1% |
| Labor | 43% | 54% | -1% |
| Greens | 8% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data. Comments »
approval, approval of PM, Prime Minister, rudd
Q. Do you strongly approve, approve, disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister?
| 9 Feb 09 | 30 Mar 09 | 18 May 09 | 29 Jun 09 | 10 Aug 09 | 28 Sept 09 | 9 Nov 09 | 30 Nov 09 | 14 Dec 09 | 18 Jan 10 | 22 Feb 10 | |
| Strongly approve | 17% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Approve | 50% | 50% | 48% | 48% | 47% | 51% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 44% | 41% |
| Disapprove | 15% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 20% |
| Strongly disapprove | 8% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 17% |
| Don’t know | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 11% |
| Total approve | 67% | 71% | 62% | 62% | 60% | 66% | 61% | 56% | 57% | 55% | 52% |
| Total disapprove | 23% | 21% | 29% | 29% | 27% | 23% | 32% | 35% | 32% | 33% | 37% |
Just over half (52%) of those surveyed approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister, 37% disapprove and 11% don’t know. This gives Kevin Rudd a net approval rating of +15%.
Rudd has the lowest approval rating and the highest disapproval rating that has been reported in the Essential Report since we began asking this question in 2008.
Results followed party lines – Labor voters were more likely to approve of the job Rudd is doing (92%), while Coalition voters were more likely to disapprove (78%). 17% of Coalition voters approve of the job Rudd is doing as Prime Minister.
59% of Green voters approve of the job Rudd is doing, while 30% of these same voters disapprove.
People aged 18 – 24 were more likely to approve of the job Rudd is doing (59%), while people aged 65 years and over were more likely to disapprove (59%). Comments »
Abbott, approval, Approval of opposition leader, malcolm turnbull, Turnbull
Q. Do you strongly approve, approve, disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?
| Malcolm Turnbull | Tony Abbott | ||||||||||
| 9 Feb 09 | 30 Mar 09 | 18 May 09 | 29 Jun 09 | 10 Aug 09 | 28 Sept 09 | 9 Nov 09 | 30 Nov 09 | 14 Dec 09 | 18 Jan 10 | 22 Feb 10 | |
| Strongly approve | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 12% |
| Approve | 29% | 25% | 28% | 20% | 20% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 32% | 33% |
| Disapprove | 26% | 31% | 28% | 31% | 30% | 35% | 30% | 33% | 18% | 20% | 20% |
| Strongly disapprove | 17% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 28% | 18% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 17% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 24% | 24% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 19% | 31% | 26% | 18% |
| Total approve | 32% | 28% | 30% | 24% | 22% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 34% | 37% | 45% |
| Total disapprove | 43% | 48% | 49% | 57% | 58% | 53% | 50% | 55% | 36% | 37% | 36% |
Just under half (45%) of those surveyed approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader, 36% disapprove and 18% don’t know. This gives Tony Abbott a net approval rating of +9%.
This is the highest approval rating that has been recorded for Abbott in the Essential Report thus far and higher than Turnbull ever scored in our polling.
Results followed party lines – Coalition voters were more likely to approve of the job Abbott is doing (79%), while Labor voters were more likely to disapprove (58%). 28% of Labor voters approve of the job Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader.
68% of Green voters disapprove of the job Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 19% of these same voters approve.
People aged 65 years and over were more likely to approve of the job Abbott is doing (68%), while younger voters were more likely to indicate they don’t know (37%).
Males were more likely than females to approve of the job Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader (47% v 43%). Comments »
approval, environment, Garrett, Labor, Peter Garrett
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Peter Garrett is doing as Environment Minister?
| % | |
| Strongly approve | 4% |
| Approve | 24% |
| Disapprove | 26% |
| Strongly disapprove | 30% |
| Don’t know | 16% |
| Total approve | 28% |
| Total disapprove | 56% |
Just over half (56%) of those surveyed disapprove of the job Peter Garrett is doing as Environment Minister, 28% approve and 16% don’t know.
This gives Peter Garrett an approval rating of -28%.
Results followed party lines – Labor voters were more likely to approve (47%), while Coalition voters were more likely to disapprove (84%). 37% of Labor voters disapprove of the job Garrett is doing as Environment Minister.
Green voters were reasonably split in terms of their level of approval of the Environment Minister – 42% approve and 46% disapprove of the job Garrett is doing.
People aged 65 years and over were more likely to disapprove (82%) while those aged 35 – 44 were more likely to approve (35%).
We asked a similar question in June 2008 asking people to rate the performance of Peter Garrett – 32% rated his performance as very good/good and 47% rated it as very poor/poor. Comments »
Abbott, Election, Industrial Relations, Liberal, WorkChoices
Q. How likely do you think it is that Tony Abbott and the Liberals will reintroduce at least some parts of WorkChoices if they win the next election?
| Total | Labor | Coalition | Green | |
| Very likely | 22% | 41% | 7% | 26% |
| Quite likely | 35% | 36% | 43% | 39% |
| Not very likely | 18% | 8% | 29% | 15% |
| Not at all likely | 5% | 4% | 7% | 4% |
| Don’t know | 20% | 11% | 14% | 16% |
| Total likely | 57% | 77% | 50% | 65% |
| Total not likely | 23% | 12% | 36% | 19% |
Over half (57%) of Australians surveyed think that if Tony Abbott and the Liberals win the next election it is likely that they will introduce at least some parts of WorkChoices, 23% think it is unlikely and 20% don’t know.
77% of Labor voters, 65% of Green voters and 50% of Coalition voters think that it is likely that at least some parts of WorkChoices will be introduced if Abbott and the Liberals win the next election.
People aged 45 – 55 were more likely to think that if the Liberal party wins the next election, at least some parts of WorkChoices will be introduced (68%), while people aged 65 years and over were more inclined to think it is unlikely some parts of WorkChoices will be introduced if the Liberals win the next election (32%). Comments »
Abbott, Australian jobs, Election, Industrial Relations, Liberal, WorkChoices
Q. Do you believe Tony Abbott when he says that WorkChoices is dead and would not be reintroduced by a future Liberal Government?
| % | |
| Yes | 22% |
| No | 50% |
| Don’t know | 28% |
Half (50%) of those surveyed do not believe Tony Abbott when he says that WorkChoices is dead and would not be reintroduced by a future Liberal Government, 22% believe Abbott and 28% don’t know.
Results followed party lines – Labor (75%) and Green (80%) voters were more likely to not believe Abbott, while Coalition voters were more likely to believe Abbott when he says WorkChoices is dead and won’t be reintroduced (50%).
People aged 65 years and over were more likely to believe Abbott (39%) while those aged 18 – 24 were more likely to indicate they don’t know (36%). Comments »
2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1830 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 36% | ||
| National | 2% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 45% | – |
| Labor | 44% | 55% | – |
| Greens | 10% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 6% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.
approval, Finance, Labor, Lindsay Tanner, Tanner
Q Do you approve or disapprove of the job Lindsay Tanner is doing as Finance Minister?
| % | |
| Total approve | 31% |
| Total disapprove | 24% |
| Net rating | +7% |
| Strongly approve | 5% |
| Approve | 26% |
| Disapprove | 18% |
| Strongly disapprove | 6% |
| Don’t know | 45% |
31% approve of the job Lindsay Tanner is doing as Finance Minister, 24% disapprove and 45% don’t know.
Results followed party lines – Labor voters were more likely to approve (56%), while Coalition voters were more likely to disapprove (49%). 43% of Green voters approve of the job Tanner is doing as Finance Minister.
Males were more likely to approve of the job Tanner is doing (39%), while females were more likely to indicate they don’t know (55%).
People aged 55 years and over were more likely that those in other age groups to disapprove (36%). Comments »